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Gen.
Wesley K. Clark, United States Army, led NATO's military
forces to success in 1999 in Operation Allied Force.
And as recently as February, the former Supreme Allied
Commander Europe told a large USAFsponsored conference, "The
US Air Force saved me, and it saved NATO." Clark,
however, delivered these remarks before the appearance
of his book, Waging Modern War, in May.
Since publication, he has been singing a different
tune. Clark has been unwilling to describe Allied Force
as an airpower success. The now-retired SACEUR, appearing
in May at National Defense University in Washington,
D.C., declared to all assembled that airpower could
not be expected to do much in future armed conflict. "Boots
on the ground," he said, would be needed for decisive
military action.
Incredibly, Clark's 479-page memoir does not even
mention the Air Force B-2 stealth bomber-one of the
war's most effective weapons-much less recognize the
B-2's key contribution to the success of the operation.
In contrast, the Army's AH-64 Apache attack helicopter
(the core of Clark's boots-on-the-ground fantasy) gets
extended and favorable attention-despite the fact that
it did not ever engage in combat.
It was exactly this obsession with trying to put boots
on the ground in the form of an invasion in Kosovo
that likely cost Clark his job as SACEUR. Even in its
rockiest periods, the US military Chiefs and White
House officials offered steady support for the NATO
air campaign. Clark, however, lobbied hard for a NATO
decision to gear up for land war.
As it turned out, Clark was completely at odds with
Washington and European leaders about the preferred
direction of the war. His penalty was high. Just one
month after the end of Allied Force, White House officials
leaked the embarrassing news that Clark would retire
earlier than planned and vacate the SACEUR post for
another officer, USAF Gen. Joseph W. Ralston, who was
then the vice chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.
Clark's candid memoir gives a view of Allied Force
very different from all others to date. The narrative
is dominated not by details of air combat operations,
as one might expect, but rather by recapitulations
of lost political battles and fervent planning for
a ground operation that never took place and was never
really in the cards. His tale provides a disturbing
inside look at a Supreme Allied Commander who was distrustful
of airpower and out of step with military colleagues
and political superiors in Washington.
Going to War
Waging Modern War takes note of the fact that Allied
Force began on March 24, 1999, with Clark's full backing.
In early March of that year, Clark told Secretary of
State Madeleine Albright that NATO air strikes had
to go ahead if diplomatic talks between the Serbs and
the Kosovar Albanians failed. This was true, he said,
because alliance credibility was on the line.
However, Clark had misgivings about airpower. He believed
that the limited NATO air strikes had been effective
in Bosnia in 1995 (Operation Deliberate Force), but
his professional view of airpower was shaped in the
1970s, a time in which, as a student at the Army's
Command and General Staff College, he researched and
wrote a thesis about the "ineffectiveness" of
Operation Rolling Thunder in Vietnam.
Clark's skepticism about airpower was only reinforced
by what he thought he knew about Desert Storm. The
general believed (incorrectly) that the Gulf War coalition's
airpower hit only about 10 percent of the Iraqi forces.
He also felt that the long Desert Storm air campaign
preceding a "short ground operation" had
wrongly convinced analysts that "precision strike" was
sufficient to win wars.
After reviewing early studies of the situation in
Kosovo, Clark felt no more sanguine about the use of
airpower. Strategic targets were few, and they did
not constitute a firm center of gravity, in Clark's
view. However, Clark was encouraged when the threat
of air strikes in October 1998 helped force a temporary
cease-fire between Serbs and Kosovars. In early 1999,
Clark began to acknowledge that airpower would have
to be NATO's main weapon in any combat with Serbia.
NATO Secretary General Javier Solana, according to
Clark, "saw no chance of maintaining NATO cohesion
if the divisive issue of ground intervention was introduced." The
SACEUR conceded, "I couldn't be sure that an air
campaign wouldn't work; it might."
For
Allied Force, "my intent was that air strikes
would be coercive in nature, following the Bosnia model,
providing a strong incentive for [Yugoslav President
Slobodan] Milosevic to halt operations," Clark
said. Clark wanted NATO airpower to focus on halting
or degrading the systematic Serb campaign of ethnic
cleansing. Yet there was a major hurdle. Clark had
warned Albright that the Serbs would most likely attack
the civilian population in Kosovo as soon as air strikes
started. Worse, NATO could do nothing to prevent it.
