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F. Whitten Peters Acting
SECAF
In the early 1970s, Gen. Carl A. Spaatz, first Air
Force Chief of Staff, sent a note to an airpower symposium
that he was unable to attend. The message read: "Tell
everybody that we are getting out of flying too soon
and into space too late."
That sentiment is as apropos today as it was then,
in the view of acting Secretary of the Air Force F.
Whitten Peters.
At an Air Force Association National Symposium held
last Nov. 13 in Los Angeles, Peters said that today
the Air Force is getting out of flying too soon because
it has aging aircraft it cannot afford to repair or
replace. At the same time, it is getting into space
too late because it lacks the resources needed to maintain
readiness and to modernize forces at the same time.
In essence, warned Peters, there is not enough money
in the budget to allow a graceful transition to a true
aerospace force.
"We have essentially little to no flexibility
in how we spend the Air Force budget, particularly
when we try to find room for expensive, yet essential,
new initiatives like space systems," said Peters.
There are just too many demands on the money. Military
pay needs boosting, infrastructure needs refurbishing,
and readiness needs to be improved. Even when the Air
Force makes hard budget cuts, Congress may well just
stick the program back in, Peters said.
Such Congressional blowback can even occur in the
area of space itself. The USAF official noted one: "Under
legislation, the Air Force budget continues to subsidize
the costs of commercial launches from our ranges."
With such fiscal constraints in mind, the Air Force
has moved out on several efforts to find the best targets
for investment in basic space-related technology, so
that it can be prepared to move forward on space systems
at some point in the future.
"Do-Able Space"-a study produced by Air
Force Chief Scientist Daniel E. Hastings-and a follow-on
report by the Air Force Scientific Advisory Board have
helped identify key technology drivers that must be
funded if the space effort is to move forward. Guided
by this and other efforts, the Air Force Research Laboratory
has changed its space plan and moved to double the
amount it will spend on space research over the next
few years.
"Partnering" is a key concept that has emerged
from the Do-Able Space effort, said Peters. Air Force
Research Laboratory, NASA, Defense Advanced Research
Projects Agency, and other government entities have
long coordinated their efforts to get the most bang
for their research buck, but the challenge now is to
expand the links between classified and unclassified
space programs and between the military, civil, and
private sectors.
Coordination between classified "black" and
unclassified "white" efforts is exemplified
by the Discoverer II radar satellite demonstrator,
said Peters.
Discoverer II is a partnership between the Air Force,
the National Reconnaissance Office, and DARPA, one
that aims to demonstrate mobile target tracking from
space by 2004. If all goes as planned, USAF will learn
valuable lessons for an initiative known as F2T2E (find,
fix, track, target, and engage), DARPA will further
its drive to build smaller, cheaper satellites, and
the NRO will get an excellent synthetic aperture radar
platform.
Equally important, the three-way joint program office
established for Discoverer II holds promise as a model
for the integration of national security space activities,
said Peters.
Meanwhile, the Evolved Expendable Launch Vehicle program
is perhaps the pre-eminent current example of partnering
between the Air Force and the private sector.
Boeing, Lockheed Martin, and the Air Force have each
invested $1 billion in EELV development, Peters noted.
The effort will ensure that the next generation of
US commercial launch rockets will be able to meet the
requirements necessary for government payloads and
should reduce by $6 billion the cost of DoD's planned
launches between 2002 and 2020.
"The Air Force needs to move out on partnering," said
Peters.
Gen. Richard B. Myers
Quick to take up the Peters assertion was Gen. Richard
B. Myers, commander in chief of NORAD and US Space
Command and commander of Air Force Space Command.
Myers said that the service cannot hope to achieve
the full promise of space without building trust and
confidence between the US government, industry, and
allies.
"Space is too expensive, too interdependent,
too complex, too important to go it alone," he
said.
Integration is the key task facing space planners,
according to Myers. The term comprises efforts to partner
with industry, efforts to operate across the military
services, and efforts to fit into the larger context
of the modern economy.
