In spring 1994, Air Force security officers tracking
a computer intrusion suddenly found themselves face-to-face
with a horrifying prospect: inadvertent cyberwar--and
perhaps worse--between the United States and North
Korea.
The Air Force had for weeks been trying to catch a
hacker they knew only as "Datastream Cowboy." From
a base that appeared to be located in Britain, Datastream
was rampaging through the computers of Rome Laboratory,
N.Y., and other defense installations.
He was downloading files and leaving behind "sniffer"1 programs
capable of eavesdropping on sensitive electronic communications.
Worse, he was using these same Air Force systems as
launching pads for false-flag Internet attacks on other
computers--including those of other nations.
On April 15, as Air Force investigators covertly watched,
Datastream came online at the Rome Lab system and then
quickly gained access to a third computer. On-screen
file data identified this other computer as belonging
to a "Korean Atomic Research Institute." The
hacker filched all the data on the Korean system, pulling
it back and storing it in a corner of Rome's memory.
The Air Force investigators were shocked. They couldn't
tell if the computer that Datastream had just penetrated
belonged to South Korea or North Korea. Had this vandal
just stolen the most sensitive secrets of the unpredictable "Hermit
Kingdom"? If so, how would the often paranoid
and always dangerous North Koreans react?
"Act of War"?
The Air Force conducted a full study, results of which
were released this year. The report stated, in part, "The
concern was that . . . the North Koreans would think
the . . . transfer . . . was an intrusion by the US
Air Force, which could be perceived as an aggressive
act of war."
As it turned out, there was no actual cause for worry
that an enraged Pyongyang would hurl missiles or troops
south to retaliate against US forces; the computer
in question belonged to South Korea. Datastream himself
was no terrorist or foreign military operative but
a London teenager named Richard Pryce, who curled up
on the floor and cried when police arrived to arrest
him.
Still, American officials viewed the incident as a
clear wake-up call for the entire Department of Defense.
In his brief rampage, one youthful hacker had compromised
30 Rome Lab computer systems. The specter of an international
incident and perhaps open conflict flashed before Washington
officials. Surely some of America's adversaries had,
or would soon have, the capability to do far worse.
Such incidents have convinced the US government that
information warfare is no longer just the stuff of
role-playing exercises set safely in the next century.
As far as many experts in the US government are concerned,
it is already here--and it is time to start planning
serious defenses.
"Just as we prepare for a conventional weapons
attack, we must be ready for attacks on our computer
networks," said Sen. Sam Nunn, the now-retired
Georgia Democrat, during wide-ranging Congressional
hearings on the issue last summer.
Today, the Pentagon, the White House, the intelligence
community, and many private businesses are spending
lots of time considering the implications of a broad
subject they have dubbed "IW," for information
warfare.
"Information warfare has become central to the
way nations fight wars, and it is critical to Air Force
operations in the twenty-first century," says
service guidance issued by Air Force Chief of Staff
Gen. Ronald R. Fogleman.
For the military, "information warfare" means
much more than providing physical security for defense-related
computers. Info war has an offensive component, too,
comprising various capabilities for attacking an adversary's
computers, communications, and information sources.
It can even cover a time-honored military means of
achieving victory: the timely use of superior information
about terrain or opposing forces for tactical purposes.
Maj. Gen. John P. Casciano, the assistant chief of
staff for Intelligence, spelled out the breadth of
IW at AFA's Los Angeles symposium, held in October.
The definition of IW used by the Air Force, he explained,
was "any action to deny, exploit, corrupt, or
destroy the enemy's information and its functions;
protecting ourselves against those actions; and exploiting
our own military information functions."
It is not a purely modern phenomenon, USAF officials
said, but the concept has become much more important
in the information age. Satellites, computers, faxes,
video cameras, and modems have given today's military
forces a startling capability to create and disseminate
information. This flood of data changes battlefield
realities, alters conclusions, and redirects actions.
Information technologies have proven to be tremendous
military force-multipliers. Their very usefulness creates
a defensive problem, however.