It would be "a race" between NATO air strikes
and what the Serb forces could do on the ground, and
in the short term, Clark said of the Serbs: "They
can win the race."
Fielded Forces
Although Clark was mirroring NATO guidance and hoping
for a quick success, he had done little to prepare
for a longer air campaign, should it become necessary.
Clark judged that the way to influence Milosevic was
to target his army forces. From the start, he worried
that NATO's airmen "hadn't worked in detail the
techniques we would use to strike early against the
Serb ground forces."
The actual timing of the air campaign was beyond Clark's
control. NATO had already ceded the initiative to Milosevic
as negotiations dragged on. More than 30,000 Serb army
soldiers massed on the border of Kosovo and moved into
the province. Clark correctly concluded, "If we
couldn't quickly break Milosevic's will with strategic
strikes, then we had to take away his capabilities
to fight in Kosovo."
However, Clark had not prepared NATO to do either.
Clark launched the campaign with a short list of targets.
All air strike targets went through a complex political
approval process that started with Clark and wound
its way on a two-week journey through US and NATO channels.
During fall 1998 and winter 199899, air planners
had briefed Clark on at least 120 targets. Clark crafted
a plan for "a serious attack, with some margin
left over," but he submitted just 51 of the 120
targets for final approval. He did so even though the
Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, Army Gen. Henry
H. Shelton, prodded him to submit more. "Wes,
how soon are you going to get me your Phase II targets?" Clark
quotes Shelton as saying. Clark's decision to submit
a limited number of targets at the outset doomed Allied
Force to a slow start, if the strikes went beyond three
days.
"Moral Necessity"
In Clark's view, however, the coercive potential of
air attacks on fixed strategic targets in Serbia proper
paled in comparison to the impact of striking Serbia's
forces in the field in Kosovo. Clark had sound military
reasons for emphasizing attacks on the Serb ground
forces. As he explained it, hitting the ground forces
was "a political, legal, and moral necessity." He
wanted to do what he could to "relieve the direct
pressure the Serbs were putting on the Kosovars."
However, Clark's strategic rationale went even deeper. "Attacking
the Serbs' military machine and police in Kosovo also
made excellent military sense," he said. Milosevic
relied on the support of the army to keep his grip
on power. The Serb leader was himself an officer in
the army reserve and as such had many loyalists in
key leadership positions in the armed forces. In the
previous December, Milosevic had fired the top army
commander and replaced him with a general who would
not complain about attacking Kosovars.
Clark saw the Serb ground forces as a priority center
of gravity because Milosevic "couldn't stand to
have these forces seriously hurt." He criticized
the "classic view of the American airpower adherents," which
pictured Milosevic as an "uncaring leader" who
would be "unaffected by losses among his military
and police." NATO aircraft had free rein to attack
Serb military forces in Kosovo once they had been identified
visually or by intelligence sources. There was no two-week
approval process for these targets.
Even so, Clark did not ask for more aircraft to counter
the ground forces. In the end, it was early April before
air planners put together a request for Clark to triple
the strike aircraft in theater. NATO did not approve
all of the additional forces in the package until after
the alliance summit was held on April 23. Weather and
lack of aircraft got the campaign off to a difficult
start, and it was not until the second week of May
that sortie rates increased dramatically. Half of the
38,116 total sorties were flown in that last month
of action.
Meanwhile, Clark was doing his utmost to get Apache
helicopters, Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS)
ballistic missiles, and lead elements of Army ground
forces into theater to turn up the pressure on Milosevic.
By midApril, Clark had developed a very strong
interest in a ground option because he wanted a backup
plan to pull out in case the NATO air campaign fizzled.
The potential outcome of the air attacks was "unknowable," he
said, and "without a ground force, there was no
assurance that we could actually force Milosevic out
of Kosovo."
A backup plan was a prudent step, but Clark ultimately
pursued the ground option with a personal determination
stronger than anything else he did during Allied Force.
He estimated the air campaign effectiveness would peak
by July then start to diminish. However, good summer
weather, support from Albania, and NATO's firepower
advantage meant that ground operations could force
the Serbs out, Clark thought. Clark also felt that
visible preparations for ground operations would "significantly
raise the pressure on Milosevic." By "working
backward from the first snowfalls in the mountains
of Albania," he decided that he must have national
decisions from the NATO allies "to begin preparation
of the ground forces on May 1."
