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A spaceplane has been part of the Air Force's long-range
vision for more than 40 years. Advocates say a reusable
spaceplane could cut launch costs from $10,000 per
pound of cargo to $1,000 per pound and give the Air
Force much greater flexibility in access to space,
whether for maintaining satellites or performing other
missions.
It would also provide the ultimate counter to any
adversary's anti-access strategies; a spaceplane that
can fly at Mach 25, reach orbit, and return to Earth
would be virtually impossible to stop before reaching
its objective.
But today, there is no single "spaceplane" on
the drawing boards. Several experimental vehicles are
seeking to demonstrate the technologies needed for
a spaceplane. A December 2000 report from the Air Force's
Scientific Advisory Board laid it out: "If the
Air Force vision of 'controlling and exploiting the
full aerospace continuum' is to become reality, the
Air Force needs a comprehensive plan for hypersonics."
Yet the Air Force has been stymied in its efforts
to get Washington behind a stated requirement for a
spaceplane or to fund the extensive research that is
still needed to make the concept a reality. The recent
demise of the X-33 spaceplane project signaled that
once again, the technology hurdle is high and the gap
between dollars and rhetoric is deep.
Ideas for a spaceplane date back to German research
on rocketry before World War II. In the Air Force,
a reusable spaceplane has long been part of the vision
for full control and exploitation of air and space.
Schriever's Vision
In 1962, Gen. Bernard A. Schriever described a set
of requirements for space capabilities that included
the ability to orbit, maneuver, rendezvous, de-orbit,
re-enter, and land on a routine basis. Today, USAF
is still at least a decade away from acquiring a reusable
spaceplane that can do the jobs Schriever described.
Technology hurdles remain at the heart of the issue.
Hypersonic flight-defined as flying faster than Mach
5-began to tantalize aerospace engineers in the 1950s.
One early success was the North American X-15, tested
at speeds up to Mach 6.7 in the 1960s. But for the
most part, programs dealing in hypersonics and reusable
spaceflight made only limited progress. One such was
the Boeing X-20 Dyna-Soar, a boost-glide vehicle designed
to become a manned, orbital plane. The Air Force funded
it in 1957, but Secretary of Defense Robert S. McNamara
canceled the X-20 in 1963, and Phase 1 of the hypersonic
spaceplane era was over.
Dyna-Soar and other programs contributed to the manned
space shuttle program. NASA's space shuttle first flew
in April 1981 and has logged more than 100 successful
missions, sometimes flying on a monthly basis. Still,
the shuttle's need for expendable tanks to help it
reach orbit and the continued high cost of each launch
differed from the concept of a true spaceplane. Better
access to space continued to be a driving issue.
In 1986, President Reagan reinvigorated the idea of
an airplane-like transatmospheric spaceplane. In 1986,
he called for "a new Orient Express" that
could, by the end of the 1990s, "take off from
Dulles Airport and accelerate up to 25 times the speed
of sound." In Reagan's concept the transatmospheric
plane could attain low Earth orbit or stay in the atmosphere, "flying
to Tokyo within two hours."
Behind Reagan's sensational announcement was hope
for a technological breakthrough in the field of hypersonics.
Research from a Defense Advanced Research Projects
Agency-funded secret program called Copper Canyon suggested
that active thermal management could boost the power
of a scramjet engine. Instead of succumbing to a heat
barrier around Mach 8, the friction from the atmospheric
drag would be used as part of a system to superheat
hydrogen fuel then inject it into a scramjet engine.
Using this technique, a spaceplane might overcome the
thermal drag barrier by dissipating heat, while using
the energy to boost engine performance.
As a result, the National Aerospace Plane was to be
a revolutionary advance: a transatmospheric craft that
would provide cheaper space launch and the ability
to exploit space in military operations. Plans called
for NASP to fly as a single stage to low Earth orbit
and to cruise at hypersonic speeds of Mach 12 to Mach
25 in the transatmosphere-between the altitudes of
100,000 to 350,000 feet.
