Every major
study of US defense requirements in recent years has led to a recurring
set of core conclusions.
- The United States has global interests and responsibilities
from which we cannot and do not wish to retreat.
- The nation needs military capabilities across the
full spectrum of conflict, but the emphasis for the
foreseeable future will be on response to regional
crises or conflicts.
- A Revolution in Military Affairs--the primary elements
of which are information technology and long-range
precision strike capability--has changed the nature
of warfare, taking us beyond the inevitability of
massive, force-on-force engagements.
- The cornerstone of our strength is the capability
to project combat power rapidly and effectively to
any point on the globe.
- When US forces engage in combat, our objective
will be to win quickly, decisively, and with as few
casualties as possible.
- The United States must dominate both air and space
in wartime. We must have access to space and be able
to operate freely there while denying those capabilities
to an adversary.
Unfortunately, the national defense program as presently constituted
is at odds with this body of conclusions. It does not provide the resources
or the forces actually required. It does not capitalize on the full potential
of either the Revolution in Military Affairs or aerospace power.
Technology development and force modernization have been shortchanged
as money is reprogrammed away to cover readiness and daily operations.
Although air and space capabilities are deemed critical to the future,
aerospace power is undervalued in budgets and planning. Furthermore,
joint doctrine still tends to portray airpower as principally a supporting
element for ground operations.
National security demands that we fund the defense budget to actual
requirements, not to wishful thinking. The Air Force Association believes
it has become imperative that the Department of Defense and service leaders
ensure that the Administration and Congress hear and understand the needs
of the force.
The Effectiveness of Airpower. The nation's top defense leaders
were right in 1991 when they said that airpower had been the decisive
element in the Gulf War. As impressive as airpower was in that conflict,
though, it has improved enormously since then, and today attains a much
higher standard than it did in the Gulf.
The capabilities of airpower, especially in precision attack, were further
demonstrated in "Deliberate Force," the three-week air campaign
in Bosnia in 1995 that was the decisive factor in bringing the recalcitrant
Serbs to the peace talks in Dayton. It was another example of what airpower
can accomplish when properly employed.
The Quadrennial Defense Review recognized the prime operational requirement
to halt an enemy force rapidly, short of its objective, perhaps avoiding
the need for a costly ground campaign to evict the enemy from captured
territory. Achieving such a strategic halt is primarily a job for airpower.
Airpower can now strike directly and with great accuracy at critical
parts of the enemy's infrastructure and order of battle. Military effectiveness
is no longer measured by local perspectives and battle lines on the ground.
The National Defense Panel produced a template of critical capabilities-mobility,
stealth, speed, increased range, precision strike, and a small logistics
footprint-that will rise in importance between 2010 and 2020. These capabilities
are hallmarks of aerospace power. The Berlin Airlift--the 50th anniversary
of which we observe this year--exemplified the versatility of airpower
as an instrument of national power.
It is by means of aerospace power that the nation will best measure
up to the objective of Joint Vision 2010 to accomplish the effects of
mass, concentrating combat power at the decisive time and place, with
less need than in the past to assemble a massed force in the battle area.
It has become popular to disparage airpower and to argue that it is
not "decisive" in war. We do not claim that aerospace power
will be decisive alone in every instance, but it is the hardest-hitting,
longest-reaching, and most flexible force that the nation possesses.
It is difficult to imagine a future conflict of any major scope in which
land power or sea power could survive--much less be decisive--without
aerospace power.
Transformation to the Aerospace Force. After the Cold War, the
US Air Force reduced active duty strength by a third and cut forces stationed
abroad by half. Meanwhile, its contingency deployments have increased
by a factor of four.
The Air Force is no longer a forward-based Cold War garrison force,
focused on containment. It has become an expeditionary force, concentrating
on global reach and the projection of global power, geared to a rapid
and tailored response. The force is also in transition from airpower
to the larger regime of aerospace power, incorporating the integrated
capabilities of the full aerospace medium from air superiority to space
control.
The aerospace force retains, and in fact, has enhanced substantially,
the traditional ability to support other forces in a joint campaign.
Less recognized but of equal or greater importance, aerospace forces
have an unprecedented capability to achieve strategic, operational, and
tactical results on their own or with land or sea forces in support.
Aerospace forces operate decisively and accurately, over long range,
on short notice, while putting as few Americans in harm's way as possible.
Platforms in air and space also make major contributions to information
dominance and battle management for US forces and coalition allies.
Space. We are currently seeing the first wave of a massive migration
into space of military, civilian, and commercial functions and dependencies.
Space is an area of vital national interest, from which we can no more
isolate ourselves than we can from our interests in Europe or Asia.
When our interests in space are challenged--and they will be--the nation
will expect the US armed forces to be ready to protect them. We should
be preparing now against that day. For political and budgetary reasons,
we are not preparing adequately to fulfill those responsibilities.
