General Michael C. Short
Commander, Allied Air Forces, Southern Europe
AFA Air Warfare Symposium 2000
February 25, 2000
The first thing I would like to emphasize
today is that I was not on the Air Staff during the McPeak-Rice era, and
I have no slides. Secondly, I feel extraordinarily relieved to be able
to tell you I did not believe in any of those nine myths. Thank you
Rebecca [Dr. Rebecca Grant, IRIS Independent Research] for validating
what combat airmen believe.
Mr. Secretary, Chief, ladies and gentlemen,
I thank you for the opportunity the AFA gives me to be with you this
morning. For combat field commanders like Waldo [Lt. Gen. Charles F.
Wald] and I to be allowed to address this forum is an extraordinary
honor. Certainly, for Waldo, he will be given that chance again, but
with 34 years and nine months of active service, this will be my last
opportunity, and I don’t intend to blow it.
Speaking to a friend last night in the
exhibit hall, he told me he was looking forward to my remarks on Kosovo
and lessons learned. That is not what I wish to speak about today.
Kosovo is history. My Air Force moves forward. My Air Force looks
forward. There are things we need to internalize about Kosovo, but that
is not what I want to talk about today.
Secondly, at this stage, there are no
lessons learned from Kosovo. There are lessons. I am convinced that the
men and women in this room have learned the lessons of Kosovo, as Dr.
Grant made reference to. But whether we are able to act on those lessons
will be an issue of resources and political will. I believe the jury is
still out on that.
Finally, the Secretary and the Chief have
been very patient with me. They have allowed me to speak out in several
forums on my deep personal feelings and my deep professional feelings
about Kosovo. I believe that time for me is finished. The Air Force gave
me the opportunity to speak to Air Force Magazine, which was kind enough
to publish my interview. As Waldo was given the opportunity to deal with
the press, I was given the opportunity to speak to the Senate Armed
Services Committee. Again, that time has passed. I thank the Chief and
the Secretary for their patience. I intend to speak about Kosovo in the
future – I hope at Air War College and CAPSTONE, at the Army’s BCTP
[Battle Command Training Program] and at forums like that. I hope to be
able to speak to young people who are just starting the ABC [Aerospace
Basic Course] course and SOS [Squadron Officer School], perhaps at
Lackland [Air Force Base] where I can speak. But it is time for me to
move on in the lessons of Kosovo.
A word of thanks. Yesterday, my past boss,
[General] John Jumper, was incredibly kind to me. Kosovo was a success
story for airmen - a team of airmen - and I was privileged to be a
member of that team. You will never know how much time John Jumper spent
flying top cover for me in that 78-day effort and the months that led up
to that 78-day effort. I have lost track of the number of
extraordinarily difficult teleconferences that ended with John Jumper
saying, “SACEUR [Supreme Allied Commander, Europe], I’ll call you on
the hotline.” And at Vincenza [Air Base, Italy], we looked at each
other, nodded and we said, “The boss will take care of this.” Boss,
I thank you.
I want to talk for just a few minutes today
about coalition air ops [operations]. We are a forward-looking force,
and we look to our future. I believe that is our future. We have in the
past 15 years since Goldwater-Nichols [the Goldwater-Nichols Department
of Defense Reorganization Act of 1986], spent a great deal of time
talking and thinking and working at joint operations, and I believe, as
Rebecca said, we are there. In the field, we do joint operations
extraordinarily well. I am at that stage of my career where I find joint
operations to be interesting, but I find coalition operations to be
compelling. In the future, there may be scenarios, and you can probably
draw them for me, where the U.S. will choose to act unilaterally without
our allies because our national interests are threatened and no one else
is concerned. But I believe that for every instance where we face an
adversary, we will look for a coalition opportunity. We will try to
cobble together a coalition because we want to fight that way, because
we want to share the burden, and because we want the cloak of legitimacy
that operating in a coalition gives us. That is what I want to talk
about for just a few minutes this morning — coalition air operations.
To begin with, coalition starting is almost
like a chicken and the egg — what comes first? Do you put together the
coalition or do you set the terms of the coalition? I believe, if
you’ve got the option, you try to set the terms and you go to your
friends and you say, the situation in country X is of great concern to
us and we intend to act and this is how we intend to act. We intend to
conduct an air campaign or amphibious assault, or a combination thereof,
and here is how we intend to target, and here is where we believe to be
the centers of gravity, and do you wish to be with us? Then we are
faced, hopefully, with that decision: whether we act as General Horner
[General Charles A. Horner, Commander, U.S. Central Command Air Forces
in “Operation Desert Storm” was privileged to do in a coalition of
the willing or whether we act in a 19-nation coalition as was issued to
[Admiral James] Jim Ellis and John Jumper [Gen. John P. Jumper] and Mike
Short [Lt. Gen. Michael C. Short.] where every member of the 19-nation
coalition has a vote and has apparent veto power, regardless of its
contribution. Given the option, I choose a coalition of the willing. And
it may be that every nation in NATO has signed up for that contract, but
now we have a contract sealed in blood, and we know what the rules are
going in.
