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Air
Force leaders knowingly held back on weapon modernization
and facilities maintenance in favor of near-term readiness
over the last four years, reports Gen. Michael E. Ryan,
the outgoing Chief of Staff. They were forced into
an unwelcome choice by tight budgets, high operating
tempo, and the conviction that doing otherwise would
fundamentally threaten USAF's capabilities for decades.
"For the years that I've been Chief, ... we emphasized
people ... [and] readiness investment, big time, at
the expense of modernization and infrastructure," Ryan
said in an interview with Air Force Magazine at the
close of his tour.
The choice was made in full knowledge--"with
malice aforethought," Ryan quipped--that the Air
Force's aircraft and facilities were rapidly aging
and declining in serviceability. However, he felt it
was crucial to retain skilled personnel and near-term
capability and hope that, eventually, someone would
bring funds to the rescue for the other things.
"If you lose your readiness, you lose the people," Ryan
said of the thinking behind the decision. "If
you lose the people, you lose it all, for a generation."
Ryan also discussed the Air Force's unflinching support
of space during the lean years, the benefits of moving
to the Expeditionary Aerospace Force concept, Air Force
prospects in an increasingly joint environment, the
movement of major service programs to the Ballistic
Missile Defense Organization, the push for aerospace
integration, and the need to modernize the Air Force's
aging fleet.
As a result of leadership priorities, the service
was able to execute a highly successful air war in
Yugoslavia when called on two years ago. However, senior
officers have seen the fleet languish--with the average
age of aircraft approaching 30 years--and the backlog
of facilities maintenance theoretically mount into
centuries.
The Slide Begins
In the early 1990s, Ryan explained, there was a misperception
on the part of the senior Air Force leadership that "an
excess" of spare parts was available. This thought
stemmed from the rapid pace of the post-Cold War drawdown
and the feeling that the inventory, which was created
to support a larger fleet, would last a while.
But six months into his tour as Chief, Ryan reported,
readiness indicators began "tipping over." The
supposed spares surplus had quietly turned into a shortage,
masked by the efforts of diligent crews and a flurry
of cannibalization.
"When I got here," he observed, "we
found out we were right down on the mounts, no shock
absorber left."
Mission capable rates and overall readiness--affected
by empty spares bins and a growing shortage of qualified
crew chiefs--"took a dive from the 92 percent
area to the 65 percent area, in a matter of three years," he
noted. He saw no choice but to "stop the decline
in readiness and turn it around."
The decline has stopped, but the mission capable rates
are only slowly rising again.
Spares and personnel accounts figured heavily in the
equation because Ryan felt there would be a profound
exodus of skilled people if they were not given "the
tools to do their job." He was already beginning
to see signs of a brain drain while he was head of
US Air Forces in Europe, he noted. As the economy heated
up, the civilian market for skills acquired in the
Air Force became voracious, making it tough for the
service to compete for qualified people.
Ryan characterized the strategy as "protecting
the basis of the fighting force-readiness and people-while
waiting for help to show up."
There was reason to believe help would come, Ryan
said. The economy was humming, the nation was beginning
to run budget surpluses, and there were indications
from both parties that it would soon be necessary to "go
back and look at the fundamentals of keeping defense
funded," he said.
Echoing the Bush Administration's campaign promise
that "help is on the way" for the military,
Ryan said he feels help is indeed "on the way.
... We had a real [budget] growth of nine percent in
the budget for [Fiscal] '02. That's a pretty good whack
upwards." The figure is adjusted for inflation,
and Ryan said next year's budget should make it possible
to avoid seeking a supplemental funding request for
flying hours and operations.
However, he admitted that the increase will do little
to cover Air Force modernization needs, which he himself
has characterized as being underfunded to the tune
of more than $10 billion a year.
"Eventually, you have to step in and recapitalize," Ryan
said.
He acknowledged that "aircraft inflation"-the
cost of maintaining aircraft that have reached or exceeded
their planned life expectancy-runs above economic inflation.
The dollars added for the next budget will probably
just cover the rising cost of maintaining the aging
fleet.
"The cost of operating the fleet just continues
to go up every year," Ryan said. The aircraft
are "continuing to get old, and you have to cope
with that."
