In the predawn darkness
of Jan. 17, 1991, Air Force Maj. Greg Biscone piloted
his huge B-52 bomber toward Wadi Al Kirr airfield,
a fighter base in central Iraq and one of the Gulf
War's prominent first-night targets. Nearby, another
Air Force B-52 also was speeding toward the base.
The BUFFs' aim points on that night were the taxiways
linking Wadi Al Kirr's runway and hardened aircraft
shelters. The bombers dropped low for the approach
and, in a matter of minutes, the B-52s executed a textbook
multi-axis attack, crippled the airfield, and turned
for home.
By that time, stealthy F-117s already had struck targets
in downtown Baghdad. Tomahawk cruise missiles followed,
blasting electrical and communication systems in the
capital.
F-15E fighters over western Iraq attacked launch facilities
from which Scud missiles could hit Israel or coalition
nations.
As Biscone's B-52 turned toward home, coalition raids
commenced at four more fighter bases. Elsewhere, 13
F-117 attack aircraft bombed command bunkers, communications
exchanges, interceptor operations centers, and satellite
downlink facilities.
In western Iraq, 30 aircraft attacked chemical weapon
facilities. Thirty-eight others shut down Shaibah airfield
north of Basra. Forty-four blasted surface-to-air missile
sites near Al Taqqadum airfield, Habanniyah oil storage
area, and three chemical weapons precursor facilities.
Republican Guard headquarters came under attack. Suspected
biological weapons storage sites were hit. So were
critical oil storage facilities.
Conventional air launched cruise missiles-launched
from B-52s after an epic flight from the US-hit key
electrical facilities at Al Mawsil in the country's
northern reaches.
This all happened in the first few hours of the Gulf
War. And by the end of the first day, coalition warplanes
also had hit bridges, military support factories, and
naval facilities.
Coalition aircraft forces had in a single 24-hour
period flown some 1,300 offensive sorties against 152
targets-the most separate-target air attacks in the
history of air warfare. Indeed, the Gulf War began
with strikes against more targets than were hit by
the entire Eighth Air Force in 1942 and 1943.
It was not just the sheer number of sorties that made
Day 1 so unusual, however. Just as important, if not
more so, were the specific effects produced by this
bombing activity. The war's first night demonstrated
that the conduct of war had changed. It marked the
birth of "effects-based" operations, or EBO,
as a principal means of conducting warfare.
The air campaign capitalized on emerging capabilities
and was built around highly adaptive attack plans.
These plans were shaped to paralyze Saddam Hussein's
ability to control his forces, neutralize the ability
of those forces to fight, undermine their will to fight,
reduce the size of Iraq's military production base,
and create conditions needed for control of Iraq's
capacity to build weapons of mass destruction.
This approach allowed coalition forces to avoid Iraq's
principal strength-its vast, heavily armored defensive
armies-and thwart Baghdad's ability to inflict massive
casualties.
It is a concept that has come to be known as "parallel
warfare" and was based upon the coalition's ability
to achieve specific effects on, not the absolute destruction
of, targets.

The concept can best be understood through an analogy.
Electrical circuits are of two basic types-serial and
parallel. In the series circuit (Fig. 1), one closes
a switch and electrons flow from the power source to
the first bulb. Current must pass through each light
before it can light the next.
In the parallel circuit (Fig. 2), closing the switch
sends current to all bulbs simultaneously, and each
lights up in an independent way. The concept, in war,
describes an operation in which forces attack all major
targets at more or less the same time, to attain cascading
effects.
The object of parallel war is to achieve effective
control over the set of systems relied on by an adversary
for power and influence-leadership, population, essential
industries, transportation, and forces.
Before the Gulf War, air campaigns took on targets
sequentially, striving to "roll back" enemy
defenses so aircraft could attack targets of highest
value. Area and point defenses had to be eliminated
before war planners could gain access to what they
really wanted to attack.

In Fig. 3, depicting sequential attack, the early
warning sites, airfields, operations centers, anti-aircraft
artillery, and SAM systems are targeted. Each target
clears the way for the next one until finally the target
of value, in this case leadership, can be hit. The
effort and time required to suppress enemy defenses
limits the number of targets that can be attacked at
one time.