You and I must be given political
objectives. We need to know what our coalition is trying to accomplish
on the political scene, and we need to have those translated to us, as
professional soldiers, into military objectives. Ladies and gentlemen,
we began bombing the first night with our objective being to show NATO
resolve. That is tough to tell the kids at Aviano [Air Base, Italy] - to
go out and put it on the line to “demonstrate resolve.” We need to
know what our military objectives are, and we need to understand what we
are trying to accomplish with airpower and ground power and sea power.
I knew, we all knew, what we were trying to
do in Kosovo. We wanted Milosevic to cease ethnic cleansing. We wanted
the VJ [Yugoslav Army] out of Kosovo. We wanted a force on the ground,
an international force under NATO leadership. We wanted the Kosovar
Albanians to have the ability to return to their homes and pick up their
lives. We wanted the ICTY [International Criminal Tribunal for the
former Yugoslavia] process to work. We accomplished all five of those
things to some degree by happenstance rather than by design. You and I
need the clearest possible definition of an end state. General Jumper
has been very articulate in his observing that we don’t know yet if we
won in Kosovo. If you have been in Mitrovice in the last week, you are
certainly not sure if we won in Kosovo. What was the end state? We knew
what as soldiers we were going to try to accomplish – those five
points I spoke to. But what is the end state in Kosovo? Is it a free
Kosovo? Is it greater Albania? Is it return of the Kosovo province to
Serb rule? We don’t know yet. I have never seen it clearly
articulated. We know in a general fashion what the international
community wanted to accomplish. But we are not there yet, and we won’t
be there for a long time. Political objectives, military objectives and
a clear end state.
We need to prepare our politicians as best
we can for what is going to happen. If we are going to initiate an air
campaign, not an air effort, but an air campaign, airmen need to be
given the chance to explain what is going to happen to our political
leadership. Airmen, who have practiced their craft and their trade for
30 or 35 years, need to be given the opportunity to make that
explanation. I read in General Horner’s superb book how he went to
Camp David and briefed the President of the United States on how he
intended to conduct an air campaign to prepare the battlefield in Kuwait
and Iraq. I am not campaigning for a trip to Camp David, but there was a
case to be made for an air campaign, and airmen should have made that
case. Our politicians need to understand that this isn’t going to be
clean. There is going to be collateral damage. There will be unintended
civilian casualties. We will do our level best to prevent both, but
they’ve got to grit their teeth and stay with us. We can’t cut and
run the first time we hit the wrong end of a bridge. We can’t cut and
run the first time we kill innocent people that clearly we did not
intend to kill. Just as we did not target the Chinese Embassy as the
Chinese Embassy, we never targeted civilians, and you know that. But
there are people out there who believe that we did. Unfortunately, the
reaction to every incident placed our kids at greater risk and made it
more difficult to do our job.
What we are left with now is a generation
of politicians throughout the alliance who have an unrealistic picture
of airpower and air war. It is a video game on CNN [Cable News Network].
All your nation has to do is send four airplanes and 60 people a
thousand miles, turn them over to an American commander, and go about
your business. A very senior official from one of our allies visited me
at the CAOC [Combined Air Operations Center]. He was sitting in General
Tricarico’s office, drinking a cappuccino with this official. He had
with him his [General] Hugh Shelton [Chairman, U.S. Joint Chiefs of
Staff] equivalent. I said to the gentleman, “Sir — the weather was
giving us a difficult time early on, but I believe now the air war is
making progress.” Before the gentleman could respond, his CHOD [Chief
of Defense], Hugh Shelton equivalent, leaped on me and said, “No, no,
general, we are not at war in my country. You may be in war at the CAOC,
but we are not at war in my country.” I said, “Admiral, that may
well be the problem.”
Our politicians need to understand that we
will do our best to make airpower clean and painless as they want us to,
but it is not going to work out that way. People die in airpower
conflicts. There is collateral damage. There is unintended loss of life.
When they choose to employ us, to take us to war, when they choose to
use military force to solve a problem that politicians could not, then
they need to grit their teeth and stay with us.
