In the third month of Operation Enduring Freedom,
some Hollywood stars decided they wanted to do their
part in the war effort. George Clooney, Matt Damon,
Andy Garcia, Brad Pitt, and Julia Roberts let it be
known that they were interested in visiting a US overseas
military base involved in the war on terrorism.
The Pentagon agreed but did not direct them to Saudi
Arabia, Kuwait, or Diego Garcia. Instead, they flew
on a 757 chartered by Warner Bros. to a large Air Force
installation on the dividing line between Europe and
the Mideast--Incirlik Air Base in Turkey.

It was an entirely appropriate
choice. For one thing, the trip reflected the importance
of Incirlik and Turkey to the battles in Afghanistan.
From Sept. 11 onward, Ankara had been staunchly in
the US corner, offering Washington everything from
overflight rights and moral support to special units
trained for anti-terror operations and large numbers
of troops for peacekeeping forces.
In a larger sense, the fight against al Qaeda has
given Turkey the chance to demonstrate anew its strategic
importance to the West. In the Cold War, it was the
strong, largely silent NATO bulwark on the southern
flank of the Soviet Union. Today, it is a predominantly
Muslim nation openly offering help of the kind that
Egypt, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, and other Arab states
are too fastidious or too nervous to provide.
When other Islamic nations hesitated in the wake of
the Sept. 11 attacks, seeking further proof of Osama
bin Laden's involvement, Turkey did not blink. On Oct.
3, Turkish Prime Minister Bulent Ecevit had this to
say about the state of the case: "The fact that
the US found [the evidence] persuasive, persuades us
also."
Ataturk's Way
Modern Turkey was founded in 1923 upon the ruins of
the once mighty Ottoman Empire. The empire, which had
been sagging for decades, finally collapsed under the
pressure of World War I, in which it chose the wrong
side and was allied with Germany and Austria-Hungary.
Out of the defeat and dismemberment of the empire arose
Mustafa Kemal Ataturk, a ruthless leader who was determined
to turn Turkey into a secular state, oriented in most
ways toward Europe and the West rather than Islam and
the East. It is a path that has been followed more
or less without interruption ever since.
A major development occurred in the late 1940s, when
the pro-Western governments of both Turkey and its
neighbor and arch rival Greece were threatened by the
rise of the Soviet Union and the spread of its influence
over Eastern Europe and the Balkan states. President
Truman in 1947 extended guarantees of support and aid-an
action viewed by most historians as the start of the
Cold War.
Through coming decades, Turkey played a key role in
the containment of Soviet power. It provided NATO's
second largest army and tied down some 24 Soviet divisions
on its front. It offered the US key listening posts
from which to monitor Warsaw Pact military activity
and compliance with arms agreements. It also provided
forward bases, including Incirlik, which since 1954
has served as a site for both forward deployed combat
forces and surveillance and reconnaissance aircraft.
Today, some 3,500 US Air Force personnel are present
at Incirlik. The host 39th Wing is dedicated to NATO
and to general USAFE support. The 39th Air and Space
Expeditionary Wing conducts Operation Northern Watch,
the enforcement of a no-fly zone in Iraq north of the
36th parallel. Northern Watch is intended to protect
Kurdish tribesmen from Iraqi dictator Saddam Hussein.
Operation Southern Watch similarly controls the skies
in the southern part of the country, operating from
bases in Saudi Arabia and its Gulf neighbors, as well
as carriers at sea.
The demand for Air Force assets since Sept. 11 has
affected Northern Watch operations. Air National Guard
and Air Force Reserve Command units are the bulwark
of Northern Watch, and in the past, their deployments
lasted about two weeks. Now they last more than 90
days.
Weeks before US air operations over Afghanistan began,
Turkish authorities readily agreed to allow use of
Incirlik as a transit point and logistics center for
Operation Enduring Freedom. Its distance from Afghanistan
precluded its use as a front-line combat base except
on a limited basis.
A NATO operations center at Eskisehir was also considered
as a command center for the bombing campaign in Afghanistan,
when the Pentagon initially had problems using another
facility in the region.
Did They Hunt?
As to their own assets, Turkish authorities offered
90 special forces troops highly trained in anti-terrorist
operations. In that particular field, Turkish units
are counted among the best in the world, largely as
a result of Ankara's 17-year-long fight with Kurdish
rebels in the country's southeast region. It has long
provided special forces training units in Uzbekistan,
the Balkans, and Georgia.

Whether Turkish ground
troops actually joined in the hunt for al Qaeda and
Osama bin Laden is an open question. Islamic opposition
elements of the Turkish parliament charged that they
had indeed been deployed for that purpose, while both
the US and the Turkish government denied it.