With the advent of NASP, the spaceplane concept branched
into two roles.
First, a reusable spaceplane might replace the space
shuttle as a launch platform carrying heavy payloads
for customers like the Strategic Defense Initiative
Organization, which contributed heavily to NASP research
funding. Air Force Brig. Gen. Kenneth E. Staten, NASP
program manager, said in 1986 that NASP might be able
to deliver payloads to orbit for "between one
percent and 25 percent of the expense of doing it with
the shuttle."
Second, for the Air Force, NASP could also be a lightning-fast
bomber. Gen. Lawrence A. Skantze in 1985, as commander
of Air Force Systems Command, said NASP might have "the
speed of response of an ICBM and the flexibility and
reliability of a bomber, packaged together in a plane
that can scramble, get into orbit, and change orbit
so [that] the Soviets can't get a reading accurate
enough to shoot at it." As a satellite truck and
a strike platform, the spaceplane would be a revolutionary
leap.
No "Golden
Mission"
However, research on NASP stalled when it failed to
meet performance goals. By the early 1990s, NASP was
projected to be a decade late and 500 percent over
budget. NASP was "fully capable of hypersonic
flight," according to the Science Advisory Board,
but could not reach orbital velocity. Advanced hypersonic
technology remained out of reach. "On the basis
of current knowledge, it is hard to defend previous
DOD plans for NASP," concluded a Rand report in
1989. "No compelling 'golden mission' exists for
NASP."
Cuts in the defense budget and the end of the Cold
War sealed the fate of NASP and the program was canceled
in 1994. "These are exciting ideas," said
Martin Faga, assistant secretary of the Air Force for
space at the time, "but they are not ready for
commitment."
Even before the death of NASP, researchers were focusing
on a more cautious approach that divided up the technology
hurdles of hypersonic flight and reusable systems.
The next "spaceplane experimental" was an
early success that raised hopes for both military and
commercial applications for a spaceplane. McDonnell
Douglas won a contract in 1991 to build what became
the DC-X Delta Clipper. This single-stage-to-orbit
vehicle grew out of an SDI requirement for a single-stage,
reusable vehicle that could put Brilliant Pebbles,
a component of a ballistic missile defense system,
into orbit at a reasonable price. It was managed by
the Air Force for SDIO, later the Ballistic Missile
Defense Organization.
Although the program was handed off to NASA, the Delta
Clipper stirred Air Force thinking on the possible
uses of a spaceplane. The commercial potential and
simplicity of the program seemed to foreshadow a new
era when commercial launch demand would help fund spaceplane
technologies.
The Delta Clipper was not a hypersonic scramjet spaceplane
but a single-stage rocket with advanced lightweight
materials and directional control. Its charter was
to demonstrate the ability to take off and land vertically,
using controlled, rocket-powered flight. In its full
concept, the Clipper would be a reusable vehicle that
could be launched and recovered at the same site by
a small ground control team. Maintenance would be streamlined,
leading to lower operating and support costs that would
bring about a dramatic reduction in the price of launching
payloads into orbit. The subscale demonstrator and
an advanced version, the DC-XA, successfully completed
a series of flights in the period 1993-96, demonstrating
control and maneuverability at the White Sands Missile
Range in New Mexico.
Then trouble struck. During landing on July 31, 1996,
a landing strut failed to extend. The Clipper tipped
over and its liquid oxygen tank exploded, causing a
fire that destroyed the vehicle. "Like any good
experimental vehicle, the DC-XA flew until it was destroyed," commented
McDonnell Douglas. "We will always be impressed
by the lessons this little rocket taught us."
NASA's
X-Planes
During the 1990s, NASA took the lead in research on
spaceplane technologies. No single program was attempting
to pair single-stage launch to orbit with hypersonic
transatmospheric flight. Instead, a series of X-planes
sought to test various aspects of spaceplane operations,
ranging from thermal material to advanced propulsion
to autonomous landing under different weather conditions,
but not a full-scale demonstration.