We need to understand going in the
limitations that our coalition partners will place upon themselves and
upon us. There are nations that will not attack targets that my nation
will attack. There are nations that do not share with us a definition of
what is a valid military target, and we need to know that up front. You
don’t want to find out when a force of a different nation is on the
tanker that their parliament has said they cannot attack that target.
You need to know what limitations other nations are going to place on
you. You and I need to know that all aircraft based in the United
Kingdom are subject to rulings by the United Kingdom government about
whether we are about to strike a valid target or not. That is a national
card they choose to play, but I don’t want that card played when the
kids are on the tanker, because then the strike package comes apart. You
need to know going in what those limitations are and push for
understanding of those limitations as early in the process as is
possible.
Clearly I believe no nation is allowed to
veto an entire target set. You need to establish a process to ensure
timely communications of those limitations or we press on with the plan.
You need to build a team. Coalition is team warfare, and hopefully you
build it before the fact. I don’t want to meet my deputy JFACC [Joint
Force Air Component Commander] on the first night of the war and be
introduced to my J-3 [Joint Operations Officer] as the bombs are
dropping. We had the opportunity to put that team together at the CAOC,
and it served us well from the early days of the war through its
expansion to its conclusion. I had worked with General Tricarico as my
deputy JFACC for a number of weeks and [Italian General] Arnoldo
Vannucchi before that. They were stalwarts and supportive and knew how
we would do our business.
Last Thursday, General [Gregory S.] Martin
gave me the loan of a C-20, and I flew to Eskishehir in Turkey. I took
with me General Jose Nivo, a commander of a CAOC in Monsanto, Portugal,
and commander of all Portuguese tactical forces; General Geronimo
Palacin, commander of a CAOC at Torrejon and the commander of all
Spanish tactical forces; General Michel Fouquet, who is deputy to Jean
George Ravel, commander of all French defense forces and French tactical
forces; General Giampiero Gargini, who was my deputy JFACC in Balkan
operations and commander of the CAOC at Poggio Renatico and commander of
all tactical forces in Italy; General Panagiotis Manousous, commander at
the CAOC at Larissa in Greece and commander of all Greek tactical
forces. We were hosted at Eskishehir by General Irbahim Vertina, first
TAF [Turkish Air Forces] commander and tactical air forces of Turkey and
commander of the CAOC at Eskishehir.
Think about that international lineup as we
put a team together. We drank an obscene amount of raki. I don’t
recommend that to you, certainly at my age. We talked about our team in
the southern region and how we would act in any contingency with Comm
[Commander] Air South, wherever he might be as a CFACC [Combined Forces
Air Component Commander], and the national CAOC commander as his deputy.
At one point, Panagiotis Manousous from Larissa, Greece, and Irbahim
Vertina, from Eskishehir, Turkey, and Mike Short withdrew to a separate
room, and we talked about the Aegean, and we talked about exercise
“Dynamic Mix” that will occur on the 20th of May. Ron
Keys [Maj. Gen. Ronald E. Keys] will have been in his seat for 12 days.
For the first time in 27 years, Turkish F-16s will deploy to Greek soil
and fly sorties out of a Greek air base. Greek and Turkish airplanes
will fly together in what we all understand to be disputed air space in
the Aegean. I believe we have prepared the team before the fact, and I
believe the team will stay together.
Make your command structure a combined
coalition command structure. Make it a combined coalition command. I
failed miserably on that point. The man that fought the day war for me
was Major General Garry R. Trexler, an incredibly gifted American. The
man who fought the night war for me was Brigadier General Randy [Randall
C.] Gellwix, the CAOC director and an incredible warrior. My J-2 was an
American, Heddy Boil. My J-3 was an American [Col.] Stu Johnson, and my
J-5 was an American [Col.] Al Peck. The chief of that team was an
American, the great Col Doc Zorb. I failed in putting together the kind
of senior leadership in my coalition team that I should have put
together. Had I to do it over again, there would be Dutchmen and Brits
and Italians at that level of command.
If we are to be a team, we can’t just be
a team on paper. We need to be a coalition command structure. We should
never again, never again, run a U.S. - only command structure inside of
a NATO alliance. We should not try to run that rabbit up our allies legs
and pull it out of their hat ever again. As I make my rounds of the
nations and talk about Kosovo, after a couple of beers, my friends the
air chiefs pull me aside and say, “Mike, we will never let you do that
to us again.” There was a NATO command structure in place in Naples,
and it had been there for 50 years. It was Commander in Chief of
Southern Europe, with a NATO staff. We inserted in the middle of that
staff a U.S. - only operation whose commander was a Navy admiral, whose
deputy was a Navy admiral. The [J-]3 was a Navy captain and the [J-]2
was a Navy captain. We called it a joint task force, and they were given
operational level responsibility for running a NATO war. We can never do
that again to our allies or we will not have allies.