Fig. 4 depicts simultaneous attack against the same
set of targets. Hitting all pieces of a defense system
eases the attack on high-value targets but still leads
to a somewhat sequential application of force. The
majority of targets are defenses en route to and in
the area of the target of value. Such a partial simultaneous
attack can be accomplished with large force packages
of nonstealthy aircraft in discrete areas or in a one-time
attack on a limited target set. However, the large
force packages to suppress enemy air defenses tend
to limit the total number of areas that can be struck.

Simultaneous attack on all objectives opens a door
to major changes in warfare. It permits surprise at
the tactical level, a larger span of influence, fewer
casualties, paralyzing effects, and reduction in time
required to gain control over the enemy.
Fig. 5 depicts simultaneous attack against a wider
array of critical targets. Leadership facilities, refined
oil and electricity, transportation nets, connectivity
between the leadership and the population, and fielded
military forces are attacked at the same time. This
dramatically expands the ability to control enemy actions.
Parallel war entails more than compressing sequential
attacks into a single multifaceted attack. Parallel
war exploits time, space, and levels of war to achieve
rapid dominance. In the opening hours of the Gulf War,
coalition forces exploited all three dimensions.
Time. Coalition aircraft struck more than 50
targets in the first 90 minutes of war and more than
150 in the first 24 hours.
Space. Attacks ranged over the entirety of
the Iraqi battlespace. Distance did not bar attack
on any target.
Levels of war. The allies mounted simultaneous
attacks on targets of tactical, operational, and strategic
significance.
Vigorous exploitation of time, space, and levels of
war to achieve specific purposes is the essence of
EBO. Rendering an enemy force useless is just as effective
as eliminating it altogether.
Traditionally, military forces have achieved their
goals through destruction of enemy forces. Centuries
of surface warfare created a common view that such
destruction was the intrinsic purpose of military forces
and combat.
However, war's ultimate purpose is to compel a positive
political outcome. Use of force to control rather than
destroy an opponent's ability to act opens up new possibilities.
Control--the ability to eradicate the strategic freedom
of the adversary--does not necessarily mean eliminating
all of that enemy's tactical actions. In the Gulf War,
Iraq never lost the capability to fly individual aircraft
sorties. However, these air sorties were of little
or no consequence to the outcome of the conflict.
Critical to the concept of control is the ability
to affect essential systems on which an enemy relies.
Using force to inject incapacitating effects in an
entire system can yield effective control over that
system. You could also "control" a system
by destroying it, but it would require much more military
force for no better or more useful result.
Pursuit of effective control conserves military forces
otherwise needed for destruction. This in turn expands
the number of systems subject to control through force
application. Case in point: It takes a certain amount
of force to obliterate the air defense system around
Baghdad but a much smaller amount to shut down a power
grid supplying electricity to the system. Attacking
in this way frees up aircraft for other purposes.
Effective control of enough of the adversary's enabling
operational-level systems will paralyze his ability
to function at the strategic level. Ultimately, the
enemy will be compelled to acquiesce to the will of
the controlling force.
In the Gulf War, coalition forces attacked in parallel
at rates so high that Iraq had essentially no chance
to repair lost assets or find alternatives and continue
its resistance.
Military planners have always seen the desirability
and value of simultaneous attacks, but they had never
been able to produce them. This was due to three factors:
- Effective air defenses, which forced the attacker
to divert aircraft away from the main attack.
- Inaccurate weapons, which produced a need to mass
aircraft and bombs in order to have a chance of hitting
the target.
- Lack of an operational-level concept focusing on
the use of effects rather than destruction.
The first two shortcomings required technological
solutions-namely, stealth and precision guided weapons-which
did not mature until the late 1980s. When they were
in hand, planners were able to tackle the third factor.
For decades, airpower theories suffered from weakness
in execution. The World War II campaigns against German
ball-bearing and aircraft industries took seven months.
The anti-transport campaign took five months, and the
oil campaign took six months. These relatively long
operations gave the enemy time to recover in other
systems and escape a rapid paralyzing blow.
In the Gulf War, however, precision munitions obviated
a need for mass. Coalition forces dropped 9,000 laser-guided
bombs, but that understates their impact. In some cases,
a single aircraft and one Precision Guided Munition
produced the same result as a World War II raid of
1,000 airplanes delivering 9,000 bombs.
In short, the arrival of PGMs offset the need for
mass attacks to achieve a high probability of success.
By the 1970s, radar detection and radar-guided surface
missiles and guns had become a lethal fact of the battlespace.
