If the Western alliance survives the severe stresses
and strains of recent months, and that’s a big “if,” it
will have a different military look. The North Atlantic
Treaty Organization, despite quarreling on Iraq, has
begun reforming and streamlining its command structure,
pushing investment in capabilities where the alliance
now has critical shortfalls, and creating a military
response force with 21,000 personnel.
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Long the poster child for NATO resource pooling,
the alliance’s multinational AWACS command-and-control
fleet may serve as a model for other modernization
efforts. A NATO E-3 over Denmark prepares to
be refueled by an Illinois Air National Guard
KC-135.
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These changes acknowledge security needs markedly
different than those of the Cold War.
Even as NATO moves forward with its new military plan,
the recent attempt by France, Germany, and Belgium
to block movement of defensive weapons to Turkey—the
only NATO member to share a border with Iraq—prompted
some to say the alliance was dead. The US and other
members prevailed. NATO sent AWACS radar aircraft,
Patriot missile defense systems, and other equipment
to Turkey in late February.
At the Prague summit last November, NATO members
approved a new set of military priorities, known as
the Prague Capabilities Commitment, that provides a
narrow set of specific goals and plans to achieve them.
Members pledged to work to close the capabilities gap
with the US, streamline NATO’s command structure,
establish a new command for alliance transformation,
and create a NATO Response Force.
According to a White House fact sheet, “America’s
NATO allies wanted to help fight the war on terror
and most did, but, because of the speed with which
the Afghan campaign was planned and their limited combat
power projection capabilities, many NATO allies were
not able to contribute as fully and meaningfully as
they wanted.”
The Prague Capabilities Commitment encourages NATO
members to pursue niche capabilities and multinational
efforts to fill gaps in airlift, air-to-air refueling,
precision weapons, and weapons of mass destruction
defenses, among others.
NATO invited seven nations (Bulgaria, Estonia, Latvia,
Lithuania, Romania, Slovakia, and Slovenia) to join
the alliance as early as next year. They will add unique
military capabilities.
Meanwhile, a new command structure is to replace the
alliance’s archaic headquarters system with two
overarching entities: an Allied Command–Operations
and an Allied Command–Transformation. This restructure
should be finalized at a meeting of NATO defense ministers
in June and will roughly mirror the split between geographic
and support commands in the US Defense Department.
NATO’s operations command will be headquartered
at Mons, Belgium, and will oversee near-term warfighting
needs. The transformation command will be at Norfolk,
Va., colocated with US Joint Forces Command. The command
will “be responsible for the continuing transformation
of military capabilities and ... promotion of interoperability,” according
to a NATO release.
Also being established this year is the NATO Response
Force, a group of land, air, and sea assets designed
to give the alliance the ability to quickly project
power beyond its borders.
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A C-130 from Italy participates in Enduring
Freedom. Germany is purchasing the Airbus A400M
but won’t see the first transports until
2008. NATO may turn to C-17s to meet its 2005
goal for more strategic lift.
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Extending NATO’s Reach
“ Prior to 11 September, there was always a
theological debate about whether NATO should ever operate
outside the NATO area of responsibility,” said
former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe Gen. Joseph
W. Ralston. “If 11 September did nothing else,
it put to bed that argument that a threat to a NATO
country has to originate in the country immediately
adjacent to its border.”
The NRF was a US proposal and has been strongly advocated
by Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld.
The need for NATO to look beyond its borders was further
validated by the experience in Operation Enduring Freedom
in Afghanistan. A senior defense official told Air
Force Magazine that material recovered from al Qaeda
showed there were “many Western European and
American targets that this organization had its gunsights
on.”
NATO hopes to have its response force work in a manner
similar to the USAF’s rotating air and space
expeditionary forces. Units will be on-call for six
months at a time and will train and exercise together,
remaining ready to engage in intense combat if needed.
According to a White House fact sheet, the force will
notionally include air assets and command-and-control
capabilities to support up to 200 combat sorties per
day. It would also have a brigade-sized land force
and maritime forces up to the size of a NATO standing
naval force. That would make the NRF roughly a 21,000-person
force. Initial operational capability is slated for
October 2004, if not earlier.
NATO is not waiting for new members to improve security
in Europe, and officials say much progress has been
made in recent years.
“ NATO has done an awful lot that doesn’t
appear on the front page,” Ralston said in an
interview. For example, nearly 40,000 troops remain
under NATO command in the Balkans, maintaining stability
in the region after a decade of turbulence. “Every
day, you don’t read about it, you don’t
hear about it, but the troops are doing a remarkable
job,” the general said. “Kosovo today is
a far better place than it was three, or 20, years
ago.”
Even the current Kosovo force level is a vast reduction
from the units in place immediately following Operation
Allied Force in 1999. “We’ve been able
to make those reductions because the situation has
improved on the ground,” Ralston said, an improvement
directly attributable to the stability NATO has brought
to the region.
Allied Force also revealed some of the limitations
of the alliance’s existing structure, both militarily
and politically. Kosovo and Afghanistan have reinforced
the need for NATO to have a force ready to respond
within or outside the alliance’s geographic area
of responsibility.