The nation is nominally committed to space control, the ability of US
and allies to reach space and operate freely there while denying those
capabilities to an adversary. In actuality, our commitment is hedged
by various policies, treaties, and commitments that restrict military
operations in space. Treaties designed to protect US and Soviet populations
in the Cold War now increase their vulnerabilities as weapons of mass
destruction proliferate. It is time to change our national policies and
plans to ensure the capabilities to defend our interests in space.
The Commitment of Force. The Air Force Association repeats its
concern that the United States has progressively lowered the threshold
for engaging in combat. The nation has become increasingly willing to
employ the armed forces in situations where the military purposes are
vague or undefined. In the confrontation with Iraq in early 1998, for
example, our objectives kept shifting. Our commitment was weak and tentative,
leaving both adversaries and allies uncertain about our intentions. Our
approach was to use the armed forces to "send signals," but
we were not prepared to take serious, relevant, and sustained action
if our warnings failed.
Strategy must be based on objectives that can be specified clearly and
which we have the means and the will to accomplish. We should not commit
our armed forces to combat if we do not know what our objectives are
or if we are lacking in either capability or will.
Falling Short. According to the national defense strategy, US
armed forces are supposed to be ready to fight and win, almost simultaneously,
two major theater wars. Our present forces, weakened by one reduction
after another over the years, are in no shape to carry out that strategy.
They would be pressed to sustain a single conflict on the scale of the
Persian Gulf War of 1991.
The defense budget is critically underfunded. The diminished force structure
and resources it provides are not sufficient to cover all of the "engagement
and enlargement" actions around the world, much less support wartime
requirements.
The Air Force Association does not accept the assumption, prevalent
in the Pentagon and elsewhere, that the best we can hope for is a "stable
defense topline," meaning that it may be necessary for the armed
forces to absorb further reductions but that the defense budget can never
be increased.
Defense outlays have not only fallen as a percentage of the Gross Domestic
Product--down by more than half from the Cold War peak--but also have
decreased as a percentage of total federal outlays and net public spending.
To a considerable extent, then, the decline is a matter of priorities.
The Air Force Association regards the 3.0 percent of GDP presently allocated
for defense as inadequate and the 2.7 percent level projected for 2003
as irresponsible and dangerous. We believe the defense budget can be
and should be increased.
Threats Old and New. The policy of sizing the armed services
to fight two regional conflicts--adopted in 1993 as a rationale for reducing
the defense budget from "Base Force" levels--is now coming
under attack as excessive and unaffordable.
It would be a considerable risk to fall below the two-conflict standard
for sizing the armed forces. The nation has a consistent history of underestimating
in peacetime the forces that it will require in wartime. The Gulf War,
for example, ultimately required a third more fighter forces than forecast
by the strategy. Nor have we done well in anticipating the outbreak and
escalation of conflict.
The standard for sizing the force must obviously be set higher than
a single regional conflict. There must be a reasonable force held in
reserve and some hedge against simultaneous trouble elsewhere. Provision
must also be made for the missions other than regional conflict for which
the force is concurrently responsible. The two-conflict standard serves
all of these necessary considerations.
We urge caution in the increasing emphasis on Military Operations Other
Than War. Peacekeeping and constabulary functions are legitimate parts
of the national security program, but it must be clear that they are
subordinate to the assured capability to fight and win the nation's wars.
The threats are diverse and evolving. Challenges arise from more sources
than in the past, and the locations are less predictable. Weapons of
mass destruction are proliferating, along with the means of employing
them. Much sooner than our intelligence agencies had expected, the United
States will be vulnerable to attack by ballistic missiles in the hands
of rogue nations. Fighter aircraft sold on the world market approach
parity with the best in operational service with the US Air Force. Information
from space, much of it of strategic value, is commonly available.
New regimes of conflict are emerging. Among the most important of these
is the power to obtain, exploit, defend, and attack information. In the
near future, information warfare will upset traditional concepts about
conflict and national defense. Aerospace forces will be deeply involved
and compelled to deal with both the vulnerabilities and the opportunities.
Nuclear Weapons. As the explosion of nuclear weapons by India
and Pakistan reminded us, the goal of nuclear non-proliferation is idealistic
and probably impossible. This example also underscores our need for national
missile defense. A major obstruction to that capability, however, is
the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty, an agreement struck under circumstances
of the past with the Soviet Union, a nation that no longer exists. It
is time for the United States to withdraw from the ABM Treaty and accelerate
the development of a national defense against ballistic missiles.
Contrary to the rising clamor from the nuclear abolition movement, we
believe that the United States must retain sufficient nuclear weapons
to enforce nuclear deterrence. Their value in deterring aggression and
pressures from potential adversaries has been demonstrated amply, and
we should not give up on nuclear deterrence until we find something better
to replace it.