Clark's urge to champion a ground campaign could not
have come at a worse time. He took his plan to Washington
during the NATO 50th anniversary summit where there
was arrayed against him a formidable lack of interest.
The Macedonians refused to let NATO use their territory
for offensive operations. The NATO allies, many with
long experience of peacekeeping in Bosnia, were not
eager to insert ground troops. Throughout Washington,
the ground option was a nonstarter. Shelton warned
Clark not to lobby for the ground option behind the
scenes at the NATO summit. "If that option is
going to be sold, it will be sold by the President,
not by you," Shelton told Clark. The Secretary
of Defense, William S. Cohen, ordered Clark to say
nothing about ground forces during the NATO meetings. "We
have to make this air campaign work, or we'll both
be writing our résumés," Cohen added.
In
his push for ground war plans and Apache operations,
Clark's most formidable opponent was not the civilians
in the Pentagon or the White House but rather the United
States Army-institutionally and in the person of the
Chief of Staff, Gen. Dennis J. Reimer. Clark recounts
numerous occasions in which he sought support from
Reimer, only to be rebuffed. The context of Clark's
book makes plain the fact that virtually everyone in
the Army's leadership thought land war in the Balkans
was a bad idea. Clark's book also discloses, albeit
indirectly, another factor that may have served as
a restraint on Clark's ambitions: The institutional
Army evidently didn't hold him in high esteem. Clark's
last three assignments were as head of strategic plans
on the Joint Staff; Commander in Chief of US Southern
Command; and the SACEUR post. In none of the three
was he the nominee of his own service.
Private War
As the NATO summit approached, Clark promised Cohen
not to be "the skunk at the picnic," but
his push for ground option planning was becoming a
major sore point in his deteriorating relationship
with Washington. Clark's memoir detailed his many troubles
with other military and political leaders-but he employed
the tell-all tactic largely at his own expense. In
vignette after vignette, his tormentors came off as
being more reasonable than he. Shelton tried to deal
with the CINCs' requests in a measured way and kept
communications open even when he had to relay verbatim
reprimands from Cohen telling Clark to get his face
off the television. Cohen was on solid ground when
in 1998 he reprimanded Clark for the leak of a Bosnian
Muslim paper about Kosovo, telling Clark, "And
I've told you before, you don't give military advice
to [Richard C.] Holbrooke." As JCS vice chairman,
Ralston made the role of the hatchet man look sympathetic.
In one instance, he gently cautioned Clark to consider
what would happen if war broke out in Korea or with
Iraq and they had 200,000 troops bogged down in Kosovo.
Clark ignored Ralston's warning and charged into the
Chiefs' "Tank" later that day with a ground
option briefing. It fell flat.
The book is littered with examples of Clark's evident
inability to take a hint, even a heavy-handed hint,
or to deal effectively with surprises or uncomfortable
situations. The most cringe-worthy story of all concerns
the moment when Clark turned up a few minutes early
for a reception at the NATO summit. As Clark told it,
President Clinton, Albright, Cohen, and Shelton were
alone in the room forming their receiving line. Clark
started to walk over to greet them, then read their
body language and stopped, alone in the middle of the
room, 20 feet away. In telling the story, Clark seemed
to want to show how he was unfairly shut out. Instead,
the story tends to paint Clark himself as an inept
player of the power game.
By April 25, the summit was over and Clark was back
in Europe. "I knew that Secretary Cohen was determined
to make the air campaign work and make it work in conjunction
with diplomacy," said Clark. Personally, as of
late April, he gave the air campaign a 70 percent chance
of working. In his view, the guidance from Washington
left him a loophole to start an "assessment" of
a ground option. Flying over Albania, he scouted the
mountainous territory, which he deemed tough but not
impossible for ground operations. His staff set to
work on options, including the possibility of skipping
the southern approaches and invading northern Serbia
from Hungary with the objective of taking Belgrade.
But the ground option planning was not coming together
well. New estimates also called for almost 200,000
troops. The planners told him that if they stayed within
the normal NATO planning process time lines "we
would be lucky to attack on Nov. 1."
Clark was not "comfortable" with the ground
plans yet, but he did realize that "we were going
to have to commence preparations and deployments before
we had a final approved plan." Getting that approval
became a top priority for Clark. The mirage of a ground
operation, with attacks on three axes, became the secret
heart of Wesley Clark's war. In the lead would be the
Apache helicopters.