All programs shared the same philosophy: rapid development
of prototypes, with no more than a few years passing
between contract award and demonstration. Some, like
Boeing's X-37 and X-40, were demonstrators for a vehicle
that would be ferried into orbit, operated by its own
rocket engine, then would return to land on a runway.
In contrast, Lockheed Martin's X-33 was designed to
take off vertically, fly a suborbital path, and then
land horizontally at a US base. Orbital Sciences' X-34
was a rocketplane designed to be launched from a jetliner,
reach Mach 8, then return and land on a runway. X-43A,
also from Orbital Sciences, was built to ride into
the air on a B-52 bomber, separate from the bomber,
then from a boost rocket, and fly a Mach 10 trajectory
before crash-landing in the Pacific.
The Air Force was a junior partner in deals with NASA
and aerospace industrial firms to fund these X-planes.
For example, the X-37 program was financed by roughly
$75 million from Boeing, $72 million from NASA, and
just $16 million from the Air Force.
Despite its limited financial participation, the Air
Force closely watched the X-planes. X-33, in particular,
looked like it could push the envelope on spaceplane
design and give the Air Force a chance to evaluate
suborbital space operations concepts. X-33's linear
aerospike engines were a significant evolution from
the bell-shaped engines of the space shuttle program.
The linear aerospike was designed to increase power
and, more importantly, perform with maximum efficiency
at a greater range of altitudes.
Test of the linear aerospike engines proceeded smoothly
through a series of test runs in 2000. The aerospike
engine project manager, Donald Chenevert, praised the
performance of the engines, noting that "few new,
much less innovative, engines even get to full power
in so few tests," but with X-33's engines, "we
met or exceeded a number of significant objectives
during the first phase of the program."
X-33's big test was to be a series of suborbital "hops" where
the demonstrator would take off, fly to another point,
and land. But the hops never took place. X-33 suffered
a setback in a November 1999 test, when the composite
material layers of a liquid hydrogen fuel tank peeled
apart during a stress test. An agreement signed in
the fall of 2000 kept work going on X-33 until March
2001. However, the delays caused by the fuel tank problems
slowed work on X-33, so it never picked up momentum
to become a priority for NASA, where many regarded
the single-stage-to-orbit concept as too difficult.
NASA canceled the $1.3 billion program in March 2001. "We
are going to take off our silk scarves and retire them
for a while," said Daniel Goldin, NASA administrator,
in a Washington Post interview.
NASA's cancellation of X-33 set up the first major
challenge for the Air Force's decade-long practice
of letting NASA take the lead in spaceplane development.
The commander of Air Force Space Command, Gen. Ralph
E. Eberhart, wrote to Goldin and said that the Air
Force wanted to review the situation and perhaps take
over support of the X-33 program. Estimates for completing
the prototype X-33 ran to about $400 million, while
developing and testing a full-scale spaceplane force
might cost between $3 billion and $7 billion by 2015.
However, Samuel L. Venneri, a top NASA technology
official, told the Washington Post, "We're not
interested in spending any additional money out of
our technology program, if it is not associated with
a strong commitment from the Air Force."
For the Air Force, X-33 raised important questions.
To begin with, as the SAB concluded, USAF needed a
reusable spaceplane because it was "unlikely that
the Air Force will ever be able to achieve an aggressive
aerospace force vision by relying on [expendable launch
vehicles] for its access to space."
Indeed, spaceplane concepts had become a central part
of the Air Force's vision of its future. Long-range
plans written by Air Force Space Command and by the
Directorate of Strategic Planning at USAF headquarters
both called for a new generation of reusable space
vehicles to provide space control, including assured
launch capabilities, surveillance, protection of assets
in space, and the prevention of hostile operations.
If necessary, space control would extend to negation:
using military force against an enemy's space capability.