Weakness in Strength
"We must recognize . . . that the same qualities
making modern information functions so indispensable,
make them alarmingly vulnerable," said Col. Frank
Morgan, commander of the Air Force Information Warfare
Center, Kelly AFB, Tex.
By itself, the military cannot hope to address every
one of these vulnerabilities. The dependence of US
armed forces on commercial technologies and communications
may represent a weak link in America's info war armor.
Not too long ago, almost all of the information critical
to Air Force planning and execution was transmitted
over secure links. Now, 90 percent of it travels through
commercial systems, according to service estimates.
For instance, service officials point out that fuel
orders and logistics data--information essential to
the success of a sudden deployment--usually travels
over essentially unprotected commercial lines. Blood
and medical supplies are ordered the same way. Telemedicine
capabilities are becoming increasingly important in
the military for long-distance health diagnostics;
these capabilities, based on rapid electronic transmissions,
are also at risk.
Even something as common as an automatic teller machine
might represent a military vulnerability. A sophisticated
adversary might be able to track the movements of key
military personnel via ATM withdrawal data, for instance.
Alternatively, the simple electronic looting of a soldier's
financial accounts could profoundly affect his or her
morale.
"We have to streamline our support functions
to take advantage of technology and cut down costs,
but it means we are more at risk," said General
Casciano.
Furthermore, vulnerabilities of commercial systems
could cause problems at a strategic level. IW attacks
might play havoc with the US electrical grid, for instance,
or decimate commercial banking systems. Clever hackers
could redirect speeding trains onto the same track
or cause air traffic controllers to misdirect airliners.
Wary of the emerging dangers, the White House last
July established a Commission on Critical Infrastructure
Protection to weigh the implications of the threat.
Members are considering whether it is a truly imminent
danger or possibly an overhyped annoyance. "Is
[the IW problem] a Sherman tank coming at us, or is
it just a kid carrying a Ping-Pong paddle?" asks
Roger Molander, a Rand Corp. analyst and one of the
country's foremost experts on IW. "No one really
knows."
Most of the weapons of IW are themselves composed
of electrons and focus on software.
Worms on the March
For years, hackers have been using the simple technique
of guessing the passwords needed to enter remote computing
systems. (The word "password," for instance,
is a more common password than one might think.) Once
inside a computer's cyberspace, vandalism can be easy.
More sophisticated users can then insert a self-replicating
program, often known as a "worm." Churning
worms keep growing and growing, taking up more and
more memory, and eventually jam system software.
The spread of powerful personal computers has made
it possible for hackers to crack password defenses
simply by trying many possible combinations of letters.
Once inside, the covert insertion of a software "backdoor" allows
adversaries to reenter a system at will. Another hacker
tool--the "sweeper"--will do just what its
name suggests: sweep all data banks clean of their
information. "Sniffers" are eavesdropping
programs that monitor electronic communications, providing
useful intelligence analogous to that achieved by wiretapping
telephones.
Today, however, the highest form of software attack
may be what is called "packet forge spoofing." This
activity results in the subtle--and secret--alteration
of data. A file containing an adversary's order of
battle, for instance, may suddenly show a fighter squadron
where none existed before. The idea, explained one
defense contractor whose firm works on the offensive
side of cyberwar, is simple. "It's much better
to get a guy's system to give him wrong information
than no information at all," he said.
Moreover, powerful workstations are not necessary
to create these weapons. The attacks on Rome Lab were
launched from the computer equivalent of a Cessna prop
plane; it was a slow, 25-megahertz, 486 SX desktop
computer whose hard drive contained only 170 megabytes
of space. After all, a whole arsenal of IW software
is openly posted at various sites on the Internet.
Log in, point and click, and--presto!--you're an electron
warrior.
Other tools could directly target the embedded computers
in aircraft and other high-tech weapon systems. Directed
energy bursts, for example, might fry an aircraft's
avionics, and the alteration of Global Positioning
System navigation data could put a long-range bomber
far off course. Flight controls might be disabled through
radio-frequency insertion of corrupt computer codes.
