Gen. Ronald R. Fogleman, USAF Chief of Staff, believes
that a "new American way of war" is emerging.
Traditionally, the US has "relied on large forces
employing mass, concentration, and firepower to attrit
enemy forces and defeat them in what many times became
costly but successful battles," he said at the
Air Force Association's Air Warfare symposium in Orlando,
Fla., in February. Now, however, technology and circumstances
are leading to unique military advantages, particularly
in airpower, that can be employed "to compel an
adversary to do our will at the least cost to the United
States in lives and resources."
We have an obligation as well as an opportunity, General
Fogleman said, to make the transition from "brute
force" attrition strategy to "a concept that
leverages our sophisticated military capabilities to
achieve US objectives by applying what I'd like to
refer to as an asymmetric force strategy."
Secretary of the Air Force Sheila E. Widnall pointed
to USAF's contributions to the national security strategy
of engagement abroad and "enlargement" of
democracy around the world and said that "those
contributions themselves shape the Air Force of the
future." Looking back from the vantage of years
hence, she said, we will see the "profound impact" of
the Air Force's humanitarian and training missions
and in the other international contacts that occur
daily. "I never cease to be amazed at the ability
of our twenty-year-olds to represent the US effectively
in Bosnia[-Hercegovina], work closely with their Russian
counterparts on a peacekeeping operation, or help build
schools in El Salvador."
International contacts also have direct military utility.
For example, Secretary Widnall said, in the successful
air campaign against the Bosnian Serbs last fall, the
cooperation of coalition air forces functioned as "a
glue for the political consensus needed to see that
operation through to completion."
More and more, General Fogleman said, "whether
it is a hot crisis or a crisis in development," the
national command authorities "turn to our military
establishment because it is one of the few elements
in our government that has consistently demonstrated
the ability to respond and make things happen."
Among the factors making the new American way of war
possible, he said, are "the extended range, the
precision, and the lethality of modern weapon systems
that are increasingly leveraging and leveraged by an
agile C4I [command, control, communications,
computers, and intelligence] capability that enables
warfighters to analyze, to act, and to assess before
an adversary has the capability to act."
In the Gulf and in the Balkans
The Air Force's most recent combat experiences--the
Persian Gulf War of 1991 and Operation Deliberate Force
last year in Bosnia--were previews of the asymmetric
force model. In the Gulf War, General Fogleman said,
the US and its partners in the allied coalition initially "looked
at attacking the frontal strength of Iraq's army, which
was then occupying Kuwait" but wisely passed up
that approach and "chose to capitalize on the
coalition's asymmetrical advantage in airpower to attack
[Iraqi leader Saddam Hussein's] strategic and tactical
centers of gravity.
"The coalition conducted a concentrated forty-three-day
air campaign [that] took away Hussein's eyes, attritted
his forces in the field, rendered his command and control
relatively ineffective, destroyed his war production
capability, and denied vital supplies to his troops.
. . . This operation prevented a bloody slugfest on
the ground while allowing coalition forces to safely
prepare for an offensive that engaged a badly degraded
enemy force with the asymmetric strength of our ground
forces. The result was a 100-hour ground offensive
that concluded the Gulf War."
Another example of asymmetric force immediately followed
the Gulf War with the use of airpower to enforce UN
sanctions against Iraq. "For over four-and-a-half
years, the United States and its allies have leveraged
our advantage in airpower, both carrier-based and landbased,
in southwest Asia to achieve political objectives without
placing large numbers of young Americans in harm's
way," General Fogleman said. "This has been
an air occupation of Iraq."
Prior to Operation Deliberate Force in 1995, command
authorities in the Balkans had constrained the use
of airpower rather than using the asymmetric advantage
of it. "We could only conduct limited area attack
operations, and so the airpower that was being applied
in the air-to-ground role had very little political
linkage," General Fogleman said. "In fact,
for many of us airmen, it was very reminiscent of what
we had seen in Vietnam."