The Apaches
Clark wanted the Apaches to rapidly target and strike
Serb ground forces, and he had asked for them the day
before the start of Allied Force. Although he did not
receive authorization to employ them during the air
campaign, the Apaches were a consuming interest.
Clark's concept of operations was for fighters and
artillery-including ATACMS-to suppress the enemy. Unmanned
Aerial Vehicles would find targets, and "we'd
go at night" with the Apaches. He insisted the
Apaches could survive flying at low altitude and that
the threat of Serb SA-7s "was not borne out by
analysis." In preparation for a video teleconference
he was shown "a column that went for two or three
pages" listing all the weapons capable of perforating
the skin of an Apache helicopter. He dismissed the
data as "the influence of the reluctant Army mind-set." He
mentioned in his book that the helicopters rescuing
the downed F-16 pilot drew small arms and missile fire,
although they were trying to avoid contact. He noted
in the conclusion that Apaches weren't much good in
bad weather but maintained that he wanted to use them.
To everyone but Clark, the concept of operations for
the Apaches just wouldn't work in the Kosovo environment.
Suppressive fires to lay a corridor for the Apaches
would have violated the rules of engagement, rules
so tight that A-10 pilots were calling the Combined
Air Operations Center for permission to strike targets
they positively identified in daylight. The Apaches
had more than demonstrated their worth in the Gulf
War, where they were a formidable weapon. However,
in the Gulf, the Apaches were primarily used to protect
the flanks in areas with few enemy ground forces. Some
close air support missions were flown but from the
friendly side of the Forward Line of Own Troops. One
look at a map of Albania and Kosovo would be enough
to show that by sending in the Apaches, Clark would
have risked them flying at low altitude over many miles
of enemy-held territory. Serbs with small arms would
be eager to pick off an Apache. As it turned out, locating
mobile targets was a major challenge, and elements
of Task Force Hawk Apache helicopters helped that process
greatly, but fixed-wing aircraft proved fast and efficient
in striking targets once they were identified.
Denouement of the Ground Option
While the Apaches sat, Clark kept the ground option
planners hard at work, fully aware that it would take
two-and-a-half months to begin ground action "even
by the most optimistic estimates." Washington
was unresponsive. By late May, the Joint Staff still
had not approved the initial cadre of engineer units
that would have to begin their work long before the
ground offensive. Indeed Cohen, giving his first interview
since the war began, said publicly May 28, "There
is no consensus for a ground force. ... So the air
campaign will, in fact, continue."
The only troops in contact were the irregular forces
of the Kosovo Liberation Army. The KLA launched its
own offensive May 26. Clark estimated that four or
five battalions totaling up to 2,000 men were attacking
over the top of Mount Pastrik. Clark characterized
the KLA action as "light infantry against heavy
forces" and by Friday, May 28, it was clear to
Clark that "the Kosovars were not able to secure
their objective." On Saturday, Clark observed
the KLA offensive was "stalled" with the
Serbs "vulnerable to our airpower." On Monday
morning, May 31, "the KLA was barely hanging onto
the top of Mount Pastrik." Clark commanded USAF
Lt. Gen. Michael C. Short, NATO's air component commander,
and Army Lt. Gen. John W. Hendrix, Task Force Hawk
commander, to hold the mountain or "we'll have
to pay for the top of that hill with American blood."
This was as close as he got to directing ground attacks,
but at the time, Clark pictured much more. That same
day, Clark's planners gave him a revised ground option
plan with D-Day set for Sept. 1. Clark was delighted
and determined to push the plan. "This was the
culmination of my 33 years of military service," he
later wrote.
Here in essence was Clark's true instinct about how
to defeat Milosevic. Roads, bridges, and airfields
would be improved over the summer as 175,000 to 200,000
American and European ground troops moved into position.
NATO would have to work out arrangements with the KLA
("we had scrupulously avoided direct contact with
them in Albania" so far, Clark said), gain access
via Montenegro, block the Danube River, and ring Yugoslavia's
periphery with troops, presumably in Macedonia, Bulgaria,
and Hungary.