We need to work to understand the mindset
and temperament of every partner nation. Every nation in your coalition
is feeling different pressures than you are. You’ve got to spend
several hours a day understanding those pressures. You’ve got to have
POLAD [political advisor] help, and you’ve got to be talking seriously
to your senior national reps. You’ve got to be in touch with the DAOs
[Defense Attache Offices] in those countries, and you’ve got to
understand that even if they just contributed four airplanes and sixty
people, that was an enormous decision and step for them to take, and you
have to understand how frail coalition governments are, just as your
fighting coalition may be frail, and understand what they are going
through. Few of us in this room will ever understand the enormous
pressure the Italian government was under. The work that Mr. Massimo
D’Alema had to do to hold that coalition together in very difficult
times. My deputy, [Lt. Gen.] Leonardo Tricarico, was in daily
conversation with [Italian Army General] Mario Arpino, [Gen.] Andreas
Fornasiero, and the prime minister himself because of the price Italy
was paying to support the alliance in Kosovo and doing that with a
coalition government. You and I have to work to understand how difficult
that is. You have to work with their leadership and acknowledge that
leadership and give them positions of responsibility.
Shortly after I took over as COMAirSouth, I
named [Gen.] Arnaldo Vannuchi as my deputy JFACC for what were then
operations in Bosnia-Hercegovina. A series of Italian commanders have
replaced him and have also been named as my deputy JFACC for what are
now Balkan operations. When I am in the United States today, Giampiero
Gargini is the JFACC for operations in Kosovo and Bosnia-Hercegovina.
That is as it should be. We need to establish that early, make it real,
not something token, and make it work. We need to keep every one of our
partners informed. It doesn’t matter how large their contribution is,
they need to know what is going on.
Go out of your way not to hurt feelings,
but don’t be afraid to shoot straight with your partners. There is a
myth out there that many of the nations that we work with have a culture
that does not prevent them from hearing the truth. Ladies and gentlemen,
at the military level, that is simply not the case. Professional airmen
I have worked with wanted to know what is going on and wanted me to
shoot straight with them. We did that in dialogue, and it works.
Professionals come together and solve the problem because we are honest
with each other, and we are up front, and there are not cards hidden,
and everything is on the table. And it works.
Understand the capability of the
contributing nations. Ask for the best they have and understand the
request process. Know who’s got LANTIRNs [Low-Altitude Navigation and
Targeting InfraRed for Night targeting pods] and who doesn’t. Know who
can shoot BVR [Beyond Visual Range] and who can’t. Know whose got
tankers and will contribute what. Understand the request process. I went
through a dance with one of the nations who had reconnaissance airplanes
deployed to Italian soil taking up very important spaces on the ramp. I
went to the senior national rep, a two-star from that nation, and I
said, “I would like you to deploy HARM [High-velocity Anti-Radiation
Missile] shooters instead and send your recce birds home.” He said,
“We’d be glad to do that if you will make the request.” That was
not something they were going to do on their own, although clearly the
recce birds weren’t turning a wheel. So he prepared a letter for me to
sign and give back to him that was proof certain to his government that
the JFACC wanted HARM shooters instead of recce birds, and we made it
happen. Understand that the way you and I may ask for airplanes is not
the way you ask for airplanes with your partners.
Understand that you may be issued airplanes
you don’t want. Just don’t throw up your hands. Have a plan. Every
member of the coalition is going to want to contribute, and you can’t
deny them that ability to contribute. Have a plan for using airplanes.
The airplanes may not be as near as capable as yours are. But have a
plan for them. Make them feel good about their contribution.
Try to control the beddowns. Sitting out in
the audience about five rows is an extraordinary officer, Brigadier
General Pino Marani, of the Italian Air Force. Pino and Piero Gargini at
the CAOC, another great brigadier general, worked the beddown process.
Everything we asked for, the Italians gave us. Those two officers worked
it for us. If I had it to do over again, I would have worked with Pino
and Piero to have controlled that beddown just a bit differently. The
way it worked, each nation went individually to the Italian government
to bargain for their beddown. I found when I needed spaces on the ramp
for more capable airplanes, the spaces had been taken, and there was no
way I could ask another nation to move its airplanes. We ended up with a
scattered beddown to some degree because I didn’t have the foresight
to understand the problem. Pino and Piero would have worked that for me
if I had been smart enough to know what I needed to do. Get out in front
of the beddown process. Understand the limitations. The biggest
limitation we faced was the ability to build up bombs on the ramp. There
just weren’t a lot of places at Italian bases that you could build up
munitions. So if you are going to put bomb droppers on the ground, you
have to understand the capabilities. I was slow to do that. Try, if you
can, to arrange coalition logistics. Logistics is a national
responsibility, but try if you can to work it as a team.