The
170-Plane Solution
To keep the Air Force aircraft inventory at status
quo, it would be necessary to buy 170 airplanes a year,
but the service has only been acquiring "about
100" per year, Ryan noted, and for the majority
of his tenure, those have been mostly trainers. During
his first year as Chief, the Air Force bought no fighters,
for the first time in its history.
"There are ways you can change that formula-buy
more airplanes or cut the size of the force so you
don't have to buy as many airplanes," Ryan observed.
However, he added, "Nothing I've seen so far in
this [Quadrennial Defense Review] says you ought to
cut the size of the force substantially, given the
demands that we see for the future." There will
be no letup in the need for the capabilities the Air
Force is able to provide, though it gets harder to
provide them without a substantial round of replacement.
"We are going to have to step up to the recapitalization
issue in the next years," he observed. "We
can't continue to operate a force that's going from
22 years old to 30 years old, and that's where we're
headed unless we change."
Ryan does not believe, however, that the pendulum
should swing back toward modernization and away from
readiness.
"That is a formula for failure," he insisted. "You
can never ask people to join and then stay in a force
that is less than premier, particularly when you are
talking about an activity that is so unforgiving, ...
operations in the aerospace domain, particularly against
people who don't want you to be there."
The Air Force should not sacrifice readiness to buy
new systems, he said, or "de-emphasize the quality
of the people who work for you."
Ryan feels that the Air Force's performance in the
Balkans was vindication of the priorities service leadership
set.
"We were able to generate and deploy to 21 locations
across Europe in a very 'min' time and execute, along
with our Allies, 30,000-plus sorties. And the combat
environment was intense, and we only lost two airplanes
and no crews," Ryan pointed out. "That's
pretty amazing."
The Air Force's new Global Strike Task Force concept--which
calls for using bombers and speedy fighters to quickly
gain entrance to a theater of war by knocking out anti-access
enemy systems--is "just naming something we [already]
do," Ryan observed. "That's what we did in
Kosovo."
The prominence that such concepts seem to have taken
on in the Pentagon's strategy reviews does not, however,
lead Ryan to think the Air Force will get more emphasis
than the other services in the future.
Kick Down the Door
"We're a ... contributing member of the joint
team," he said. "And quite honestly, in many
situations, jointness does not mean that everybody
goes at once. Jointness means we capitalize on the
capabilities of each of the contributors. And our contribution
normally is right there in the front, going in there,
kicking down the door." It matters little whether
the Air Force contribution is all that's required,
or as support to a broader effort, so long as the mission
is achieved, he said.
"It
isn't the be-all and end-all," Ryan added. "That's
just the first shots in a major conflict. There are
a hell of a lot of other contributors to it, too."
He also described Global Strike Task Force as "a
natural outgrowth of how we've organized ourselves
in the [Aerospace Expeditionary Force]."
Ryan believes he has made great strides in taking
care of Air Force people. He is particularly proud
of the Expeditionary Aerospace Force concept, which
was matured and implemented during his tenure. The
EAF and its operational units, the Aerospace Expeditionary
Forces--assemblages of roughly equal capabilities in
Air Force people and equipment for overseas assignments--solved
a major headache for the force, Ryan asserted. It gave
personnel predictability about when they would be away
and made the process of spreading the duty around fairer.
There were many other steps taken to make the Air
Force more livable, Ryan asserted.
"We've done a lot of stuff for our folks to [enhance]
the attractiveness of serving in the military for a
career-not just a short stint-[to make service] as
appealing to the members and their families as we could
make it."
He ticked off examples: "The infusion of money
into military family housing, pay raises, medical,
time off after deployments." These, he said, were
expensive but needed steps.
"That kind of challenge will remain for my successor," he
added. Making sure service personnel are well cared
for is a job that's "never completed."
The new Administration's increased emphasis on jointness
doesn't cause Ryan any worries that Air Force priorities
will somehow lose out amidst the competing demands
of the overall force.
"If we raise our people correctly, it doesn't
matter what [color] uniform they wear," he said. "We
don't find much parochialism at all among our [regional
commanders in chief] or indeed in the Joint Staff.