"Integration acknowledges the growing networks
and connections throughout all levels of society as
space fuels the evolving information age," said
Myers.
This new era will be unpredictable. Right now, the
US does not face any threats at the strategic level.
No one now threatens the very existence of the nation.
However, all agree that the world remains dangerous-as
witness Bosnia and Iraq. And the nation's overwhelming
military superiority could be eroded in the future
if our adversaries surpass the United States in understanding
how to use bits and bytes. "Information-based
technological advances have the potential to level
the playing field," said Myers.
As to space priorities, the first task must be resolving
the pressing concerns of the service's people, according
to the space CINC. Pilots are not the only specialty
being drawn out of the Air Force by opportunities in
the private sector.
"In space ops, for instance, we're already seeing
problems retaining our enlisted troops after their
first term because the explosion in commercial space
makes their skills so highly valued," said Myers.
Air Force people need breathing space in which to
handle today's missions while they transition to tomorrow's
vision. That means higher pay, better benefits, improved
quality of life, and relief from force reductions until
the 2010 concept of the Air Force of the future is
in place.
Modernization is Air Force task two. There, senior
leaders should be concerned not so much about a hollow
force as what Myers calls a "dead-end" force-something
that may have high readiness ratings but consists of
obsolete weapons and systems.
The Space Based Infrared System is the military space
community's No. 1 modernization priority, according
to Myers. "SBIRS is a system of systems, each
part of which is a must have," he said. "It's
the future of our early warning mission, and it's vital
to national and theater missile defense."
Space control is another mission area that is growing
rapidly. Force application is also an important mission
where demonstration projects and R&D efforts now
in the works may help the Air Force understand what
is possible, even as national leaders debate what might
be desirable in this area.
The Air Force is looking at programs that cut across
all mission areas, one of which is the space operations
vehicle. USAF is committed to modernizing the Navstar
Global Positioning System satellite constellation.
"We're also dedicated to recapturing our lost
share of the launch business for the United States," said
Myers. "Key to that effort is upgrading our range
infrastructure."
Important policy issues need to be resolved if the
US is to take full advantage of the potential of space.
How best can the nation protect its space-based assets
and interests-by weapons or treaties? Where is the
launch business going, and should the US subsidize
commercial launches or not? What does the term "information
operations" mean, in a military context?
Finally, the Air Force needs to be correctly organized
for this new future.
"It's been clear in recent exercises and wargames
that we must consider assigning a single operational
CINC the task of focusing on information network operations
for the warfighter," said Myers. "Given the
clear linkage between space and information networks,
there is a strong case to be made that those responsibilities
should fall to us at US Space Command."
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Gen. Ralph E. Eberhart
Sixty years from now, the leadership
of the Air Force will undoubtedly look back
on the current era and see it as one of revolution
by evolution. Each new system, from the Airborne
Laser to the Space Based Infrared System to
the reusable space plane, could well be seen
in the future as small individual parts of
a larger change.
Such is the view of Gen. Ralph
E. Eberhart, the vice chief of staff of the
Air Force.
Looking forward, he said, the
path ahead is not obvious. That is particularly
true for budgeteers.
"What is not ... clear to
me is how we come to grips with the financial
issues associated with what we need to do and
what we plan on doing in terms of space," said
Eberhart.
The investment necessary will
be comparable to that needed to produce the
nuclear capability which helped win the Cold
War. It will take that kind of money to make
sure the US has no peer in space matters in
coming decades.
"I think we will step up
to that table-not this year or next but during
our lifetime," said the vice chief.
USAF is an "aerospace" force--a
term used by the Air Force since the 1950s.
Space will clearly become a larger and larger
part of that equation in the years ahead, as
Eberhart sees it, though that does not mean
that "air" will become less important
than "space."
Moreover, Eberhart told the AFA
audience, the Air Force has to be careful to
not just think about applying and exploiting
space solely through Air Force systems and
units. "We should view space through the
joint warfighters' eyes," he said. "[That
is how] warfighters will benefit from what
we are doing. ... We ought not [to] view it
as a zero sum game. We ought to view it as
getting better as an aerospace team," said
Eberhart. |
Gen.