“ That’s what the NATO Response Force
is all about—air, land, and sea [forces] that
can do high-intensity conflict anywhere in the world,” Ralston
said.
“ Right now, NATO really doesn’t have the ability to respond on five
days’ notice with a highly robust force,” another senior official
noted. “We need something that’s light, mobile, that can sustain
itself ... [and] can get to places quickly,” the official said.
Rumsfeld himself considers the NRF a cornerstone of
the alliance’s future relevance. “If NATO
does not have a force that is quick and agile, which
can deploy in days or weeks instead of months or years,
then it will not have much to offer the world in the
21st century,” Rumsfeld said before Prague.
Ralston said the NRF concept has been under development
for years. “You don’t hear much about the
High Readiness Force Land Corps Headquarters,” which
oversees NATO rapid-reaction land forces. Combine the
land corps with allied sea and air components, and “you’ve
got the NATO Response Force,” Ralston said.
The NRF will train together to create the sort of
intimacy that is “required for high-end operations,
such as seizing an airfield,” another official
said.
The US role in the NRF will depend upon the situation and is expected to fluctuate
over time and with regular force rotations. One official said the Pentagon
is tired of bearing an inequitable burden, so the DOD contribution to the force
is “certainly not going to be one-half” of the personnel and equipment
needed.
The force itself will feature capabilities many individual
NATO members may not have, such as precision-attack
aircraft and munitions. Yet every member is able to
make some sort of contribution to the force.
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NATO exercises, which often include Partnership
for Peace countries such as Estonia (here, some
Estonian troops board an airlifter), help develop
common tactics and make joint operations more
efficient.
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Whither the EU Force?
There has been some concern that the NATO Response
Force may wind up in competition with the European
Union’s plan to create a Rapid Reaction Force
for similar missions. But the competing plans are unlikely
to destabilize NATO because the EU will probably only
act in cases where NATO is unwilling to commit combat-oriented
forces, such as for peacekeeping operations
.Last June, NATO Secretary General George Robertson
noted that Europe needs options like the EU force because “there
is simply no guarantee that the US or NATO as an organization
will wish to get involved in each and every security
crisis in and around Europe.”
The concept for an EU force features the ability to
deploy 60,000 troops within 60 days. The force was
to have been established this year, but, as is frequently
the case in European defense initiatives, wavering
commitment has called the schedule into question.
According to an assessment by the British American
Security Information Council, the EU Rapid Reaction
Force “is falling farther behind its projected
implementation date of 2003,” leading some to
criticize the idea as a “phantom force” that
will never be realized.
With US backing and calls for niche contributions,
the NATO Response Force “may be able to avoid
some of the problems that have beset the EU,” BASIC
determined.
But American support does not mean the US is willing
to foot the bill for the NRF, a senior defense official
said. The US aims to be an equitable contributor—“we
really want the allies to [provide] the weight, especially
during the first several rotations of this force,” the
official said.
The goal is to avoid a recurring problem from the
past in which NATO initiatives devolve into US–funded
initiatives. The best way to avoid that, according
to the senior official, is for the European allies
to take the lead on the initial NRF rotations, with
US forces cycling in once the concept is firmly established.
“ With every rotation you go through, you’ve
got a wider pool” of trained, experienced, and
interoperable forces spread across Europe, the official
said.
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This Dutch F-16, flying over Afghanistan,
carries laser-guided bombs, but many NATO allies
lack precision weaponry. US aircraft with precision
munitions.
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Interoperability Improves
Recent events have begun to institutionalize alliance
procedures to the benefit of all of Europe. “NATO
is more interoperable today than at any time in its
history, and that is a by-product of the Balkans,” Ralston
asserted.
Nations that fought in Allied Force or that are in
the Balkans today are using NATO doctrine, procedures,
and tactics “24 hours a day, 365 days a year,” Ralston
said.
“ And when that company from Bulgaria goes back
home after pulling their tour, they don’t forget
the procedures they had used—they continue and
take that back to their countries,” he said.
This was not always the case in the past. During the
Cold War, nations would commonly use NATO procedures
during exercises, then abandon them and go back to
national procedures.
When Enduring Freedom came along, allies participating
in the operation “immediately used NATO doctrine,
NATO procedures, [and] NATO tactics—just like
they had been doing with their troops in the Balkans,” Ralston
said.
Another official said the ability to respond quickly
in Enduring Freedom, which was not a NATO operation,
was largely attributable to 50 years of NATO operations
and training.
The international commanders in Afghanistan know each
other through NATO circles, this official noted. Common
operating frameworks and interoperable equipment were
available, so “even though NATO didn’t
have its flag in Afghanistan, its ethos was there,” he
said.
Interoperability is improving, but whether the allies
will close the capability gap with the United States
remains to be seen. The senior official said last November’s
capability commitments are encouraging, but it would
be “foolish to be wildly optimistic” about
the allies catching up to US military strength.
