The warning was nothing
if not blunt. "A direct attack against American
citizens on American soil is likely over the next quarter
century. The risk is not only death and destruction
but also a demoralization that could undermine US global
leadership."
Moreover, "in the face of this threat, our nation
has no coherent or integrated governmental structures."
The act of guarding US territory from foreign depredations
should be made "the primary national security
mission of the United States." Preventing or deterring
attacks against US soil or responding to them if preventive
measures fail will require a comprehensive strategy
and new government structures.
Such was the principal conclusion of the US Commission
on National Security/21st Century, better known as
the Hart-Rudman Commission after co-chairmen Gary Hart,
a former Democratic Senator from Colorado, and Warren
Rudman, a former Republican Senator from New Hampshire.
The panel was chartered in 1998 by Defense Secretary
William S. Cohen. It has now reported to both Cohen
and to President Bush's Pentagon leader, Donald H.
Rumsfeld.
In late January, the group issued its third and final
report. The commission released its Phase 1 and Phase
2 reports in September 1999 and April 2000, respectively,
setting out a threat environment over the next 25 years
and outlining what the panel viewed as a realistic
new national security strategy.
The Phase 3 document called for dramatic changes to
the US national security apparatus itself, including
a proposal to create a new homeland security agency.
Titled "Road Map for National Security: Imperative
for Change," the report built upon the group's
previous work and raised stark concerns about US vulnerability.
The Focal Point
One striking recommendation: Convert the Federal Emergency
Management Agency into a "National Homeland Security
Agency." The new agency would be chartered in
law to provide a focal point for government response
in "all natural and man-made crisis and emergency
planning scenarios."
The NHSA director would enjoy Cabinet rank, undergo
Senate confirmation, and serve as an advisor to the
National Security Council--as is the case today with
the director of central intelligence. The panel believes
the proposed structure would ensure that one person
is accountable to the President for homeland defense
policy-making and implementation.
The NSC, though, would still play a role in planning
and coordinating homeland security missions involving
other federal agencies like the Defense Department,
the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, and
the Department of Health and Human Services.
"Through the commission's proposal for a National
Homeland Security Agency, the US government will be
able to improve the planning and coordination of federal
support to state and local agencies, to rationalize
the allocation of resources, to enhance readiness in
order to prevent attacks, and to facilitate recovery
if prevention fails," the report stated.
"Most important," it added, "this proposal
[places] the problem of homeland security within the
broader framework of US national security strategy.
... We are mindful that erecting the operational side
of this strategy will take time."
The report said NHSA's planning and coordination activities
would be carried out by three components:
- Directorate of Prevention, to oversee border-security
activities.
- Directorate of Critical Infrastructure Protection,
to head up the agency's cyber-security operations.
- Directorate of Emergency Preparedness and Response,
to set training and hardware standards, give resource
grants, and promote information sharing by DOD, FBI,
and state officials.
The new agency would also feature a National Crisis
Action Center, led by a two-star National Guard general,
responsible for coordinating the federal response to
crises.
The commission said the NHSA structure, consolidating
today's disparate homeland security activities, would
focus the government's attention on preventing terrorist
attacks against American citizens and critical infrastructure.
Prevention activities would include a commitment to
verifiable arms control and nonproliferation and establishing "vigilant
systems of border security and surveillance" carried
out by the Border Patrol, Customs Service, and Coast
Guard, all three of which would become NHSA components.
An increased number of people and a rising volume
of trade crossing US borders means it will be necessary
to develop "new transportation security procedures
and practices designed to reduce the risk that importers,
exporters, freight forwarders, and transportation carriers
will serve as the unwitting conduits for criminal or
terrorist activities," the report said.
Enhanced homeland security requires better intelligence
gathering and sharing throughout the government so
that high-risk shipments and individuals can be targeted
for inspection by border-control agencies. Further,
those border-patrol officials should have greater authority
to apprehend terrorists and stop shipments before they
reach the United States, according to the commission.
Pay Attention
All signs are that the Pentagon will play a vital
role in responding to a terrorist attack on US soil
using Weapons of Mass Destruction, the report said.
The Defense Department itself "should pay far
more attention" to homeland security, and it should
be reorganized to better support the overall mission.
The report noted that, at present, the department
assigns responsibility for WMD incidents to the assistant
to the secretary of defense for civil support while
the Army's director of military support responds to
non-WMD contingencies. The commission didn't like that
setup. "Such an arrangement does not provide clear
lines of authority and responsibility or ensure political
accountability," the commission concluded.
The panel recommended that the President ask Congress
to establish within the Office of the Secretary of
Defense the post of assistant secretary of defense
for homeland security. This official would have powers
to oversee the department's homeland security activities
and make sure "mechanisms are in place for coordinating
military support in major emergencies."
The new assistant secretary would report directly
to the Defense Secretary. "He or she would work
to integrate homeland security into Defense Department
planning and ensure that adequate resources are forthcoming," the
report added.
To that end, the committee recommended that the new
assistant secretary work closely with Joint Forces
Command to enhance the capabilities of the Joint Task
Force for Civil Support.
The task force should be headed by a senior National
Guard general and given additional headquarters personnel,
the report said. Furthermore, the task force should "contain
several rapid reaction forces, composed largely of
rapidly mobilizable National Guard units" with
adequate command-and-control capabilities for handling
multiple emergencies, it said.
The report acknowledges the role strong nuclear and
conventional forces can play in deterring attacks against
the homeland, but it added that those forces may not
deter nonstate actors that wish to strike the United
States.