That changed with Operation Deliberate Force in August
and September. It was conducted with a coherent strategy
that "gave airpower the freedom of maneuver to
attack the full range of targets that were carefully
selected to reduce the Bosnian Serb military advantage," General
Fogleman said. "Allied air forces took down the
Bosnian Serb air defenses, and they launched extraordinarily
precise air strikes that deprived the Serbs of vital
warfighting resources while minimizing collateral damage."
Late last year, Secretary of Defense William J. Perry
recognized what airpower had achieved in the Balkans
and said, "Deliberate Force was the absolute,
critical step in bringing the warring parties to the
negotiating table at Dayton, [Ohio,] leading to the
peace agreement."
Precision, Information, and Airlift
Several characteristics of modern airpower stood out
starkly in the Deliberate Force campaign. The first
of these was precision.
"Deliberate Force extended a trend that began
with the Vietnam War--in which about 0.2 percent of
our weapons expended were precision--and continued
in Desert Storm where, contrary to the general perception
of its having been a 'video war,' only about nine percent
of our bombs were precision guided," Secretary
Widnall said. "In Deliberate Force, more than
sixty percent of the bombs dropped by the NATO force
were precision guided."
The significance of precision weaponry went beyond
the straightforward military value. In what Secretary
Widnall described as a "media-intensive environment," limiting
collateral damage was crucial. "The NATO air operation
was operationally robust, but it was politically fragile.
With the first report of civilian casualties, the entire
operation would have been put at risk, but that report
never came."
The campaign also demonstrated "information dominance," she
said. "We have employed the E-8 Joint Surveillance
and Target Attack Radar System, a modified Boeing 707
with its moving-target indicator and synthetic aperture
radar, to take incredibly detailed real-time pictures
of Serbian movements and encampments. The NATO commander
enforcing the separation there has taken to slapping
those pictures down in front of the Serbs during their
meetings to say, 'See, you can't do anything we
don't know about!' This is powerful. It's like playing
poker and being able to see all the cards against an
opponent who knows that you can do just that."
Despite terrible local weather conditions, forces
and equipment were inserted rapidly into Bosnia by
US Air Force strategic airlift, which Secretary Widnall
termed a "unique national treasure." As the
airlift drew to a close, she was struck by "the
ease with which we had just executed a mission that
no other nation on Earth could even attempt."
In Deliberate Force, she said, "we affirmed the
utility of air forces in providing options for our
national policymakers. Over the years of our growing
involvement in the war in the former Yugoslavia, this
nation had used political tools--economic tools, diplomatic
tools--all to no avail. The nation's air forces provided
a military option at relatively low risk with a real
prospect of success. And that option paid off."
Working With the Constraints
General Fogleman noted three major constraints that
make it difficult to continue with old-style force-on-force
attrition strategies.
- Fewer forces. The nation no longer
has the large military force structure it once did.
What the armed forces do, they must do with smaller
numbers.
- Casualties and collateral damage. "Americans
have come to expect military operations to be quick
and decisive so that our troops can return home quickly," General
Fogleman said. The public is not tolerant of casualties
or of firepower that hits in the wrong place.
- The "CNN effect." Horrors
of war are transmitted in real time into homes by
television. Operations that are not precise, efficient,
and focused could lose public support in a hurry.
It is the Air Force's intention to "provide advanced
capabilities that will give us responsive, precise,
and survivable capability to implement a new American
way of war," General Fogleman said. "These
same capabilities will help minimize casualties on
both sides. They'll reduce the CNN effect. And they'll
allow us to wage war in a way that corresponds to what
appears to be the values of American society vis-à-vis
what they are willing to accept on the battlefield."
Airpower, he said, "will also provide a tremendous
leverage to resolve future crises rapidly at low cost.
All of these developments point to a significant increase
in the role of airpower in achieving our nation's security
objectives using asymmetric strategy."
Time-Phased Modernization
The Air Force, General Fogleman said, is pursuing
a "balanced, time-phased modernization program" to "field
air and space systems that will bolster our ability
to execute a new American way of war well into the
next century."
In the near term, he said, the Air Force is buying
the C-17 "to address the nation's most pressing
military shortfall--strategic lift." The investment
in the C-17 has already paid off in Bosnia, where the
C-17 delivered large loads like those carried by C-5s
and C-141s to airfields that, up to now, could not
be used by an airlifter larger than the C-130 intratheater
transport. Eventually, the Air Force will replace a
fleet of 250 C-141 airlifters with 120 C-17s.