Defense planners also maintain that the physical destruction
of crucial computer assets qualifies as an act of information
war. Such activity might be as simple as attachment
of a powerful magnet to a hard drive by special operations
forces or as blunt as an old-fashioned laser-guided
bomb down the air vent of an underground computer center.
Air Force officials separate the IW threat into three
categories, of varying degrees of danger.
- The thrill-seeking hackers--or "ankle biters," in
General Casciano's phrase--who pose the most limited
challenge. Datastream Cowboy was an archetype of
this threat.
- Freelancers with a purpose. These can range from
a lone individual with an antinuclear agenda to subnational
groups, such as the Strano Leftist Network, a loose
Internet-oriented Italian agglomeration that recently
launched politically oriented attacks on computers
in France and Mexico.
- Nation-states. US officials worry that info war
might take place on something of a level battlefield.
For example, production of stealth aircraft takes
a huge national investment, but the production of
a truly deadly computer virus might be cheap enough
for even the poorest government to afford.
250,000 Hacks
The threat no longer is theoretical. A recent General
Accounting Office study estimated that Pentagon computers
absorb some 250,000 hacker attacks per year--and that
65 percent of these attacks are at least partially
successful. In late 1996, most DoD information on the
Internet had to be temporarily shut down after a hacker
damaged an Air Force home page on the World Wide Web.
Most hackers tend to scoff at the notion that they
represent a national security threat. The overwhelming
majority of them, they point out, target military computers
that handle unclassified information. Even so, their
actions can be costly and exasperating. Some hackers
do gain access to sensitive areas: Datastream Cowboy
managed to make off with communications that had been
classified "secret." In the late 1980s, the
so-called "Hannover Hacker" attacked US systems,
searching for data to sell to the East German government.
As for other nations, about 18 have active defensive
or offensive IW programs, according to Air Force documents.
To date, it is not clear whether and to what extent
this activity constitutes a direct threat to the US.
The US National Intelligence Council has produced a
classified report on known foreign efforts or plans
to attack crucial national data networks, such as the
Defense Switched Network telephone system. Officials
have not revealed its conclusions publicly, though
they acknowledge that computer-assisted intrusions
into the systems used by banks and other financial
institutions have so far been isolated, with the goal
limited to theft.
John M. Deutch, then CIA director, told Congress last
summer that such incidents may begin to threaten the
nation's economic well-being if they increase. "In
addition, we do not fully understand the real source
and purpose of these events," he said. "Some
may be sponsored by foreign adversaries in support
of broader political, economic, or military goals."
Three Thrusts
Information warfare is currently the focus of three
general, overlapping efforts within the US defense-industrial
structure. One of these efforts centers on activity
in think tanks. Science Applications International
Corp., for instance, recently launched a Center for
Information Strategy and Policy to run seminars and
produce papers on the subject, as well as systems planning
and crisis simulations. Rand Corp. has carried out
ground-breaking IW work, including several well-attended
game-playing exercises for government officials. A
1995 game focused on a Persian Gulf War scenario, with
Iran attempting to destabilize Saudi Arabia. The game
setup called for Iran to use such methods as destruction
of a Dhahran refinery by meddling with its computerized
controls. In 1996, the Rand story line was tension
between China and Taiwan. Sixty mid- to upper-level
US officials attended.
The other hotbeds of IW thinking are, first, the Pentagon
and the armed services and, second, the White House
and the intelligence community.
Within the US military, all evidence is that the services
take IW seriously. All branches, for instance, have
headquarters staff position papers on the subject that
are in various stages of development. The Air Force
seems clearly out in front when it comes to IW planning.
That's not just the opinion of USAF leaders, either.
"The Air Force is furthest along," says
Rand's Mr. Molander. "They've got some good training
programs going."
USAF leaders have rejected any notion of a separate
IW command and say, instead, that all major commands
must be ready to conduct defensive info war functions.