The instance that comes to mind is about 45
or 50 days into the fight, several nations come in to me and finally,
after a bit of chat, say, “General, we are about to run out of
precision munitions. We certainly weren’t stocked to fight for this
long and drop at the rate we have been dropping. Can you help us?” I
called in General Jumper, and he called General [Michael E.] Ryan.
General Ryan was able to each into what was then a clearly diminishing
supply of precision munitions and provide them to our allies. How long
we could have done that, I am not certain. [Brig. Gen.] Terry [L.]
Gabreski could tell me if she were here. But I certainly did not know.
You need visibility of logistics problems that your coalition partners
are facing, and you need to be involved in that.
Treat everybody as equals. At that table,
treat everybody as equals. Young men and women from their nations are
going in harm’s way, just as the young men and women from our nation,
and we need to treat them as equals. Make them feel good about being
part of the team and listen to what they have to say.
Publish a single ATO [Air Tasking Order].
That was a mistake we made. On the first night of the war, as the F-117
force was forming up in Hungary with its escort, a foreign national was
screaming from a NATO AWACS [Airborne Warning and Control System],
asking the CAOC “what were those airplanes doing in Hungary.” We had
a U.S.-only ATO and a NATO ATO, and that young man on board NATO AWACS
did not have a U.S.-only ATO. Clearly we have concerns for technology,
and perhaps we have concerns for timing. But you don’t ever want to be
in a position where on the first night of the war, sitting at the table
of the JFACC, and a flag officer from one of your strongest allies says,
“General, it appears to us we are not striking the SA-6s at location
A, B, and C.” And the best you can do is say, “Air Commodore, trust
me.” We are playing this game. There are 117s on the ramp at Aviano
whom we genuinely think are not going to fly on the first night.
We have purchased the B-2 for just this
purpose. But we generally think we are not going to use it. There are
things we need to keep from our allies: technology, planning process,
and so be it. But those nations that have thrown their lot in with us
need to understand what we intend to do with the coalition on that first
and second and third night, and all the way into the war. Because we
fight together.
I believe we have to take that risk, and
perhaps in that large a coalition there is someone who is providing
information to someone who should not have it. But as sure as I am
standing here, there was a Serb outside the runway at Aviano with a cell
phone, and he was calling Belgrade when the 117s took off. I imagine
there was one at Knob Noster [MO, home of Whiteman AFB] who was calling,
saying, “four of them took off three hours ago. Only two of them came
back. I think two of them are heading your way.” There was one up
there doing the same thing. We have to understand that. But we have to
include our allies in how we do our business.
We have to fully involve our allies in
targeting and tasking. Targeting was done in a U.S.-only forum -- Quite
frankly, on a VTC [Video Teleconference], for 78 days. All I was able to
do was issue to our allies their targets. They could veto targets. They
could choose not to hit that target with their forces. Or, if we were
UK-based, they could choose to deny our forces the ability to hit that
target. But they were not involved in a workup and justification of the
targeting and the tasking. They need to be full partners in that.
Our targeting philosophy clearly has to be
agreed upon before we start. Again, we don’t want to start
demonstrating resolve and then fumble and figure out what we are going
to do next. We need to have agreed how we intend to employ our forces. I
am not so naive as to believe that we will be able to execute an air
campaign just because our nation wants to. But we need to have made that
case, and if that case is not accepted, we need to have a fallback plan
that works and gets it done. Again, we don’t want to do this by
happenstance. We want to do it by design. We need to share intelligence.
General Jumper has spoken to that. We need to let our allies know what
is out there. We don’t have to reveal the source. But we need to tell
them what the threats are, what the target set is, and how we expect to
do our business.
We’ve got to work to keep them together.
This is a daily effort, because of the pressures of every one of your
coalition allies is feeling. You have put a good team together, now work
to keep it together. Spend time at the JFACC doing that. Don’t ask one
of your colonels or one-stars to do that for you. Let them fight that
daily war. You shouldn’t be doing execution work there anyway. That is
not what the JFACC is all about. JFACC needs to be working every day to
keep that team together.
Provide visible, approachable leadership.
Our military culture is different than that of many of our allies.
Senior officers in many of the countries that I work with are treated a
bit differently than they are in the Armed Forces of the United States.