Air Force plans envisaged acquisition of a Space Operating
Vehicle and a Space Maneuvering Vehicle. The Space
Operating Vehicle would be a single-stage-to-orbit
vehicle that could launch to low Earth orbit or employ
a second, pop-up stage to put payloads into medium
Earth orbit or beyond. The SOV would launch vertically
on demand, deliver payloads or conduct surveillance
or any other type of combat support mission, and return
to Earth and land horizontally. The Space Maneuvering
Vehicle would be an on-orbit vehicle that might perform
missions after being launched by a reusable launch
vehicle or a Space Operating Vehicle. The Space Maneuvering
Vehicle could act as a temporary satellite itself or
maneuver to perform missions such as deploying or retrieving
satellites. According to USAF officials, it would stay
in orbit for four to six months, carrying anything
from weapons to replacement satellites.
X-33 tested some of the technologies that might be
used in a follow-on Space Operating Vehicle, and X-37
(X-40A) prototyped some of the concepts for a Space
Maneuvering Vehicle.
Serious Ops ... On Demand
However, the planned X-33 demonstrations also rekindled
Air Force interest in the spaceplane's potential. Senior
leaders saw in it the capability "to do serious
operations in space on demand-from space control to
space operations," said retired Lt. Gen. Marvin
R. Esmond, a former deputy chief of staff for air and
space operations. A suborbital craft-flying at Mach
10 or 12 instead of the full Mach 25 needed to reach
orbit-could evolve into the next long-range strike
aircraft. As the SAB said, "The pressing utility
for a hypersonic aircraft is rapid time-to-target,
the survivability provided by increased speed, some
loiter and search capability, and increased weapon
penetration and kill capability."
If the X-33 suborbital hops worked, it could have
demonstrated the concept of operations for a suborbital,
hypersonic strike platform which would make the most
of swiftness and increased survivability and perhaps
replace long-range bombers. For example, a suborbital
vehicl e
could launch rapidly, reach speeds high enough to travel
to the upper edges of the atmosphere, then launch weapons,
all while remaining over the sovereign territory of
the United States or open oceans.
In that sense, the spaceplane would be the ultimate
anti-access weapon, requiring no diplomatic overflight
clearances and no serious threat of opposition. A spaceplane
could travel so high and fast that it would be well
beyond the tracking abilities of current surface-to-air
missiles. Hypersonic velocity would increase the depth
of weapons impact, enhancing the Air Force's capabilities
for attacking hardened and deeply buried targets. If
conflict arose, the spaceplane could "send a message
right from Vandenberg [Air Force Base in California]
in less than an hour," said Esmond. Compared with
the B-2 bomber's average 17-hour one-way flight time
to its targets during the Kosovo crisis, a suborbital
strike craft would seem to be almost instantaneous.
It would transform the aerospace force.
At the end of the summer, Air Force Space Command
briefed Air Force Secretary James Roche on its $2 billion
proposal to keep X-33 alive and to extend funding of
Boeing's X-37 beyond 2002. "My feeling was, it's
expensive, but you don't know until you try," Esmond
said of X-33. "This had, to date, the best chance
of success."
However, the plan fell victim to budget constraints. "Both
programs have made significant contributions toward
understanding achievable vehicle performance, cost,
and integration issues and have provided valuable information
on the dynamics of launching space vehicles," the
Air Force said officially on Sept. 7, 2001. Neither
X-33 nor X-37 provided "a level of military utility
needed to continue development and funding by the Air
Force."
The X-33 decision was a surprise, not the least because
it came after the Air Force had declared a renewed
focus on the development of military space power. A
spaceplane with responsive capabilities to replenish
satellites could be the most useful item in the inventory
in the event of a "space Pearl Harbor" that
takes out on-orbit systems.
