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It was mid-August of
1969 in Washington, D.C., and Jack Rooney was at work
in the huge, windowless building that housed the National
Photographic Interpretation Center. Rooney was a photo
analyst. His job was to squeeze useful data from satellite
images of the Soviet Union, and he was about to learn
something big.
Just a few weeks earlier, on July 20, 1969, astronauts
Neil A. Armstrong and Edwin E. Aldrin Jr. had stepped
onto the lunar surface and into history. America had
won the moon race.
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KH-7 Gambit satellite reconnaissance photo
showed something huge
under construction
at the
Soviet Unions Tyuratam space facility in
present-day Kazakhstan. The massive complex was
to be the support facility for the Soviet Unions
enormous and secret N-1 moon rocket. The N-1 would
have been somewhat larger than the Apollo programs
Saturn V. |
Yet the Soviet Union did not concede the point. Moscow
did not claim to be the first to reach the moon; rather,
it insisted that it had never even made an attempt.
That being the case, sniffed the newspaper Pravda,
the United States had merely won a race with
itself. The claim was widely repeated in Western media.
However, what Rooney found suggested a very different
conclusion. He not only saw evidence of a Soviet moon
effort, he also found indications that Moscows
program had recently met with disaster.
It was a big discovery at the time, 35 years ago,
but it was never publicized. Doubts that the Soviet
Union
had a moon program would persist for another 20 years,
until the Soviet press, in a startling episode of glasnost,
loosed a flood of revelations about the program. (See Yes,
There Was a Moon Race, by James E. Oberg, April
1990.)
Those revelations marked the last chapter of a long
tale of intelligence operations.
The story started in May 1961, when President Kennedy
challenged the nation to put an American on the moon
within the decade. The US had little intelligence on
the Soviet space program. After Kennedy announced his
lunar goal, US intelligence agencies sought evidence
that the Soviets were also racing to the moon. They
did not find any, but they kept looking.
Success or Stunt?
Sayre Stevens was an all source analyst
working in the Space Division of the CIAs Office
of Scientific Intelligence (OSI). His job was to follow
Soviet space systems by piecing together data provided
to him from a variety of sources, such as satellite
photos, communications intercepts, agent reports, scientific
journals, and statements by cosmonauts.
Stevens recalls that, in the summer of 1962, the Soviet
Union had launched two manned spacecraft at once, flying
them past each other. This appeared to demonstrate
a rendezvous capability that might be critical for
any lunar effort.
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Early American reconnaissance satellites
rode into orbit on rockets such as this modified
Thor, launched from Vandenberg Air Force Base in
December 1963. |
At the time, Stevens did not believe the Soviet space
program actually had achieved a rendezvous. Rather,
Stevens recalled, it had pulled off a major publicity
stunt, one that made the US look like a fool
for the 48th time in the space race.
Within the Soviet space program, the CIA had no sources
to which it could turn for interpretation. David Doyle,
an NPIC photointerpreter in 1962, concluded that the
United States had no human intelligence at all on Moscows
program. If it did have secret information from human
spies, he recalled, it wasnt getting down
to us.
US intelligence did, however, have spy satellites,
which were growing more and more sophisticated.
In spring 1963, a Corona satellite photographed the
Tyuratam range, a sprawling launch facility situated
in the desert of the then-Soviet republic of Kazakh
ASSR. Examination of the photos revealed a major new
construction effort at the site. Subsequent spy satellite
missions revealed that the construction was following
a typical pattern. First to be built were barracks
to house construction workers. Next came concrete batch
plants and supply yards. Eventually, workers began
a huge excavation.
At that early stage, no one could determine what the
Soviet Union was planning to build at Tyuratam.
Doyle, who specialized in Soviet space and missile
facilities, often was the first person to look at the
satellite images of launch ranges and missile sites.
From the beginning, the interpreters were thinking
space, Doyle recalled.
The site was close to what the CIA called Complex
A, the first launchpad at Tyuratam and the place from
which Yuri Gagarin and the other cosmonauts were launched
into orbit. When Soviet workers, a short time later,
built a road from the site to Complex A, US suspicions
about a moon program were strengthened.
In July 1963, however, a top Soviet scientist told
British astronomer Bernard Lovell that Moscow had no
moon program at all. The comment created a stir within
NASA and the CIA. Was it true or merely a ruse? To
try to answer this question, Stevens reviewed all available
intelligence on the Soviet space program. He found
no evidence of a Soviet lunar program, but the CIA
deemed his report to be inconclusive.
A Clearer Picture
In July, the US also fielded a powerful new reconnaissance
satellitedesignated KH-7, code name Gambitwhich
would provide images with clarity much greater than
that of Corona. Gambit soon began returning high-resolution
photographs of Tyuratam.