It is very difficult for junior officers to approach general officers in
other services, and to question a direction given by a general officer
is absolutely unheard of in the culture of many of our allies. You and I
need to understand that. You need to make yourself approachable and
someone the senior national representative [SNR] can deal with. That is
your conduit. You can call the air chief. But that SNR has just had his
feet cut out from under him if you directly call the air chief to work a
problem. You want to work it through the SNRs, and you’ve got to make
yourself someone that they trust, someone they know they can approach,
and someone they trust as a leader.
We will be expected to lead any coalition
that we join. Our allies understand what we bring to the table,
understand our capabilities, our professionalism, the marvelous
performance of our young people, and they now fully understand our
technology. Any coalition we join, they will expect us to lead. We need
to have thought about coalition ops. We don’t want to do this as a
pickup game. We need to understand coalition operations just as we
understand joint operations, and we need to be ready to do that.
I got back to Naples Friday afternoon from
our trip to Eskishehir, and Saturday morning my aide and I left for
Sophia, Bulgaria. The chief of the Bulgarian Air Force, Stephan Popov,
had asked Pete [Lt. Col Peter Schwarz] and me to go skiing. It is a hard
job, but someone has to do it. We flew to Sophia, jumped in a little
staff car that I believe was coal-burning, and we drove to the mountains
to a place called Borovets. Everyone else in the party skiied, and I
survived. We spent a lot of time talking with young pilots that Stephan
had brought in to meet me: MiG-21 and MiG-29 pilots. Young men who are
getting 30 hours a year. Young men who worship the U.S. Air Force. We
have received requests from the Bulgarian Air Force to help them with
how you do pilot training, how you train professional noncommissioned
officers, and how you build a core of doctrine. General Martin has a
team in Bulgaria this week scoping the size of the problem, and the
Chief has said he will support us in that effort.
The best Bulgarian MiG-29 pilot, an
incredibly gifted young major, asked me for two things. First of all, he
would like a floor plan for what a good modern fighter squadron should
look like, because their facilities are incredibly decrepit. I said I
thought I could provide that. He also asked for anything we could give
him that would get him and his young people out of the mindset of flying
welded wing and Soviet-type tactics, because he has read in open source
on the net a number of publications on how the U.S. Air Force tactically
does its business. I will be asking General Martin and General Jumper
and General [Lloyd W.] Newton, if indeed there are unclassified phase
manuals, some kind of documentation we can provide to the Bulgarian Air
Force to help their young people get better.
The Bulgarian Air Force is not alone. Every
air force in that part of the world looks to us. We are the goal that
they wish to achieve for their air force. The old Nike ad used to say,
“they want to be like Mike.” Not this Mike. They want to be like us.
We are the ideal, and we have a responsibility there. We can make
incredible friendships and have incredible impact and be ready when
those nations are needed in coalition operations.
It has been my honor to talk with you this
morning. I will be glad to answer questions on Kosovo if you have those
sorts of questions, but again, I felt in my one opportunity to address
this audience, that our future is more important than our past. Thank
you very much.
Q&A Session
General Shaud: What would you
recommend to the Air Force in the way it prepares a future air component
commander or joint force commander? What can we change?
General Short: I would echo
everything that General Jumper had to say. I went to one Blue Flag in my
life. I was Jim Record’s [Lt. Gen. James F. Record] chief of staff as
we worked a Central European scenario, and the emphasis was on getting
the ATO out. I had the chance, as many of you know, to serve as the
first J-7 in USACOM [U.S. Atlantic Command]. I came away from that
experience with a healthy respect for a program the U.S. Army runs
called the Battle Command Training Program, BCTP. It is a series of
yearly exercises based on modeling and simulation - this is not a live
ex [exercise]. It is modeling and simulation, the Army’s core battle
simulation and models that come after it. For every year, Army warriors
train. You start out with platoon leaders, and you train as platoon
leaders, and company commanders, and battalion X0s [executive officers],
and commanders, and division and corps commanders. There are core-level
BCTP exercises, where modeling and simulation is used to teach the next
generation of leaders how to do their business. It is somewhat narrow.
It is force-on-force, and airpower is not given its due in a corps
battle simulation. But all those limitations aside, generations of great
soldiers in green uniforms have learned how to practice their trade in a
BCTP matrix. I believe there is something out there that offers the Air
Force that same opportunity. I believe it is Blue Flag-based, and as
General Jumper said, it is not about the ATO, it is about a thought
process. It is about a Strat AF [Strategic-level Air Force] process. It
is about how you bring together a coalition, and it is a repetitive
experience for young men and women who will lead us into the future -
how to employ and execute airpower. Initially, certainly at the tactical
level, but moving to the operational and strategic level. I believe that
is something we need to do or, again, as General Jumper has said in a
number of forums, we run the risk of continuing to be incredible
operators at the tactical level, but not the leaders at the operational
or strategic level, where our nation needs us.