Unquestionably, Turkey has been eager to join in postwar
Afghan policing and redevelopment, via both troop deployments
and political support. Turkey was one of the first
nations to re-establish a foreign mission in Kabul
after the collapse of the Taliban. On Dec. 17, Turkish
Foreign Minister Ismail Cem became the first senior
foreign diplomat to visit the Afghan capital following
the Taliban's ouster.
"Our message to the Afghan people is that they
should know that we are with them and we are determined
to bring our expertise to bear ... in civilian and
military restructuring," said Cem.
Turkey is the only NATO nation with a majority Muslim
population. It is also the only member of the Islamic
Conference Organization that is a member of the Western
alliance. Despite its heritage of autocratic and military
rule, today it has a government that is a functioning
democracy.
In many ways, Turkey is ideally positioned to act
as the West's interlocutor in Afghanistan. It has historic
ties with the Turkic-speaking tribes of the Afghan
north, as well as with Turkmenistan and much of the
rest of the swath of nations that stretches from China's
border to the Caspian Sea. It has similarly had good
relations with both civilian and military governments
of Pakistan.
As such, Ankara could put continued pressure on Pakistan
to pursue its opposition to remnants of al Qaeda elements
within that country.
Afghanistan was the first nation to recognize the
formation of the Turkish Republic. In turn, in following
years Turkey sent teachers and other aid workers to
help Afghanistan modernize.
These links did not extend to the Taliban, which considered
the Turkish style of Islam to be heretical. In recent
years, Turkey instead offered aid and comfort to some
elements of the Northern Alliance rebels.
Turkey's military, with its NATO background, would
also offer the organization and firepower that might
be needed to keep order in a nation still awash in
rifles and the impulse for retribution. Other nations
that have traditionally served in large numbers in
UN peacekeeping efforts in recent years, such as Bangladesh,
might not be able to offer the same capability.
The Rewards
What might Turkey gain from its support of US policy
in the region? Quite a bit, from Ankara's point of
view.

First of all, it may now
regain the position of strategic importance that it
held at the height of Soviet power. It could become
the geopolitical, political, and military pivot point
for all of Central Asia-a position Turkish leaders
have long considered their natural role.
Second, Turkey might want to use increased influence
in Washington to smooth over troubles it is having
with Europe. Membership in the European Union has long
been a primary goal of Turkish foreign policy, but
its application has to this point been blocked, in
part because of European concerns about Turkish human
rights policies and Turkey's occupation, since 1974,
of northern Cyprus.
Cyprus itself is now up for EU membership. Neither
the US nor Europe recognizes the self-styled Turkish
Republic of Northern Cyprus, and it is therefore possible
that Turkey could be put in the strange position of
occupying part of a nation that has been admitted to
an exclusive club it also wants to join.
In the past, Washington has said it would prefer the
long-running Cyprus situation be resolved before the
island becomes an EU member. If the US can't lean on
Europe to accept Turkey itself into the EU, it might
at the very least be able to block the ascension of
Cyprus, in Ankara's view.
Third, as part of a new anti-al Qaeda coalition Turkey
might gain more worldwide recognition for what it considers
its own long struggle against terrorist violence. For
nearly 20 years, the Marxist Kurdistan Workers Party
(PKK) has engaged in a bloody campaign to establish
an independent Kurdish homeland in a corner of southeastern
Turkey. Turkey's apprehension and trial of PKK leader
Abdullah Ocalan has undercut the group, but it remains
a real threat. To a lesser extent, Ankara is also concerned
about radical Islam in Central Asia, which it sees
not so much as a threat to the Turkish state as a threat
to Turkish influence in the region.
Finally, Turkey might reasonably hope for economic
help in return for aiding Washington's overarching
anti-terror campaign.
The Turkish economy has been in a deep slump since
huge domestic debt led to a devastating currency devaluation
in early 2001. A combination of US support and a Turkish
promise of domestic reforms led the International Monetary
Fund to rush in with $10 billion of loan guarantees
earlier this year, in an effort to ease the crisis.
There was a perception that Ankara, faced with domestic
opposition, was delaying implementation of some of
the reforms. This was enough to cause the IMF to hold
up additional help. Then, in mid-November, the IMF
agreed in principle to a further $10 billion in guarantees--a
sudden move that many in the world of international
finance took as a sign that the US was leaning on the
fund to help out its new anti-terrorist ally.
One possible obstacle to an activist Turkish role
in the new war against terrorism is domestic opinion.
After the beginning of US military operations on Oct.
7, Turkish polls showed substantial majorities opposed
to deployment of their own troops in the fight. While
the political leadership seems to stand squarely with
the US at the moment, it must pay attention to the
public's wishes. Prime Minister Ecevit's ruling coalition
is already somewhat unstable, as it combines ultranationalists
with leftists and liberals in an uneasy political marriage.