Taking into consideration the continuing proliferation
of missile technology, the commissioners argued that
a ballistic missile defense system would be a valuable
addition to defense capabilities and should be developed "to
the extent technically feasible, fiscally prudent,
and politically sustainable."
The report called for defenses to protect the homeland
from cruise missile attack.
Going to the Guard
The Hart-Rudman panel placed heavy emphasis on the
role the National Guard can play in homeland security
missions. Indeed, one of the Phase 3 report's top recommendations
called on the President and Secretary of Defense to
make homeland security a primary mission of the Guard.
"The commission recommends that the National
Guard be directed to fulfill its historic and constitutional
mission of homeland security," it said. Presently,
the Guard is mainly structured to support overseas
military operations. The panel proposed that the Guard
redistribute its resources "to provide greater
support to civil authorities in preparing for and responding
to disasters, especially emergencies involving Weapons
of Mass Destruction."
Subsequently, the Guard would take on missions such
as initiating local, state, and regional planning for
responding to a WMD attack and training first responders.
Furthermore, the Guard should take advantage of experience
it gains from crisis-response activities to develop
an "overseas capability for international humanitarian
assistance and disaster relief," the report said.
The redistribution of Guard resources should only
come after "a detailed assessment of force requirements" for
Major Theater Wars and homeland security operations.
This assessment should be conducted by DOD with the
active participation of state governors and the NHSA
director, the report said.
Two-War Concerns
As in the group's Phase 2 report, the commission's
final study addresses problems with DOD's force planning
methods and takes aim at the Pentagon's present strategy
of sizing forces to fight and win two overlapping Major
Theater Wars.
In its Phase 2 report, the commission expressed concern
that the two-Major Theater War strategy inhibits DOD
reform efforts and prevents the military from deploying
the five kinds of forces-namely, strategic nuclear,
homeland security, conventional, expeditionary, and
humanitarian/constabulary forces-needed in the post-Cold
War world to deal with symmetrical and asymmetrical
threats.
The panel maintains that the possibility of two such
conflicts erupting in the same time frame is "remote" and
is not supported by "actual intelligence estimates
nor by this commission's view of the likely future," the
Phase 3 report said. "We believe it is more useful
to plan and retain readiness for a major conflict,
while also securing the homeland and responding to
small- or medium-scale conflicts, international terrorism,
peacekeeping, humanitarian actions, and other commitments
requiring US military support."
With that in mind, the commission called for a new
top-down planning process that would accelerate efforts
to transform the military's capabilities as recommended,
with the highest priority reserved for developing DOD
expeditionary forces.
Commissioners did not offer suggestions on the numbers
and types of divisions, wings, and naval battle groups
to carry out alternatives to the two-MTW strategy.
Instead, the group focused attention on how to alter
processes that for years have led defense officials
to conclude that it needs to shape its forces according
to the two-MTW yardstick.
The Phase 3 report said, "The Secretary of Defense
should direct the DOD to shift from the threat-based
force sizing process to one which measures requirements
against recent operational activity trends, actual
intelligence estimates of potential adversaries' capabilities,
and national security objectives as defined in the
new Administration's national security strategy"-once
formulated.
As part of the Secretary's attempts to forge a mechanism
for sizing forces, the Defense Secretary "should
revise the current categories of Major Force Programs
used in the defense program review to focus on providing
a different mix of military capabilities." Those
categories should correspond to the five kinds of forces
endorsed by the commission, the report said.
Emphasizing Space
In addition to policies that affect military force
structure, the report gives special attention to DOD
space policy.
"There is no more critical dimension of defense
policy than to guarantee US commercial and military
access to outer space," the report said. "The
US economy and military are vitally dependent on communications
that rely on space. The clear imperative for the new
era is a comprehensive national policy toward space
and a coherent governmental machinery to carry it out."
The commission called for establishing an Interagency
Working Group on Space at the National Security Council
to coordinate the nation's space policy. The working
group would comprise representatives from the Commerce,
State, and Defense departments, Intelligence Community,
and NASA, among others.
|
Commission Members
|
| Co-Chairmen |
|
Gary Hart, former Senator (D-Colo.).
Warren Rudman, former Senator
(R-N.H.). |
| Commissioners |
|
Newt Gingrich, former Speaker
of the House (R-Ga.).
James R. Schlesinger, former
defense secretary, energy secretary, and director
of the Central Intelligence Agency.
Retired Adm. Harry D. Train II,
former commander in chief, US Atlantic Command.
Retired Army Gen. John R. Galvin,
former Supreme Allied Commander Europe.
Andrew Young, former US ambassador
to the United Nations.
Anne Armstrong, former counselor
to Presidents Nixon and Ford and former US
ambassador to Britain.
Norman R. Augustine, former chairman
and CEO of Lockheed Martin.
John Dancy, former NBC News White
House, Congressional, and diplomatic correspondent.
Leslie H. Gelb, former State
Department director of politico-military affairs;
president of Council on Foreign Relations.
Lee Hamilton, former chairman
(D-Ind.) of the House Intelligence Committee;
director of the Woodrow Wilson International
Center for Scholars.
Lionel H. Olmer, former undersecretary
of commerce for international trade.
Donald B. Rice, former Secretary
of the Air Force. |
Keith J. Costa is chief editor of "Inside the Pentagon," a
Washington, D.C.-based defense newsletter. His most recent
article for Air Force Magazine, "Toward a 'Concert
for Freedom,' " appeared in the April 2000 issue.