Experience in Vietnam and the 1973 Arab-Israeli war
indicated that highly defended targets would yield
to successful attack only when protected and attacked
by large "force packages" to get strike aircraft
into and out of a target area.
A typical force package during the 1972 Linebacker
I campaign consisted of 62 combat aircraft (less air
refuelers) to get 16 fighter-bombers into and out of
a target area. This cut down the number of targets
that could be attacked at any time.
Stealth-in the form of the F-117-provided the solution
to this problem. Stealth radically reduced the number
of aircraft, supporting personnel, and infrastructure
required to effectively strike a large number of targets.
In the Gulf, F-117s flew less than 2 percent of combat
sorties but attacked 43 percent of targets on the master
target list.
In a typical attack comparison, a nonstealth package
of 41 aircraft was needed to hit a single target with
three aim points in the Basra area. At the same time,
20 F-117s were sent against 37 aim points in areas
of equally high threat, with no losses.
Conventional planners and intelligence personnel tend
to think about targeting in terms of "required
number of sorties" to achieve "desired damage
against each target." An intelligence evaluation
of Gulf air war progress demonstrates how one can be
misled by a focus on individual target damage.
On Feb. 15, 1991, the coalition target-planning cell
received a report on the electric target set. Not all
targets included in the primary and secondary electric
target set had been destroyed or damaged to a specific
percentage. Thus, the analysis concluded, the coalition
had not met its objective.
In reality, Baghdad's electricity system had ceased
to function. The planning cell knew the true situation
and reduced the number of planned strikes. Some Iraqi
power plant managers even shut down their plants to
avoid attack. Coalition air forces achieved their goal
without exposing themselves to danger.
The Gulf War's initial attack plan called for shutting
down Iraq's air defense command-and-control system
through complete destruction. However, it was determined
that there were not enough stealthy F-117s to destroy
each of the nodes of the air defense system simultaneously.
The solution lay in effects-based targeting. Not all
nodes had to be destroyed; attacks needed only to make
them ineffective and unable to conduct operations during
specific periods.
The attack plan was rewritten in a way that allocated
fewer F-117 loads to some targets. This greatly multiplied
the number of stealth/precision strikes available for
use elsewhere.
The opening 24 hours of the air war saw the fleet
of F-117s carry out attacks on 76 separate targets.
For comparision, under the traditional destruction-based
way of war, plans called for the F-117s to attack only
two targets on the first day.
Planning for effects raises complex issues. Planners,
working with intelligence officers, must determine
which effects on each enemy system will contribute
most to the attainment of military and political objectives
of the theater campaign. This depends upon the specific
political and military objective, enemy vulnerabilities,
individual target systems, and weapon systems capabilities.
A campaign plan is highly dependent on the weapon
systems available. Thus, an effective plan squeezes
maximum impact from those systems-not in terms of absolute
destruction of a list of targets but in terms of effects
desired upon target systems.
Strategy means matching means and ends. Assigning
certain air assets (means) to certain target systems
to achieve specific effects (ends) is the basis of
the new-style air campaign. It is generally articulated
in a Concept of Operations that describes friendly
force intentions and integration of operations to accomplish
a commander's objectives.
Of concern here is not so much the CONOPS process
or format but rather the philosophy underlying the
air strategy.
In Vietnam, the Air Force developed a command-and-control
organization to plan and execute air-to-surface attack.
Known as the Tactical Air Control System, it emphasized
allocating sorties to individual targets in support
of ground operations. At the center of the TACS process
was the Tactical Air Control Center. To a large extent,
targets processed through the TACC were chosen and
prioritized not by airmen but by ground commanders.
Battle damage assessment focused on destruction of
individual targets. The function and organization of
the TACS led many to confuse the efficiency of hitting
individual targets with the effectiveness of achieving
campaign objectives.
TACS was established in doctrine as the air command-and-control
system for conventional war. Post-Vietnam change focused
on expediting responsiveness, enhancing sortie generation
rates, and incorporating modern systems to quickly
process large Air Tasking Orders. The process received
great emphasis, while development of air strategy got
almost none.
In the 1980s, USAF's Tactical Air Command and the
Army's Training and Doctrine Command developed extremely
close ties. This helped elevate the Army's doctrine
of AirLand Battle as TAC's de facto air strategy in
regional conflicts.