In April 1964, the photointerpreters declared that
the Soviet Union was, in fact, constructing a new launch
complex at Tyuratam. They called it Complex J. They
noted the Soviets had begun constructing two massive
buildings, unlike anything yet seen at Tyuratam.
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Note the long shadows in this early
morning view of the two N-1 launchpads taken in
December 1968. They show two lightning-rod towers
with the massive N-1 between them. The rocket is
visible as a white shape on the pad. |
Stevens remarked to himself, OK, lets
wait and see what happens with J. Lets just give
ourselves a little leeway here.
That year, Stevens returned to work on his lunar report.
This time, he said, he included a judgment that, obviously,
they were trying to build a big missile but that
the Soviet Union was not doing so with the speed required
to complete the complex and have it readied to launch
a manned moon mission by the end of 1969the American
target date.
Stevens recalled that his second report caused some
controversy in OSI. Albert Wheelon, the CIAs
deputy director for science and technology, said later
that he urged his analysts to use great caution in
this area. His message was: Lets be sure,
because an estimate here will affect national policy.
Lets be damn sure, because it really matters.
The purpose of the rocket initially was not clear.
The Soviet Union started building this large booster
as a multipurpose vehicle and not specifically as a
moon rocket. In late 1963, however, Moscow concluded
that the US was, in fact, serious about reaching the
moon, and Soviet officials in 1964 formally, though
secretly, launched a manned lunar effort.
The Soviet military opposed a lunar mission because
of its massive cost. Different Soviet design bureaus
fought for control of the project. As a result, with
limited support and resources, construction at Complex
J proceeded in fits and starts.
Meanwhile, though US satellite photos showed the massive
construction project was proceeding, Stevens and other
analysts were waiting for a giant launch vehicle to
emerge from the buildings. They had no hard data on
this vehicle, only a conviction that it would be huge.
They had a name for what they were expecting. They
called it Big Mother.
In addition, they had not yet seen a static test
facility needed to carry out a test firing of the
entire first
stage of the rocket. They expected it to be similar
to the one NASA built to test fire the Saturn V first
stage at Huntsville, Ala. However, the analysts could
not find a similar facility anywhere in the Soviet
Union. Some speculated that Soviet space officials
might try to test the rocket while it sat locked
onto the launchpad, but nobody was satisfied with
that theory.
Some intelligence analysts theorized that the Soviets
might strap together several smaller rockets, such
as the SS-8 ICBM, to make a single big booster. That
would not require construction of a new static test
facility. However, a NASA rocket expert at Huntsville
said such an approach would not work.
The analysts were puzzled by other aspects of the
Soviet effort, such as the slow progress of the construction.
It did not fit the known pattern. Wed seen
them build launchers ... and launchpads and all that
kind of stuff, Stevens said, but this thing
went on and on and on.
It was apparent that the launchpad was going
to have a Big Mother, said Stevens, but the question
in everyones mind was, When are they going
to get it ready to go?
What the analysts did not know, Stevens went on, was
that there was a big war going on among the chief
designers in the Soviet Union, ... and they couldnt
get the money. ... Thats the kind of stuff you
dont see at the time.
Probable Soviet Program
In 1965, the Intelligence Community stated in a national
intelligence estimate that the Soviets probably were
pursuing a manned lunar program but one that was not
competitive with Apollo.
We now know that the Soviets did have a manned lunar
program. It had an internal schedule for launching
their rocket, testing their spacecraft, and beating
the Americans to the moon. Virtually everyone in the
Soviet program knew that these schedules were a fiction,
but nobody wanted to state that conclusion out loud.
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Film from KH satellites was retrieved in a dramatic
way, as film canisters re-entered the atmosphere
and were snagged, dangling from their parachutes,
by specially equipped C-130s. |
Over the next few years, the US Intelligence Community
continued to monitor the Soviet space program. Gambit
satellites produced detailed photographs of launchpad
construction at Complex J, showing that the Soviets
were building a large multistory structure inside a
deep pit and carving out three huge flame trenches.
The images showed construction of a massive rotating
service tower that would support the rocket and early
Soviet construction work.
A new national intelligence estimate in summer 1967
repeated the view that the Soviet Union likely had
a moon program.
In December 1967, US reconnaissance satellites silently
passing over Soviet territory finally hit the jackpot.
They photographed a massive rocket on the launchpad
at Complex J. The CIA had finally caught a glimpse
of Big Mother. Dino Brugioni, a senior official at
NPIC, remembered that the photo analysts started calling
it the Jay Bird.
Recently declassified CIA reports on the booster indicated
that it was to have a first stage thrust of eight million
to 16 million pounds. The Saturn V booster had a launch
thrust of 7.5 million pounds, but it also could use
powerful upper stage rockets. Moreover, the US had
developed very lightweight payload materials.
Throughout 1968, American spy satellites continued
to photograph the giant Soviet rocket on the launchpad
or transporter, spotting it several more times. (Some
of the sightings may have been of booster mock-ups.)