Force Modernization. The Department of Defense continues to postpone
force modernization, which is long overdue and now becoming a major problem.
At projected budget levels, there is little chance of realizing the Administration's
own procurement funding goal.
Of special concern to the Air Force Association is the absence of any
plan for long-range airpower except for upgrades and improvements to
the existing bomber fleet. Time has run out on the proposal to build
more B-2s. That production line is closed, and neither the Department
of Defense or the Air Force has given sufficient thought to what comes
next. We urge a maximum effort on the long-term bomber force structure
plan that Congress has directed the Air Force to prepare and present
by March 1, 1999. The bomber upgrade programs are also vital--especially
the enhancement of the B-2 to its full potential--as are precision-guided
munitions to arm these systems.
Among development and procurement programs on our priority list are
the F-22 fighter, the Joint Strike Fighter, the Joint STARS surveillance
system (a minimum of 19 aircraft), the Airborne Laser, the Evolved Expendable
Launch Vehicle for space access, the Space Based Infrared System, and
an additional squadron of C-17 airlifters for the Special Operations
mission.
Problems in the Force. Deterioration of the force is showing
up in readiness and mission capable rates as well as in morale and retention
problems. The wear and tear is taking its toll on the aging fleet of
aircraft and on the people who are obliged to operate and maintain them.
Too few people with too few resources are trying to cover too many deployments
to operating locations in Southwest Asia and elsewhere. The difficulties
affect both those who deploy and those at their home stations who cope
with the suddenly increased workload left behind.
The force is overextended and strung out. Operational units miss the
training they need to remain proficient. Personal problems, caused by
repeated family separations and other factors, are multiplying. Hardships
are compounded when the force's sense of purpose is undercut by tenuous
objectives and the open-ended nature of the deployments.
The ruinous operational tempo is a big reason why the Air Force is losing
some of its best people. It is not only pilots who are leaving in alarming
numbers but also middle-grade airmen with valuable experience and know-how.
We congratulate the Air Force on its initiative to regroup operational
and support units to cover unplanned peacetime expeditionary operations
in a way that redistributes the impact on units and people.
However, the force's underlying problem is that it has been cut too
much. What it needs is more people, more resources, and more force structure.
People. The government is systematically destroying the vital
relationship of trust between military members and the nation. People
in uniform accept the hardships and dangers of the military profession;
in return, the nation is expected to take care of military members and
their families and provide them a reasonable compensation and quality
of life. In recent years, however, the government has defaulted on its
promises, cut back on programs that directly affect people, and sought
cheap solutions to cover its obligations.
Concern about health care is Issue No.1 for veterans and retirees. In
the most recent opinion survey of the active force, less than half of
the members found the medical care program satisfactory. The Air Force
Association believes the government should face its responsibility and
make a variety of options for affordable, portable, and accessible health
care available to active duty and retired members and their families.
Military pay has dropped even further behind than before. It now trails
compensation in the private sector by 14 percent. Pay inequity is a rising
source of dissatisfaction, especially among enlisted members of the force.
We believe that Congress should approve a special increase in military
pay to establish closer comparability with earnings in the private sector.
On these issues and others, the government should act now to restore
the bond of confidence between the nation and the force, not only because
it is the right thing to do but also because failure to act is harmful
to retention and morale.
Guard and Reserve. Wherever the US Air Force is engaged--in the
Balkans, Southwest Asia, or elsewhere--the Air National Guard and Air
Force Reserve components are there, demonstrating continuously their
ability to deploy, operate, and fight alongside the active duty component.
The Air Force has made Total Force a partnership, not a competition,
and in so doing has set the model to which the other services aspire.
As the Expeditionary Aerospace Force evolves and new missions emerge,
we trust that the Air Guard and Reserve will take appropriate roles in
them. In view of their contribution to Air Force performance, training
and equipment modernization standards for the Guard and Reserve must
be on a par with those of the active duty force.
The Air Force Association expresses its appreciation and regard for
the support of employers of Guard and Reserve members. Without their
cooperation, the strong and extended Total Force operation would not
be possible.
A Force for the Strategy. We agree with the National Defense
Panel Report that "there is a high premium on forces that can deploy
rapidly, seize the initiative, and achieve our objectives with minimal
risk of heavy casualties." The Expeditionary Aerospace Force and
long range airpower fit that prescription with remarkable fidelity.
Aerospace power is the force component more likely than any of the others
to amplify our advantage in theater battle and to provide the global
awareness essential to the joint force in peace and war.
We believe that the nation needs a balanced force of air, land, and
sea capabilities--but we are the world's leading military power primarily
because of our strength in air and space. The United States is an aerospace
nation, and the US Air Force is its Aerospace Force.
Copyright Air Force Association. All rights reserved.
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