Instant Gridlock. To achieve coalition goals, its aircraft didn't have
to attack individual tanks or troop formations. Dropping a bridge,
as shown here, would effectively halt the enemy's advance or block
his line of retreat. (DOD photo)
|
In time, USAF attitudes changed. Basic Air Force instructional
documents on target planning boasted a full chapter
on targeting for AirLand Battle but contained no principles
or guidelines for conventional strategic attack.
In short, the Air Force's largest and most influential
conventional air command, TAC, entered the 1990s with
its vision of conventional war almost totally focused
on supporting the Army-a critical but by no means only
capability of conventional airpower.
These thought patterns and views were apparent among
TACC planners and intelligence personnel who were assigned
to Central Air Forces in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia, in the
summer of 1990. Attention was focused exclusively on
tactical operations. The prevailing procedures for
designing an ATO produced a purely mechanistic application
of sorties to targets in sequence.
They called it "servicing a target list."
Fortunately, the architects of the Gulf air campaign,
who began work in late August 1990, did not limit themselves
to the servicing-a-target-list approach. The design
of the air campaign grew out of thinking about how
to hit an enemy's systems to achieve specific effects
contributing to the military and political objectives
of the coalition.
Planning was based on a "center-of-gravity" approach.
It began with a critical examination of potential strategic
centers of gravity, their constituent operational systems,
and led to identifying the set of individual targets
making up each system.
Decisions about whether to stop or continue an attack
depended on whether the coalition had achieved a specific
effect. Individual targets were important only if the
system was still operating. If the effects desired
were achieved, it did not matter that individual targets
may not have been hit.
Figs. 6 and 7 illustrate the subtle but significant
difference between "destruction-based" and "effects-based" operations.
Fig. 6 shows two serial-targeting approaches-the single
prioritized list and the multiple target set lists
prioritized in sequence. The serial approach targets
elements of an adversary's defenses that restrict access
to certain targets-early warning radars, air defense
systems, command-and-control nodes, and airfields.
They are to be hit before production, government, and
leadership facilities.
Series methodology can be applied to an entire target
base or group of individual targets. However, attacking
one system at a time allows the others to continue
operations or recover from previous attacks.

Fig. 7 shows the parallel attack scheme, application
of force against all targets in each target system
at one time. With correct identification of target
systems, the desired effect is likely. The simultaneous
application of force in such a manner would enable
friendly control over the adversary systems. When a
force faces a target set too large to be struck through
single attack, then planners should first focus on
hitting those aim points that will produce the greatest
impact.
Early attack operations are weighted to paralyze the
air defense areas in which nonstealthy assets would
operate. This is the reason for the skewing depicted
in Fig. 7 toward the target sets A, B, C, etc., notionally
representing air defense, airfield, and command-and-control
target sets.
However, intelligence about the enemy never will be
total. Moreover, an enemy will attempt to negate the
effects of attacks. As a consequence, parallel war
may involve more than one case of force application,
even if there are sufficient resources to attack all
known elements.
The advent of EBO calls for a basic realignment in
war planning. The combination of stealth and precision
redefines the concept of mass. Classical mass-that
is, a large agglomeration of forces-is no longer required.
Surface forces will always be useful, but massing surface
forces to overwhelm an enemy isn't required to gain
control of an enemy.
Nor is it necessarily the smartest course. It takes
more aircraft to transport a single light infantry
division to a war theater than it took to move all
of the PGMs used in the Gulf War of 1991.
Early deploying forces should be those with a demonstrated
ability to effectively influence an adversary. If the
measure of merit for service transformations became
one of desired effect per unit of lift-the degree that
combat effectiveness increases for each quantity of
lift expended-future lift requirements might actually
be reduced.
Massed forces--air, ground, or sea--present a lucrative
target to an enemy. Therefore, the traditionally accepted
concept of "mass," a valued principle of
war, becomes in some situations a vulnerability. Potential
adversaries may capitalize on the massing of forces
and associated build-up time to deny US access to a
war theater. These anti-access strategies become more
probable as delivery systems such as accurate ballistic
missiles, cruise missiles, and weapons of mass destruction
proliferate among potentially hostile states.
Since the ability to impose effects is independent
of the massing of forces, the projection of force becomes
more important than the development of force. The object
of presence or mass is influence. The operative element
of achieving influence is the threat or actual use
of force to achieve a particular effect. If the same
effect can be imposed without physical presence or
mass, then in some circumstances deployed forces can
be replaced by power projection.