General Shaud: Do you see coalition
partners specializing — one air-to-air and another transportation,
etc.? Would this make it easier to integrate that partnership, or is
that impossible for them nationally?
General Short: The question at the
very end hits upon the problem. Ideally, NATO would establish
transportation and EW [Electronic Warfare] and a tanker equivalent of
the NATO AEW [Airborne Early Warning] force. But what that does, it
locks each nation into only being able to operate as part of a NATO
coalition. Nation X in NATO cannot call upon NATO AEW to support it in a
unilateral operation. They have to have their own capability. You and I
won’t know for some period of time what direction the European
independent defense identity is going. But I will tell you, the men I
talked to believe it is dead on arrival because of the resource strain
it will place on their nations. There are few nations in NATO right now
who are interested in putting any more money into defense.
Unfortunately, one of the lessons of Kosovo for a number of our allies
was that the U.S. will step up and lead. They will make a minimal
contribution, and the U.S. will provide command and control and again
leadership, the tools that are needed, and the alliance will get it
done. If you are three nations deep away from the threat, it is tough to
convince your population that money should be spent on defense. I am
absolutely convinced that leaders of every nation in NATO understand
their shortcomings. But whether they will be able, as an alliance or as
individuals, to address them, remains to be seen.
General Shaud: Comment on how video
teleconferencing is affecting command relationships in military
campaigns.
General Short: First of all, used
properly, video teleconferences [VTCs] are an incredible tool. I am
pushing every nation in the southern region to get a VTC capability so
that those air commanders I listed for you, and the future Ron Keys, and
the men and women that follow him, will be able to talk real time. It
offers incredible capability. In this particular instance, I believe it
improperly allowed senior leadership to reach down to levels they did
not need to be involved in. We had probably one level too many with
regard to a coalition or a joint chain, as it was, and frequently levels
that should have been involved in decisionmaking, should have been
involved at the operational execution level, were bypassed because the
video teleconference allowed you to do that. Additionally, as I made
reference to General Jumper saying, “Boss, I’ll call you on the
hotline,” video teleconference gives you the very real possibility to
provide guidance and direction in stream of consciousness, and then not
take that direction and guidance back until someone calls you on the
hotline. That is not the way we want to send young men and women into
harm’s way. We want to do this in a measured fashion and understand
how we are doing business. It is a two-edged sword. I use it two or
three times a week to talk to [Brig. Gen.] Randy [Gelwix] at the CAOC,
to talk to the folks in Pristina and Sarjevo and Scopje. But we try to
create an environment where nothing is laid in concrete on a VTC and I
am not interfering at a level where I shouldn’t.
General Shaud: We speak to
effects-based targeting, which I think is a good concept, a great idea.
Did you see that in evidence during your campaign?
General Short: For the most part, we
did not. I will tell you General Jumper’s staff -- in the main,
because we were restricted from doing detailed NATO planning -- General
Jumper’s staff led by [Maj. Gen. William T.] Tom Hobbins and [Col.] Al
Peck [director, 32nd Air Operations Group] and the boss
himself, did an absolutely magnificent job of putting together an air
campaign that was based on effects-based targeting and explaining to the
senior leadership in great detail what we intended to do with air power,
the effects we were going to target, the nodal analysis that had gone
into our planning for targeting. And, I believe that we put forward on a
number of occasions an air plan based on effects-based targeting. We
were defeated, quite frankly, by the thought process that all Milosevic
needed was a couple of nights of bombing. The idea that NATO was going
to demonstrate resolve. I have personally resolved to never use that
word in a complete sentence again. The idea that having demonstrated
resolve, and Milosevic wasn’t impressed by our resolve, we then
transitioned to bombing. An attempt was made by airmen, and I say this
with every bit of sincerity that I can, an attempt made by airmen to
bring us to effects-based targeting, but unsuccessfully. Driven to a
great degree by an appropriate focus on fielded forces. In my JFACC
[Joint Forces Air Component Commander] statement of intent, I said that
I intended to conduct sustained and parallel operations, as Rebecca
[Grant] made reference to. We all understood the moral imperative to
attack fielded forces that the Chief has said. But I had forces made
available to me that would also strike at Belgrade. We were denied that.
The incredible reaction to collateral damage and loss of civilian life,
I believe, prevented us from conducting effects-based targeting. But you
all need to understand that Admiral Jim Ellis and General John Jumper
and myself knew that was the way to do business. We just weren’t able
to convey it successfully as we would want.
General Shaud: What is the plan for
electronic warfare and its resources?