The Soviets seemed to be using the rocket for fit checks
with the ground equipment, but there was no indication
of an imminent launch.
In April 1968, NASA made its second and final Saturn
V unmanned test. Agency officials were so confident
about the booster that the third launch, on Dec. 21,
was manned. The Apollo 8 spacecraft and its three-man
crew circled the moon.
Intelligence officials concluded that, unless NASA
stumbled badly, the USSR had no chance of winning the
moon race.
Playing Catch-Up
In fact, however, the Soviets were rushing to catch
up. Just two months after the Apollo 8 success, the
Soviet Union in February 1969 conducted an unmanned
launch of Big Mother, which had been officially designated
as N-1. It flew well for 70 seconds, but then the boosters
computer detected a problem and shut down all engines.
N-1 continued coasting and falling for approximately
two minutes before it crashed far downrange.
The US Intelligence Community entirely missed it.
Soviet space authorities had just launched their largest-ever
rocket and crashed it, but Americas multibillion-dollar
intelligence apparatus was completely unaware of these
events.
That brings us to August 1969 and Jack Rooney standing
at his light table in Washington.
Rooney moved a thin strip of positive film across
the frosted glass surface until he reached the familiar
Y-shaped image of the Tyuratam launch range. He had
seen the sprawling Soviet facility in the desert hundreds
of times in similar photos. He and his colleagues called
it TT for short.
Rooney slid his dual eyepiece microscope into place
and came to Complex J. He knew that it was the Soviet
equivalent of NASAs Saturn V Launch Complex 39
at Cape Kennedy, Fla., where the Apollo 11 mission
had begun the previous month. He was familiar with
its features. Like spokes of a wheel, three flame trenches
radiated from each of the two huge launchpads.
When Rooney adjusted the focus, he was shocked at
what he saw. A vast dark smudge enveloped one of the
two
pads. Familiar details, seen many times in previous
examinations of satellite photos, were completely missing.
The thick grates that had covered the flame trenches
were no longer visible.
Rooney instantly reached his conclusion: Something
very big had exploded, wiping out the entire pad area.
He involuntarily shouted an epithet.
In the room, all heads snapped around. Doyle, who
by that time was the branch chief, came over and peered
into the lens of the microscope. So did other photointerpreters.
Major Disaster
What they saw was evidence of a major Soviet disaster,
the outlines of which were pieced together fairly quickly.
On July 3, 1969, the Soviet Union had made its second
attempt to launch its Big Mother space booster. Something
had gone terribly wrong. Shortly after it lifted off
the ground, it fell back onto its pad and exploded
in a huge fireball. The explosion knocked out windows
for dozens of miles around the area. Moreover, it knocked
down a lightning tower, caused the collapse of most
of the flame trenches and the underground pad facility,
and scorched and crumpled the launch tower.
US seismic detectors actually had picked up the explosion,
but a US satellite did not overfly the facility until
weeks later. Later still, the satellite disgorged its
film capsule, which re-entered Earths atmosphere
and was snatched out of the air by an Air Force JC-130,
a specially modified transport rigged to retrieve a
capsule as it floated back to Earth on a parachute.
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Disaster Strikes. Black smudges around the lower
of the two N-1 pads tell the tale of a massive
explosion. The blast decimated the N-1 infrastructure
and spelled the end of Soviet hopes to reach the
moon first. |
Eventually the film arrived in Washington and landed
on Rooneys light table.
Rooneys discovery of the devastated launchpadthe
pad thought to be at the heart of the Soviet moon programwas
a hot intelligence item. Brugioni recalls that he was
told to rush information about it to the CIAs
deputy director for intelligence, who would brief President
Nixon, and to the director of the Defense Intelligence
Agency, who would brief Secretary of Defense Melvin
R. Laird.
The message was that the Soviet manned lunar program
had suffered a catastrophic setback.
Two years later, in 1971, the Soviets launched another
N-1 rocket, which also was destroyed. This time,
US intelligence assets detected the event. The
following year, in November 1972, the Soviets tried
again and
again they failed.
A few years later, Moscow finally mothballed the
project. In the West, the media continued to
report the Soviet
claim that it had never engaged in an effort
to put a man on the moon.
It was not until 1989 that the Soviet government
finally revealed what US intelligence officials
had known for
decades: Moscow had tried hard to get to the
moon. Big Mother had been a big part of that
effort.
It was real, but it proved to be a total failure.
Dwayne A. Day is a space policy analyst and historian. He worked at the George Washington University Space Policy Institute and the Congressional Budget Office. He is the author of Lightning Rod, a book about the Office of the Air Force Chief Scientist, and edited Eye in the Sky, a book about early satellite reconnaissance. He recently served as an investigator for the Columbia Accident Investigation Board. This is his first article for Air Force Magazine.
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