So I wouldn't presume we'll have that same problem
as we go further into jointness ... at an operational
and strategic level."
Ryan asserted, "Jointness is not putting an F-16
on the wing of an F-18. ... Jointness is how you put
together the strengths of the tactical units at an
operational level to achieve a strategic objective." The
notion of making all soldiers "purple" is
misguided, he said.
"Where you 'get joint' is not at the combat level," said
Ryan. "Jointness is how you orchestrate the different
mediums and capabilities ... to achieve the effects
you want."
Strong on Space
Despite the emphasis on readiness and personnel accounts,
Ryan asserted that the Air Force did not scrimp on
capitalizing space.
"We have, over the years, ... funded the space
piece of the aerospace force to assure that it's viable
and doesn't fail," Ryan said. This, he noted,
was undertaken without the status of executive agent
for space among the services, a status that DOD has
conferred on the Air Force as a result of this year's
Space Commission recommendations.
"I'm very proud of the fact that we've been great
stewards of space," Ryan asserted.
One of Ryan's early themes was "aerospace integration," and
he dedicated a great deal of the Air Force's intellectual
power to streamlining the connections between space-based,
ground-based, and airborne assets.
The Space Commission, headed by Donald Rumsfeld until
shortly before he was nominated to become Secretary
of Defense in the Bush Administration, highlighted
these communication links but also suggested that space
may evolve into a separate branch of the military,
a move that Ryan opposed and still believes should
not come for many years.
"It
would be very premature," he said. However, he
doesn't think the suggested spin-off will recreate
the institutional barriers he worked to break down. "No
one believes that separation of functional areas that
are dependent upon each other is smart business," he
asserted. "And it certainly isn't smart war."
There is no clash of concepts between the Space Commission
suggestions and the Air Force, he said.
"How we think of ourselves in the Air Force is
that we are the experts in the vertical dimension,
because we do that from cradle to grave, from requirements
to retirement of the system," said Ryan. "We're
the only service that does that across that spectrum.
And so, integration for us doesn't mean it excludes
others; it just means we want to capitalize on the
strengths of each of the pieces of the medium in which
we operate ... and make sure that each is supported
by the other. ... I don't see dueling concepts."
The Administration wants to move the Airborne Laser,
Space Based Laser, and Space Based Radar, all major
Air Force programs, under the control of the Ballistic
Missile Defense Organization, a DOD agency. Ryan said
it was not completely unexpected that it has happened,
given the fact that the Administration highlighted
missile defense and gave it priority in budget deliberations.
He said the Air Force has no qualms about the move,
provided that Air Force-specific requirements for the
systems, which may not relate to missile defense, are
not lost in the shuffle.
The Airborne Laser, for example, "will have applications
elsewhere," Ryan said.
"We ... are looking at the requirements to perhaps
have it go after cruise missiles," or be involved
in air defense, or even an "air to ground capability," Ryan
said. He feels such requirements will get a fair shake
because "Air Force people will still manage the
program" for BMDO.
Rumsfeld's Review
Ryan believes the Air Force is well-positioned to
deal with whatever restructuring may come with completion
of this year's strategy reviews and Quadrennial Defense
Review.
"We are a blessed institution in that we can
change ourselves very rapidly [and] ... do that pretty
darn well," Ryan said. "We can mold [the
service] to the needs of the future." He noted
that, in the 1990s alone, the Air Force went through
two major reorganizations. First came the 1992 reduction
of five USAF major commands into three--Air Combat
Command, Air Mobility Command, and Air Force Materiel
Command--with all of the changes that went with it.
The second was the creation and refinement in the late
1990s of the EAF, during his own tenure.
To fully realize the EAF, though, the Air Force will
need more time, Ryan acknowledged. Service schools
have already begun the process of spreading the new
thinking, but it will take more time to break down
organizational "stovepipes" and make USAF "a
whole, organic service force that has a true understanding
of what our mission is and how everyone fits into accomplishing
the mission. And that's what EAF is all about."
He called it "a unifying cry" that merges
expeditionary, aerospace, and force. "That's what
we do."
Copyright Air Force Association. All rightsreserved.
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