However, niche capabilities do not mean that a nation
can do “washing machine duties for the alliance
and that’s it,” the official added. Members
still require the “ability to send ground pounders” appropriate
to their size.
“ Let’s be realistic about this,” added
Ralston. “What can they bring to the alliance
that can be of use—that’s what specialization
is all about.”
At the Prague summit, NATO pledged to improve military strength in specific
areas. In a departure from 1999’s Defense Capabilities Initiatives, which
laid out a laundry list of areas for improvement, the Prague Capabilities Commitment
details a short list of requirements and steps to address them.
Robertson pushed cooperative efforts to fix several
shortfalls, including a German–led initiative
to improve alliance airlift. Germany recently committed
to the Airbus A400M transport program, but the aircraft
is not expected to enter service until around 2008.
Recognizing the immediate need for strategic lift,
10 NATO members signed a statement of intent at the
summit. The document pledges “every effort to
contribute to multinational arrangements in order to
provide additional outsize airlift ... not later than
2004–2005.” Boeing’s C-17 airlifter
is the logical choice to meet this interim requirement,
but a company spokesman said no final commitments have
been made.
Also approved in Prague was an air-to-air refueling
initiative, led by Spain. “The objective is to
make available a fleet of 10 to 15 additional air tankers
or an equivalent solution,” the statement of
intent reads. The aircraft are to be obtained “in
the short/medium term” for possible use by both
NATO and the European Union.
This plan would create a multinational force of tankers
similar to the multinationally operated NATO AWACS
command-and-control aircraft force used to help defend
US airspace in the days after the 9/11 terrorist attacks.
Other multinational efforts addressing alliance capability gaps include a Dutch–led
consortium to pool purchases of precision guided munitions, a Spanish–Dutch
commitment to buy suppression of enemy air defense weapons, and a Norwegian–German
agreement to improve maritime countermine capabilities.
NATO members Canada, Denmark, Italy, Netherlands,
Norway, Turkey, and UK, meanwhile, have all signed
on to be partners—and financial contributors—in
the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter program.
Officials agree that bringing NATO up to US warfighting
standards is absolutely essential. Operation Allied
Force in 1999 revealed huge capability gaps between
the NATO “haves” and “have-nots” in
areas such as stealth and precision strike. These capability
gaps could threaten the alliance if left unresolved.
After Allied Force, Robertson said “a two-class
NATO, with a precision class and a bleeding class ...
would be politically unsustainable” and must
be avoided.
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The F-16 above, won’t always be available
for NRF use.
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Organizing
for Transformation
The simplified command structure
proposed for NATO is being pursued in large
part to foster transformation.
When the Pentagon updated its
Unified Command Plan last year, US Joint
Forces Command (the former US Atlantic Command)
gave up all geographic responsibilities.
This was done so JFCOM could focus on transformation
and experimentation priorities without being
distracted by near-term warfighting requirements.
That was “the mirror
image of what NATO is doing—taking
the former [Supreme Allied Commander Atlantic]
and divesting SACLANT of its geographic responsibilities,” said
former NATO Supreme Allied Commander Europe
Gen. Joseph W. Ralston.
Once NATO’s Allied Command–Operations
assumes responsibility for combat in the
Atlantic, Allied Command–Transformation
will be able to focus entirely on transforming
NATO’s militaries.
Until last year, the JFCOM
chief also served as SACLANT, but the roles
have temporarily been separated. “There
was no need to fill that [NATO] hat while
the transformation was under way,” a
senior defense official explained.
Though the exact relationship
between JFCOM and Allied Command–Transformation
remains undetermined, officials on both sides
of the Atlantic favor restoring a formal
tie between the commands.
“ It needs to be a very strong link,” Ralston commented. “My
personal view is that the commander of US Joint Forces Command should probably
be dual-hatted as the commander of Allied Command–Transformation” to
ensure that US and NATO priorities remain in lockstep. “Once SACLANT gives
up its geographic responsibilities,” the decision to decouple JFCOM from
NATO should be revisited, he said.
NATO Secretary General George
Robertson earlier this year cautioned against
waiting too long to restore that link. By
aligning US and NATO transformation and experimentation
efforts, the alliance will “stop the
possibility of the thinking drifting apart.” NATO
is a force multiplier, Robertson said, but
only if “the capabilities, the interoperability,
and the thinking are fully in sync.”
At a defense ministerial meeting
in June, NATO intends to finalize its new
command structure, including the exact roles
and makeup of Allied Commands Transformation
and Operations. At that time, it is expected
that Marine Corps Gen. James L. Jones Jr.
will add the title of NATO’s Supreme
Allied Commander–Operations to his
duties as head of US European Command.
Jones has assumed command of
an alliance with ongoing operational demands
in the Balkans and broad responsibilities
defending against terrorism, Ralston said.
“ There is not as strong
an appreciation in the US as there probably
should be on the role that NATO is playing,” Ralston
noted. “We have tried consciously to
take it off the front pages of the paper
and get the job done. I think NATO has done
a remarkable job in the Balkans and [in]
bringing stability to Europe,” he concluded.
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