George T. Babbitt Jr.
Many speakers at the symposium discussed the nature
of, and the need for, military-industry partnerships.
On the military side, more than talk is now required,
said Gen. George T. Babbitt Jr., commander of Air Force
Materiel Command. The explosive growth in space technologies
is simply offering too many great opportunities.
"Rhetoric alone will no longer suffice to move
us along the path from airpower to aerospace power," he
said. "Real action, real change is required."
Space today is a business. The federal government
proved in the 1960s that "we could gain access
to space"; today, industry has used the leverage
of "that access to increase our field of view
and ability to globally communicate." Over the
next five years, 80 percent of space launches will
be commercial, according to some experts. The space
industry itself estimates that its revenues will grow
from $79 billion in 1997 to more than $117 billion
by 2001.
As private industry becomes dominant in space, its
leaders worry about launch costs and on-orbit costs-far
more than has been the case in the military in times
past.
"Therein lies the need for change on the military
side of this partnership," said Babbitt. "If
we in the military are to be good partners with an
industry driven by the pressure of business, then we
must become better businessmen."
Partnerships that take advantage of complementary
skills and make efficient use of financial resources
are likely to offer an effective means for managing
this transition. However, the glib way these marriages
are discussed can hide the fact that the business approach
to partnering is an unfamiliar one to many in the armed
forces. Effective teamwork means the Air Force will
have to spend some time learning to get things right.
The most widely known kind of partnership--that in
which partners are individually and jointly liable
for the actions of each other-probably does not have
much utility in the space business, said Babbitt.
Joint ventures, in which partners pool their resources
and share proportionately in the benefits, have some
promise. The EELV is an example of how there is some
movement in this direction.
"The Air Force's contribution ensures that its
requirement for military launch is adequately considered
in the design. ... Pressure from commercial customers
will continue to ensure that launch costs are kept
as low as possible," said Babbitt.
"Partnership" can also refer to a more open
relationship between government and industry, in which
information flows more easily and fewer misunderstandings
occur. This is the stuff of acquisition reform, and
the AFMC chief said he believed some progress has been
made in this area.
Future partnerships may reflect the reality that true
savings and performance improvement come when the military
just states requirements and stays away from telling
industry how to do its job.
"In the future we need to buy services and not
hardware," said Babbitt.
At AFMC officials have been focusing their attention
on understanding and measuring the outputs of their
efforts. As they do, they discover ways to become more
efficient-better businessmen-themselves.
Understanding the value of capital assets is an area
of particular interest. "For example, we are looking
closely at our real property assets and the many major
equipment assets that support our depot maintenance,
test and evaluation, and research laboratory missions," said
Babbitt.
The hard part comes when AFMC finds excess capacity.
Getting rid of unneeded infrastructure is more difficult
for government than it is for industry.
Good partnerships require the partners to be equals.
The interests of each party must be understood by all.
"We on the military side must learn to think
like businessmen," said Babbitt. "Those of
you on the industry side will have to learn to deal
with us in a different way once we've learned these
new skills."
James F. Albaugh
The mere fact that industry representatives and military
officers are sitting down together and talking about
partnerships represents a major change in the way the
Pentagon spends money, pointed out James F. Albaugh,
president of Boeing Space and Communications Group.
Five or 10 years ago, when competition was the acquisition
watchword, "all the watchdogs would have gotten
very twitchy and I'm sure we'd have '60 Minutes' come
barreling through the doors" at a meeting such
as the AFA symposium, said Albaugh.
The bad old days saw a huge increase in government
rules and regulations designed to protect taxpayers
from waste, fraud, and abuse. It created a spiraling
cycle of distrust.
Today, many of those rules and procedures are being
torn down, and trust is being built up.
"Just as DoD and the services are changing, the
industry is changing as well," said Albaugh.
Acquisition reform efforts are already paying off
on the bottom line, the Boeing representative insisted.