General Short: All of us in this
room know we made a decision - we as a nation, we as a Department of
Defense -- to retire the F-111 and place our reliance on the EA-6B. The
EA-6B is an incredibly capable system, owned by Marine and Navy, Air
Force aviators with extraordinary courage and competence. But you can
only turn those airplanes X number of times a day. Those are old jets.
They are tough to maintain. Kids that maintain them work their hearts
out. But that was the limiting factor. It was how many EA-6B sorties we
could generate. We were about to get to the point where I was going to
risk forces coming out to Turkey in eastern Serbia without EA-6B escort
because we thought the threat would allow us to do that. But the
combination of EA-6Bs, COMPASS CALL and the HARM shooters was a key to
our ability to operate on top of an IAD [Integrated Air Defense] that we
had not killed. We had suppressed it and we had deterred it. But every
day the young men and women of the U.S. Air Force, Marine Corps and Navy
flew into known threat rings because we knew the SA-6s were there -- not
sure exactly where, but we knew they were there because we hadn’t
killed them. I also came out of this war as an incredible fan of
reactive HARM and not a very big fan of pre-emptive HARM. As Stephan
Popov pointed out to me as we were drinking some sort of Bulgarian
mixture Saturday night: “You know, Mike, you shot six HARM missiles
into my country.” I said, “Stephan, I sure as hell know that I did
it. It was a challenge to me to explain to my politicians that you were
not targeting us.” The pre-emptive HARM shot, when it opens its eyes,
and there is nothing for it to see, takes off like a mad dog. We talked
about that on a number of occasions. I found in this conflict, where we
were doing our best on a daily basis but there was no need to risk our
people without the cover of electronic warfare forces, that we were to
some degree limited. I got a call from a good friend in the U.S. Navy
about a third of the way into the conflict and he said, “Mike, if you
ask for one more EA-6B, we will have to shut down the RTU [Replacement
Training Unit] Whidbey Island [Naval Air Station] because we are out of
airplanes.” We are all concerned about our future in that area, and I
personally have trouble with the statements being made that we could
easily have handled a second major theater war. The EA-6s were maxed out
in this one. I am not sure what Joe Hurd [Lt. Gen. Joseph E. Hurd,
commander, Air Component Command, Korea] would have had to do his job.
General Shaud: What new capabilities
would you have liked to have had in Operation Allied Force, and what new
systems are most important to our future through your lenses?
General Short: General Jumper hit
the nail on the head about the movement of information. The Chief talked
about Link 16. The movement of imagery. Real-time targeting. I will
share a story. About 45 days into the war, Predator was providing great
coverage for us. About 5 o’clock in the afternoon, we had live
Predator video of three tanks moving down the road in Serbia and Kosovo.
As most of you know, my son is an A-10 pilot, or he was at the time. We
had a FAC [Forward Air Controller] overhead and General Clark [Gen.
Wesley K. Clark, SACEUR] had the same live Predator video that I had.
“Mike, I want you to kill those tanks.” I quickly responded, I had
something else in mind, “Boss, I’ll go after that for you.” When
shift time came, [Maj. Gen.] Garry Trexler was on the floor, finishing
up in the daytime, and Gelwix arrived to take the night shift. I was
there because the SACEUR wanted those three tanks killed. We had a
weapon school graduate on the phone talking direction to the FAC on the
radio. Call went something like this: “A lot of interest in killing
those tanks, 421. I’d like you to work on it.” “Roger.” Two or
three minutes went by, and 421 clearly had not found those tanks. The
young major’s voice went up a bit and said, “ComAirSouth, and SACEUR
are real interested in killing those tanks. Have you got them yet?”
“Negative.” About two more minutes went by and the weapons school
graduate played his last card. “General Short really wants those tanks
killed.” And a voice came back that I’ve heard in my house for the
better part of 30 years and he said, “God damn it, Dad, I can’t see
the f---ing tanks!”
I apologize if I’ve offended. I’d like
to move information. I’d like to move pictures. I would like to have
had longer dwell time with ISR [Intelligence, Surveillance and
Reconnaissance] assets. I would like to have had another jamming option.
Maybe there is a way to put a jammer on a UAV [Unmanned Aerial Vehicle].
I’d like to have had another way to kill the SA-6 and to do it with
targeting GBUs [Glide Bomb Units] or targeting HARM. There are systems
out there that -- UAVs -- that take up an orbit and are programmed to
attack a system when it comes up. I’d like to have that capability.
There is a limit to what we can put resources against, but again, I
believe the Chief and General Jumper have focused on that thing which I
believe now is the most important to us - moving information, moving
imagery and getting to the kids in harm’s way the best possible
information to, number one, allow them to survive and, as my former boss
said, to kill the target.
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