Clark presented the new ground plan to Shelton and
the Chiefs via video teleconference. The Chiefs listened
but gave "no indications of support." Changing
tactics, he pressed to be invited to the White House
for a routine meeting between the President and the
service Chiefs, hoping he could brief his ground plan
there. No invitation was forthcoming. The denouement
at last came when Undersecretary of Defense for Policy
Walter B. Slocombe consoled Clark by telling him that
the President would not make a decision about ground
forces without talking to the SACEUR. The issue died.
Shelton told reporters at the time that if necessary,
NATO would winterize the refugee camps and enable the
air campaign "to go right on into the winter,
if that is required." As Clark put it, "I
had been screened off."
End of Allied Force
While Clark fumbled with his ground options, the air
campaign was coming to a culmination. Strikes on Serb
forces in Kosovo increased, and fresh strategic targets
were approved and struck. On May 30, 1999, Clark told
the Washington Post that "I would say the air
campaign is working" although he added that there
were "theoretical limits to an air campaign." After
a night of heavy air strikes two days later he was
quoted as saying in a closed headquarters briefing
that "we're driving him [Milosevic] to a decision."
Hindsight altered his view. Two years later, in his
book, the impact of the air strikes in late May and
June barely caught his eye. Clark admitted that opinion
in Washington leaned toward extending the air campaign
and against any ground option, with the Army arguing
against the ground campaign. He also wrote that around
May 31 he feared that "the air campaign was in
serious trouble if it persisted on its present course."
In fact, the Serbs were ready to accept NATO's terms.
On June 3, Milosevic accepted key elements of Finnish
President Martti Ahtisaari's plan for the Serbs to
withdraw from Kosovo. In his book Clark cited the airmen's "good
results in their strikes against Serb forces in Kosovo" on
June 3. But he drew no special correlation between
the crescendo of sorties and new progress in the negotiations.
Clark related how he spent part of June 3 pushing to
get the engineers in to prepare for ground operations,
talking over ground war strategy with Solana, and monitoring
the positions of the KLA. On the very day Milosevic
indicated he would give in, Clark believed (according
to his book) that a ground campaign would still be
needed two months hence. As it turned out, an agreement
was in place a week later and the air strikes stopped
on June 10.
As for the impact of the air war, Clark praised it
on June 5, 1999, telling the New York Times: "What
did the trick was the accuracy of the precision weapons,
the avoidance of losses, and the increasing destruction
of the Serb forces." Clark's testimony to the
Senate in October 1999 included praise for airmen and
observations on all-weather precision weapons, airlift,
intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance assets
and other recommendations relevant to the after-action
report on an air campaign. He commissioned a detailed
survey of damage to critical mobile targets and went
so far as to declassify its results, which validated
NATO airmen's effectiveness against Serb fielded forces.
Two years later, however, Clark did not give airpower
much credit for pulling out the victory in Kosovo.
Of the war's end he stated: "Planning and preparations
for ground intervention were well under way by the
end of the campaign, and I am convinced that this,
in particular, pushed Milosevic to concede." Clark
contended that the Apaches, the corps-level headquarters,
and "a full Army brigade of ground combat power" in
Albania were enough to offset NATO's obvious, public
opposition to a ground war and convey "a powerful
image of a ground threat." To Clark, this "image" outweighed
the fire and steel of the air campaign.
"Any endeavor that is both successful and painful
is all too apt to be forgotten, and its lessons are
likely to be painful, too," said Clark near the
end of the book. Clark's written account of the end
of Allied Force emphasized again that this general
had not come to grips with the fact that he was leading-and
winning-an air war. Diplomacy and Russian leverage
played critical roles in the outcome. However, Clark's
insistence that the threat of a ground invasion was
a factor is countered by statements of US officials
at the time-and by his own, detailed explanations of
his failure to get approval for the Apaches, ATACMS,
or even the initial construction troops. NATO, the
Joint Chiefs, the Secretary of Defense, and the White
House were not yet on board. The prospect of a ground
invasion existed mainly in Clark's mind. That may have
been Wesley Clark's war, but it was not anyone else's.
Rebecca Grant is president of IRIS, a research organization in Washington, D.C.,
and has worked for Rand, the Secretary of the Air Force, and the Chief of Staff
of the Air Force. Grant is a fellow of the Eaker Institute for Aerospace Concepts,
the public policy and research arm of the Air Force Association's Aerospace Education
Foundation. Her most recent article, "Deep
Strife," appeared in the June 2001 issue.
Copyright Air Force Association. All rightsreserved.
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