The changes mean the Airborne Laser will come to fruition
in six years, instead of its original goal of 12.
In the GPS program, the customer went from giving
Boeing a statement of work to providing only a statement
of objectives. That helped send costs down from $43
million to $28 million per satellite. On-orbit lifetime
has increased from six to 13 years.
EELV is a classic case of successful military-industry
partnering, said Albaugh. Due to the flexible approach
of the program, the new Atlas and the new Delta rockets
will be developed in four years.
"I was just reading the other day that it took
Burger King two years to develop the new french fry.
If we can do rocket science in four years and they
develop french fries in two years, I think we are on
the right track," said Albaugh.
Some EELV goals, such as a 25 percent reduction in
the cost of payloads to orbit, were challenging, but
the flexibility of the partnering approach allowed
Rocketdyne to derive its EELV engine from the space
shuttle main engine without having to introduce new
technologies.
"So now what we have is an engine that we are
going to develop not in 10 years but two and one-half
years. And we are going to have an engine with 50 percent
more thrust than the space shuttle main engine and
we are going to build it for a fraction of the cost," said
Albaugh.
On the question of the use of an important national
asset-space launch ranges-Albaugh of Boeing challenged
the thinking of his audience, however.
The current space launch policy allows industry to
use excess launch capacity at government-built launch
pads on a noninterfering basis. A major thrust of current
discussion is "about how to share costs more equitably," said
Albaugh. That would mean industry would have to pay
more.
However, foreign launch ranges are universally--and
heavily--subsidized by their governments. If US costs
go too high, then the commercial launch business could
end up overseas, and once again the government could
be stuck with all range costs.
"I don't have the answer, but I think it is a
bigger issue than Boeing or Lockheed Martin or the
Air Force," said Albaugh. "It really is all
about national space policy, and we need to work together
to come up with the right answer."
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Lt. Gen. Lester L.
Lyles
The following is excerpted from
a speech by Lt. Gen. Lester L. Lyles, director
of the Pentagon's Ballistic Missile Defense
Organization, to the AFA symposium.
"Thirty years ago [I was]
a brand-new second lieutenant, right out of
graduate school, a mechanical engineer, coming
out here at Space and Missile Systems Organization-the
old name for SMC. ... If we at that time had
... looked up the word 'commercial,' what we
would have seen is something that said, '60-second
pause that will allow you to get a beer during
a football game.' ...
"Ten years ago, when I came
back here as a brand-new young colonel in charge,
working for Lt. Gen. Don Cromer and Maj. Gen.
Bob Rankin, in charge of the space launch directorate
out here, things did change drastically. The
Commercial Space Launch Act ... was in its
infancy. ... We were just beginning to figure
out what that really meant. The big challenge
at the time for us was trying to figure out
one of the major programs, the development
of the Atlas II. It was going to be our first
real entity in terms of the Commercial Space
Launch Act. General Dynamics down in San Diego
at the time was going to develop the Atlas
II. We were going to marry that military requirement
that we had with their commercial requirements,
marry a very robust, as we called it at the
time, military space launch manifest against
their commercial launch manifest. In all honesty
we weren't quite sure how it was going to work
out. ...
"Four years ago, I came
back here, this time as commander of SMC and
things had changed drastically. Desert Storm
had happened three years prior to that. Desert
Storm was our first real space war. We really
learned that commercialization of space had
already taken place.
"[C]ommercial space launch
activity had grown exponentially. We found
that we were no longer dominant in terms of
that particular venue. Other venues had started
to change, too. Space communications had already
started to get very commercial. ... In the
areas of navigation and surveillance, things
had changed again and we were no longer the
No. 1 power-we being the military. ... Space
dominance had changed in terms of its definition.
We were no longer the dominant force. The dominant
force was commercialization.
"From that historical perspective--30
years, 10 years, and four years ago--things
have drastically changed. Today I will say
that no longer-when we talk about the necessity
of partnership-no longer is it a politically
correct term or a nice thing to do. It is absolutely
a necessity."
