We appreciate Dr. [Rebecca] Grant's efforts to highlight
lessons learned from Operation Allied Force, but we
found the description of each "myth" to be
more convincing than the rebuttals. [See "Nine
Myths About Kosovo," June, p. 50.] The article's
two main points are that airpower was effective against
Serb forces in Kosovo and that land power did not contribute
to Allied Force. The first argument misses the point
completely and the second argument is simply wrong.
The discussion of "myths" one through four,
concerning airpower's effectiveness against Yugoslav
forces in Kosovo, essentially degenerated into quibbling
over numbers. Regardless of recent reports that the
numbers cited in the article are significantly inflated,
body counts are no more valid measures of effectiveness
today than they were during the Vietnam War.
The obsession with numbers obscures the larger question
of whether airpower alone can be sufficient to do anything
more than degrade enemy ground forces. This argument
glosses over airpower's inability to halt Yugoslavia's
operations in Kosovo, especially ethnic cleansing.
Defending the Air Force's halt-phase concept by arguing
that the conditions in Kosovo were uniquely unfavorable
challenges the concept's utility in the real world.
Kosovo cannot be seen as an exception because it was
characterized by "a morass of close combat without
a traditional front line." We cannot assume, against
all evidence, that our future wars will all be like
the Gulf War. It is unrealistic to expect future conflicts
to be free of political constraints, noncombatants,
refugee flows, paramilitary forces, bad weather, and
restrictive terrain. These are the defining characteristics
of the 21st century battlefield.
"Myths" five through seven discount the
role of land forces in Milosevic's eventual capitulation.
[Retired] Gen. [Wesley] Clark has stated that allied
ground forces deserve "an awful lot of the credit
for the successful outcome of the operation in Kosovo
last year." That we were "never close to
preparing for a ground invasion" is simply incorrect.
In fact, the Los Angeles Times reported that Strobe
Talbott and two American generals briefed Russian envoy
Victor Chernomyrdin on US invasion plans, which a shaken
Chernomyrdin then related to Milosevic. National Security
Advisor Sandy Berger had already drafted a memo to
the President, recommending a ground invasion in case
Chernomyrdin was unable to persuade Milosevic to back
down.
The argument that ground forces played no role is
further discredited by the actual presence of allied
ground units in Kosovo and in theater. The arrival
of Task Force Hawk and other NATO forces in Albania
as well as the reinforcement of the Allied Rapid Reaction
Corps in Macedonia lent credibility to the threat of
an allied invasion.
These "myths," then, contain more truth
than myth. As Dr. Grant states in the article, "If
these myths were to be credited, one would have to
conclude that aerospace power is nothing more than
a flashy, unreliable tool of military force." This
conclusion is too harsh; we have the best Air Force
in the world, and airpower will always play a vital
role in joint and combined operations. Any student
of military history knows that combined warfare is
always more effective than the use of a single element
of power.
Charles Lathrop and John Kreul
National Security Analysts
Association of the United States Army
From Rebecca Grant
Two guys from AUSA liked the myths better than the
facts? Hardly surprising. Myths thrive in spite of
facts and that is why they have to be rebutted before
they morph into joint doctrine.
Despite the gossip about invasion threats, this fact
remains: Ground forces were not used in combat during
Operation Allied Force. The major lessons, good and
bad, that come out of Allied Force centered on the
planning and employment of coalition aerospace power.
That's why it puzzles me to be accused of obsessing
over numbers-especially numbers that were first briefed
by an Army general, Wesley Clark. The damage assessments
for fixed and mobile targets contain intriguing lessons
for future joint operations. Would it really be better
to ignore the numbers?
As for the inability to halt ethnic cleansing, this
was an issue way beyond operational doctrine. NATO
backed itself into a corner that gave Milosevic a big
tactical advantage and allowed him to push out the
Kosovars. Remember that many European allies had put
troops on the ground to defend safe areas in Bosnia
and had hundreds at a time taken hostage. All accounts
tell us that NATO could barely agree to start airstrikes,
much less to contemplate seizing Kosovo with ground
forces. Whatever NATO did would have to be with aerospace
power. My point was, let's not confuse the issue. This
was a long way from the Pentagon's rapid-halt strategy
of having the go-ahead to attack forces massed on a
border and did not tell us much about whether that
strategy would succeed.
As it happens, I agree with Messrs. Kreul and Lathrop
that the larger question is about what aerospace power
can do to an enemy ground force. How much more proof
is needed?
Aerospace forces are designed to reach and strike
much deeper, much quicker. They have gotten to be pretty
effective at targeting enemy ground forces. But for
some reason, advocates of land power still like to
criticize airmen for doing their job.
It's an old problem.
As Billy Mitchell observed in 1917: "The ground
troops did not yet realize that they were perfectly
incapable by themselves of dealing a blow at the heart
of the enemy country or its vital centers." Of
course, we know what the Army did to him.
Kreul and Lathrop suggest that we are picking an unprovoked
argument in an otherwise jointly serene setting. Recent
statements by their senior colleagues at the Association
of the US Army call that into question. "The Army
has paid a high price for the unfulfilled promises
of airpower since World War II-between wars in budget
battles and during wars in facing enemy capabilities
with which we were unprepared to cope," wrote
Gen. Frederick J. Kroesen, USA (Ret.), in the January
1999 issue of AUSA's Army Magazine. Kroesen is a senior
fellow of AUSA's Institute of Land Warfare. He also
said that "in the Persian Gulf, more than one
month's expenditure of the most proficient air campaign
in history failed to achieve a single objective established
for that war. ... Even with the wondrous capabilities
of today's technology, airpower is still a part-time
participant."
In the August 1999 issue of Army Magazine, retired
Lt. Gen. Theodore G. Stroup Jr., AUSA's vice president
for education, said this about Operation Allied Force
in the Balkans: "Milosevic's will was not broken
by weeks of strategic bombing. Milosevic lost his nerve
when ground power, in the form of the Kosovar offensive
and the capabilities of [the US Army's] Task Force
Hawk, ... first unlocked the full capability of airpower.
... That is what brought about the negotiated settlement,
not the bombing of water supplies, power grids, and
Yugo factories."
The reason that we and Dr. Grant debunk
myths is that there are myths that need debunking.
-the editors