Even in a less catastrophic scenario, a spaceplane
seemed to offer the potential for real transformation
of US forces over time. In the near term, X-33 "would
have given us the vehicle behind which to have a serious
discussion" on doctrinal and political aspects
of joint space operations, explained Esmond. In the
long term, spaceplanes serving as strike platforms
could change the equation of US defense planning by
making it possible to launch flexible, rapid strike
missions from United States territory.
"I think it's truly the answer [for] full global
reach, global power," said Esmond. A fully developed,
suborbital, hypersonic spaceplane could ultimately "stand
on alert and provide a deterrent force. Then you could
shape the Air Force to be truly expeditionary and take
care of smaller-scale contingencies," he added.
Critics contend that today's fighters and bombers
can, for vastly less cost, do the job of a fleet of
spaceplanes. True, the initial cost of fielding a spaceplane
would be extremely high. However, revolutions do not
come cheap. Total investment to date in stealth aircraft
programs exceeds $100 billion.
More to the point, said one Air Force official, is
this question: "How long can we penetrate [enemy
air defenses] with stealth? It won't last for the next
50 years. Why penetrate with a bomber when the weapon
could be delivered from a suborbital spacecraft?" A
spaceplane could carry out immediate attack operations
against targets harboring weapons of mass destruction,
for example.
The Saga Continues
As illustrated by the demise of the X-33 program,
the path toward a spaceplane remains difficult, and
constant demands on USAF aerospace power will make
it hard to find significant streams of investment needed
to develop the technologies. But given its central
role in the Air Force vision, the spaceplane concept
is not finished yet. "With Rumsfeld, who understands
space, and this Administration, which is excited about
transformation and becoming more efficient, we are
closer than ever," Esmond said.
The choice about when to push hard for a reusable,
hypersonic spaceplane cannot be put off indefinitely.

"As with air operations, the Air Force must take
steps to create a culture within the service dedicated
to developing new space system concepts, doctrine,
and operational capabilities," said the Rumsfeld
Space Commission Report in January 2001. The Air Force's
Scientific Advisory Board concluded in its December
2000 report that the demand for reusable space access
would grow as USAF became "a true aerospace force."
Even so, the bulk of the technicians who have experience
in hypersonic experimentation-not just theory-is aging
rapidly. According to the Scientific Advisory Board, "The
hypersonics workforce is at a crossroads," and "the
majority of its members will retire in the next five
to 10 years." Foreign competition may also emerge.
Russia, China, France, India, Germany, and several
other nations are working diligently on hypersonics.
In fact, the Air Force Research Lab, headquartered
at Wright-Patterson AFB, Ohio, and its Office of Scientific
Research in Arlington, Va., have funded joint research
with Russian agencies. If their research bears fruit,
the United States could find itself behind the pack
and on the wrong side of an asymmetric capability.
Most of all, the spaceplane remains a good fulfillment
of long-term Air Force requirements. Expendable launch
vehicles will not meet future demand for space access.
Even a suborbital spaceplane could also serve the demands
of expeditionary operations and homeland security more
efficiently in several roles. According to the SAB,
reusable launch vehicles like the X-33 concept "offer
immense potential to meet all the requirements of the
future US aerospace force." Combining hypersonics
and a reliable, reusable platform is the path to dramatic
improvement in the Air Force's core competencies.
With a suborbital hypersonic craft or one that can
reach orbit, USAF would gain a rapid-response capability
of phenomenal power, free of much of the infrastructure
needed for expeditionary warfare. To be sure, an Air
Force base would have to be heavily modified with a
new ground support structure to accommodate spaceplanes,
but the asymmetric capabilities of a spaceplane would
trump all remnants of 20th century warfare.
Rebecca Grant is president of IRIS Independent Research
in Washington, D.C., and has worked for Rand, the Secretary
of the Air Force, and the Chief of Staff of the Air Force.
Grant is a fellow of the Eaker Institute for Aerospace
Concepts, the public policy and research arm of the Air
Force Association's Aerospace Education Foundation. Her
most recent article, "Altitude," appeared
in the October 2001 issue.
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