Systems-based intelligence analysis is critical to
the application of EBO. Planners need to know what
an enemy needs to exert influence and conduct operations.
Without that information, parallel war won't be effective.
Exploiting advances in space-based systems, communications
technology, and rapid information transfer can reduce
this potential vulnerability by reducing the need for
forward-based organizational elements.
Redefining the concept of mass, relying to a greater
degree on force projection rather than force deployment,
and aiming to control adversary systems rather than
destroy them requires changes in the current approach
to force management. The changes needed may include
more reliance upon out-of-theater command, control,
communications, computer, and intelligence organizations,
distributive intelligence architecture, and "off-board" systems
that can provide information direct to the user.
We are in a transition phase of the ongoing revolution
in military affairs. Parallel war achieved through
EBO departs from traditional strategies, but we fight
with the tools available today. We must carefully manage
the transition to the new instruments of war to assure
their development is not restricted by the theories
of the past and to adapt current systems to more lucrative
strategies.
It is proving to be a difficult transition. The tendency
to retain orthodox concepts and doctrine is strong
when the means on which those concepts and doctrine
were based still make up the bulk of the inventory.
Military doctrine is invaluable in establishing a basis
for force application, but it must not be allowed to
constrain effective forms of application just because
they are different and nontraditional.
EBO provides a useful construct on how to conduct
war that can bridge the gap between the weapons of
today and the weapons of the future. It allows useful
application of current weapon systems as we acquire
a new generation of tools needed to fully exploit the
concept.
The air campaign in the Gulf War and the air war over
Serbia used bombs and missiles on individual targets
to achieve a specific effect within the parent system.
These air campaigns gave us a view of the leverage
that stealth, precision, rapid and secure information
transfer, ready access to accurate positional information,
and other cutting-edge technological systems can provide.
However, while the aircraft/PGM match of the 1990s
far exceeded the capability of the systems used during
World War II, it still is crude compared to the ideal
means for the conduct of EBO. We must continue to develop
systems that will provide even higher leverage effects.
As technological innovation accelerates, "nonlethal" weapons
and cyberwar enabled by information operations will
become operative means in parallel war.
The ability to achieve effects directly against systems
without attacking individual components would allow
a concept of parallel war preferable to that of today.
Indeed, the ultimate application of parallel war would
involve few destructive weapons at all; the objective
is effects, not destruction. Nonlethal weapons, information
warfare, miniaturized highly accurate munitions, and
space-based systems might make such concepts a reality.
While nonlethal weapons and information warfare will
allow us to further capitalize on the concept of targeting
for effects while continuing to limit casualties, only
new organizations and doctrine aiming to exploit EBO
can fulfill the full potential of this concept. Nonlethal
weapons and information warfare should enhance the
ability of our forces to conduct operations to directly
achieve desired effects. In this respect, recent attempts
to develop and write joint military doctrine are helpful
when their focus is on weapon systems capabilities
and effects-based planning rather than employment environment
or presumptions of attrition and annihilation.
Parallel war through EBO does not exclude any force
component in time, space, or level of war at the outset
of any political-military challenge. However, that
does not equate to each force always participating
in every operation or to a degree in some proportion
to their size or presence. Whoever can perform the
operations to achieve the desired effects best at the
time should have it assigned to them.
Optimum parallel war is dependent upon a functional
organization encompassing not just the air component
but the entire theater campaign (i.e., a joint force
land component commander, a joint force naval component
commander, as well as a joint force aerospace component
commander) with a true joint force commander (not dual-hatted
as a component commander as well) orchestrating the
synergies of the entire force.
EBO can be applied in every medium of warfare. Even
so, aerospace power's relative advantages-speed, range,
flexibility, precision, perspective, and lethality-fit
hand in glove with this new strategic construct. Joint
aerospace power has the potential to achieve effects
at every level of war directly and quickly. As a result,
it will remain the dominant means for conducting parallel
war through EBO in major regional conflicts in the
future.
Brig. Gen. David A. Deptula is the Air Force National
Defense Review director. During Desert Storm, he was
the principal planner for the coalition air offensive.
This article is adapted from a longer paper, "Effects-Based
Operations: Change in the Nature of Warfare," which
is available on the Air Force Association Web site (www.afa.org).