Specialized organizations established so far include
the 609th Information Warfare Squadron, a prototype
unit located at Shaw AFB, S. C., that studies the use
of offensive and defensive IW tactics and techniques,
and the Air Force Information Warfare Center, charged
with developing and maintaining general IW capabilities.
AFIWC has been up and running since 1993 at Kelly
AFB. Its experts were crucial in cracking the Datastream
case. AFIWC hacker teams travel throughout the Air
Force to assess computer security at individual Air
Force bases. For instance, a recent AFIWC simulated
attack on Charleston AFB, S. C., breached six computer
systems--with two of these taken over completely. These
attack techniques range from sophisticated cracking
efforts to such simple acts as flipping over user mouse
pads and keyboards in search of passwords written down
by forgetful users.
Under the Base Network Control Center initiative,
the Air Force is building electronic "fences" around
all of its installations. This $68 million effort will
erect data fire walls between base local networks and
the Internet and other commercial communications providers,
while providing network monitoring equipment to detect
any hacker intrusions.
For the near future, the most significant Air Force
IW item concerns education, according to officials.
Air University has produced a video on the subject,
called "Cyberstrike," and is now circulating
it around the Air Force. Maxwell AFB, Ala., home of
Air University, is offering two IW courses--a three-day
version for general officers and senior civilians and
a five-day version for others. USAF's first Information
Warfare Training Lab is now open for business at Goodfellow
AFB, Tex.
Surprise Attack
Not everyone believes the Pentagon is taking information
warfare seriously enough or is putting enough resources
into its efforts. In January, the Defense Science Board,
issuing a report on defenses against IW, warned that
the nation faced a possible electronic Pearl Harbor
in the near future. DSB members are recommending that
DoD spend at least $3 billion more than planned on
IW over the next five years.
The study concluded that the Defense Department needs
to designate a focal point for IW in the Pentagon.
It recommends establishment of a Pentagon-wide electronic "aggressor" team
to help assess vulnerability. And it says that R&D
spending in the area needs to be expanded.
Though today's commercial products can provide some
quick protection for the military's 2.1 million computers,
they generally aren't able to handle the sheer scale
of the Pentagon's distributed computer environment,
according to the DSB. One particular need: a system
that can automatically track an attack to its source.
In addition, said the DSB report, the US needs to be
prepared for the aftermath of a determined IW attack.
That means identifying and hardening a minimum essential
information infrastructure--a limited fail-safe system
capable of surviving large outages and performing critical
defense functions.
"The infrastructure must be designed to function
in the presence of failed components, systems, and
networks," concluded the study. "The risk
. . . must be managed since it cannot be avoided."
The DSB is not the only high-level government group
working on the overall IW problem. The President's
Commission on Critical Infrastructure Protection is
charged with looking at vulnerabilities in broad commercial
systems, including telecommunications nets, electrical
power systems, supply systems, banking, and transportation.
The panel expects to issue its own report in early
summer.
Protection of these high-level strategic targets may
be the most challenging--and important--aspect of IW
as the twenty-first century approaches. That is because
the Pentagon needs to maintain its access to such systems,
yet it cannot exert much control over how they defend
themselves.
Mr. Molander, the Rand analyst, warned, "The
services are in no position to foster protection for
these elements of the infrastructure, which they're
going to depend upon."
Defense officials point out that big commercial systems,
by their very nature, foster interaction with the outside
world and with potential problems. Banks judge themselves
successful if they can convince more people to use
their ATM networks. Cellular phones are spreading around
the world faster than any electronic technology since
television, yet in some markets they're already losing
up to 30 percent of their revenue via fraud.
"Information warfare has no front line," says
a comprehensive Rand study of the subject. "In
addition, the means of deterrence and retaliation are
uncertain and may rely on traditional military instruments
in addition to IW threats. In sum, the US homeland
may no longer provide a sanctuary from outside attack."
Peter Grier, the Washington bureau chief of the Christian
Science Monitor, is a longtime defense correspondent
and regular contributor to Air Force Magazine.
His most recent article, "The Jet Age in Review," appeared
in the February 1997 issue.
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