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K. Michael Henshaw
Already, acquisition reforms driven by partnering
have indeed begun to bear fruit, said K. Michael Henshaw,
president of Lockheed Martin Missiles and Space.
However, they need to be carried further-into military
satellite communications, remote sensing, and launch
vehicles. There are major business tenets that the
military still needs to embrace, said Henshaw. "One
is the exploitation of common product to multiple use," he
said.
Except for very specialized items, the days of one
item, one use are almost over in military space. Launch
vehicles will be commodities in four years. "Between
four and 10 years from now, spacecraft buses must be
commodities-things you buy off the shelf," said
the Lockheed space chief.
A second tenet is that the military should acquire,
or think about acquiring, full systems of systems.
Terminals might be purchased along with satellites,
for instance.
Thirdly, the military needs to employ business terms.
"We are going to see, in our lifetime, liquidated
damages from a government launch that is not launched
on time," said Henshaw.
In general, further acquisition reforms should focus
on standards, partnership, harmonizing of requirements,
and the use of long-term commitments to gain production
economies, according to Henshaw.
Lockheed has been the Navy's fleet ballistic missile
contractor for over 42 years. The long relationship
has allowed the firm to work hard every day at bringing
costs down, said the Lockheed official.
"Am I saying, get rid of competition?" said
Henshaw. "No, but industry's way of reducing price
is long-term agreement. Sometimes, government's way
is too much competition and not enough long-term involvement."
Lt. Gen. Ronald T. Kadish
In the military's view, acquisition reform is easier
said than done. Take the setting of requirements for
information and communication systems.
"A lot of our problems with requirements-from
an acquisition viewpoint-is that we really don't know
what we want in this brave new age of information and
space until we see what we have," said Lt. Gen.
Ronald T. Kadish, the commander of Electronic Systems
Center. "The timing gets screwed up."
Technological change is accelerating at a pace that
makes both the military and industry uncomfortable. "Imagine
a future--and I am not so sure it is all that much
[in the] future--where some soldier engaged in heavy
combat on a battlefield can call home and talk to his
wife," said Kadish.
Meanwhile, real military needs are very difficult
to determine. Already, military infrastructure, from
satellites to Joint STARS to JTIDS (Joint Tactical
Information Distribution System), can provide warfighters
so much information that it becomes an overload.
The military has only begun to understand what "systems
of systems" means for its users, according to
Kadish. So much procurement in the past has focused
simply on platforms. But the integration and interoperability
of these platforms is becoming extremely important,
to the point where it will be its own weapon on the
future battlefield.
"We have a very difficult problem turning that
vision into actual execution and it is easier to build
the network than it is to figure out how to use it," said
Kadish.
Maj. Gen. Eugene L. Tattini
Space is clearly a revolution in progress, said Maj.
Gen. Eugene L. Tattini, commander of Space and Missile
Systems Center. Anyone, or almost anyone, will be able
to buy one-meter-accurate images taken from space and
have them delivered overnight. Commercial launch has
exploded beyond expectations, with more than 30 space
ports proposed or actually in development. One system--GPS--is "now
becoming a public utility internationally," said
Tattini.
To help bring all this together, the Air Force senior
leadership has asked space and missile systems to do
an extensive and comprehensive look at commercially
available space alternatives, in light of current Air
Force-based missions. Commercial input will be key,
said Tattini.
The effort is organized into five study areas: launch
capabilities; communications; remote sensing, surveillance,
and meteorolgy; navigation; and range and satellite
command and control.
Recommendations from the study could find their way
into policy as early as the 2002 budget. But "in
order for any kind of military use of commercialized
space to be relevant, it is going to have to help us
execute the military mission," said Tattini.
Peter Grier, the Washington bureau chief of the Christian
Science Monitor, is a longtime defense correspondent
and regular contributor to Air Force Magazine. His most
recent article, "The
New Doctor Is In," appeared in the January 1999
issue.
Copyright Air Force Association. All rightsreserved.
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