The Down Side
Not all officials in Washington are happy about working
closely with Turkey. Members of Congress, many of them
pro-Greek, have complained about Turkish human rights
abuses, which are said to include torture of political
dissidents and common criminals. Treatment of suspected
Kurdish separatists has been particularly harsh. Moreover,
political corruption is a fact of life.

Thus the history of recent
relations between the US and Turkey, pre-Sept. 11,
did not always run smoothly. In 1996, for instance,
Ankara canceled a purchase of 10 AH-1 Cobra attack
helicopters after Congress held up delivery due to
human rights concerns. More recently, similar legislative
objections postponed Turkey's purchase of three US
frigates. Clinton Administration officials eventually
won the frigates' release.
Over the last decade, Turkey has become worried enough
about access to modern weapons that it has turned to
other countries, particularly its new friend Israel,
for defense technology and support.
"Turkey and the United States must take great
care to be sensitive to the pressures and constraints
each confronts," notes Brookings Institution fellow
Steven A. Cook in a recent analysis of US-Turkish relations
in the context of the war on terrorism.
Furthermore, it's an open question whether Turkey's
support of post-Sept. 11 US policies will convince
many other Muslim nations that Washington's war is
with terrorists, not Islam.
In the 1920s, Ataturk dealt with the Islamic legacy
of the Ottoman Empire by dismantling it and imposing
an aggressive political secularism in its place. Far
earlier than Saudi Arabia or Egypt, Turkey saw fundamentalist
Islam as a threat and took steps to try to make sure
that it would never undermine the stability of the
state.
Thus, many mainstream Saudis and Egyptians likely
consider Turkey to be not particularly Islamic. To
followers of the fundamentalist Islamic clerics, Turkey
is as heretical as the West and might as well be Christian.
The Iraq Dimension
Iraq loomed as a problem. The Turkish government for
months was careful not to rule out support of any US-led
action to topple its troublesome neighbor, Saddam Hussein,
but since the Gulf War, Ankara had warned the US that
it believes a hasty ouster of Saddam might splinter
Iraq and leave Turkey to deal with the shards. In particular,
Turkey opposed any Kurd homeland that might combine
the Kurdish areas of Iraq and Turkey into one.
Indeed, Turkish leaders opposed even formation of
a smaller Kurdish state in Iraq that would leave the
current border untouched, fearing that such a rump
state would inevitably become a base of operations
for Kurdish terror attacks against Turkey.
They also question whether the threat posed by Saddam
Hussein has actually grown in recent years or whether
the US actually wants to take advantage of its new
war against terrorism to finish old Gulf War business.
In January, Gen. Huseyin Kivrikoglu, chief of the Turkish
general staff, asked reporters: "Is there any
new mistake committed by Iraq? Or are accounts of 10
years ago being settled?"
Ankara has made clear its objections not only to Bush
Administration officials but also to key US lawmakers.
Members of the Senate Armed Services Committee who
went on a January fact-finding trip to Turkey came
away convinced that Ankara's objections were stronger
than previously thought.
For similar reasons, Turkey was likely to look askance
at any US raids into Iran or Syria in the name of terror
eradication. In December, Secretary of State Colin
Powell visited Ankara in part to assure Turkish leaders
that President Bush had as yet made no decisions about
any second phase of the war on terrorism. Ecevit's
planned trip to Washington was viewed as a chance to
assess progress of the US-led campaign and then at
least address Turkey's concerns about where things
go from here.
Despite the disclaimers, speculation about a US-led
attack on Iraq was in late 2001 the uppermost concern
in the minds of Turkish policy-makers and commentators,
who fear a war on their southern border would have
devastating economic consequences on their country.
"Since Sept. 11, the Turkish leadership has fashioned
a policy that can only be characterized as guarded-receptive
to Washington in some areas but clearly wary of others," concludes
Cook. But from the US point of view, the strategic
importance of Turkey is likely to only increase in
the years ahead. As access becomes constrained in the
crucial Gulf region, Incirlik and other Turkish bases
offer stability and shorter flight times to the northern
Gulf than similar US facilities on the Arabian peninsula.
As the Air Force becomes increasingly expeditionary
in character, a reliable, northern route for power
projection into the Gulf, hopscotching through Turkey,
Israel, and perhaps Jordan, could become the Pentagon's
best regional option. It's possible that Turkey is
in fact Europe's new "front-line" state,
insists former assistant secretary of state Richard
C. Holbrooke.
Rand analyst Zalmay Khalilzad, in a recent study of
the future of Turkish-Western relations, remarked, "Some
have even argued that Turkey's role in the new era
could be as important as Germany's during the Cold
War."
Peter Grier, a Washington, D.C., editor for the Christian
Science Monitor, is a longtime defense correspondent
and regular contributor to Air Force Magazine. His most
recent article, "The
Winning Combination of Air and Space," appeared
in the January 2002 issue.