"In the midterm of our modernization plan, we
are upgrading the capability of the long-range bomber
force and procuring a family of autonomous precision
weapons to leverage the range and payload of that bomber
force," said General Fogleman. This summer, he
noted, the B-2 bomber will be equipped with the GPS-Aided
Targeting System/GPS-Aided Munition that will enable
the stealth bomber to target sixteen aimpoints independently
on a single pass. "We're beginning to change our
thinking from how many aircraft does it take to destroy
one target to how many targets can we destroy with
one aircraft," General Fogleman said.
Also working for the midterm are an expendable launch
vehicle "that will provide assured, affordable
access to space," the Spacebased Infrared system
to support theater missile defense, and the CV-22 tiltrotor
aircraft for special operations forces.
The long term will bring two systems that General
Fogleman declared to be "truly revolutionary"--the
F-22 fighter and the Airborne Laser (ABL), which will
strike from hundreds of kilometers away to intercept
ballistic missiles in the boost phase. "The Secretary
and I were recently briefed by an independent review
team that foresaw no show-stoppers in developing the
Airborne Laser, to include fielding a demonstrator
by 2002," General Fogleman said. At a press conference
in Orlando, Secretary Widnall pronounced progress on
the ABL to be "a genuine ten on a scientific Richter
scale."
Asked whether USAF's plans for the asymmetrical power
strategy include nonlethal systems, General Fogleman
said it definitely includes such nonlethal systems
as air mobility forces, but "if we're talking
about gooey gunk being dropped in bombs or something
like that--I'm not too dewy-eyed about gooey gunk."
Models and Metrics Fall Behind
"Too many people, to include professional airmen,
still conceive of airpower in terms of functional stovepipes--fighters,
bombers, space, intel, and so on," General Fogleman
said. "We've got to come to appreciate airpower
for what it is: a collection of unique capabilities
that exploit the control of the air and space medium
to gain a powerful advantage in time and mass and position
and awareness in pursuit of national security interests."
Analytical models and metrics have not yet caught
up with operational practice. "The current attrition
models that assess the results of force-on-force engagements,
based on force ratios and territory lost or gained,
aren't really very relevant with forces that are employed
in accordance with asymmetric strategies," he
said.
General Fogleman said there is no longer any question
of "individual services attempting to develop
the resources to win the war on their own or the individual
services trying to get in on the action for the sake
of being in on the action." At the same time,
he added, all indications "point to a significant
increase in the role of airpower in achieving our nation's
security objectives, using asymmetric strategy."
In theater conflict, the unified commander in chief
(CINC) develops a war plan to strike at the enemy's
strategic and tactical centers of gravity. "While
these may vary as a function of the enemy, these centers
generally include things like the leadership elite,
command and control, internal security mechanisms,
war production capability, and one, some, or all branches
of the armed forces--in short, it's the enemy ability
to effectively wage war," General Fogleman said.
The Air Force's role is twofold. "Theater commanders
count on us to support them with ready air and space
capabilities, often on very short notice," General
Fogleman said. The other task is to think and plan
ahead. "By their very nature," said the General, "CINCs
tend to focus on dealing with near-term developments." By
statute, the services are responsible for organizing,
training, and equipping forces, and it is up to them
to take the longer view.
"They've got to anticipate the capabilities that
the CINCs of the future will require," General
Fogleman said. "The services have got to articulate
and advocate those capabilities. The Air Force has
got to stay in front of this effort because we offer
so much to the nation in this respect."
It is difficult to imagine an asymmetric strategy,
pitting US strengths against the weaknesses of the
adversary, in which airpower would not be paramount.
As General Fogleman said, "Once the United States
decides to engage, and our naval forces are steaming
to the theater of operations, and our ground forces
are being transported to the affected theater, the
Air Force can be employing airpower to achieve theater
situation awareness, to stop aggression in its tracks,
to attack vital strategic targets, and to seize control
of the air to make sure that the later arriving forces
arrive in a benign air environment."