Our world has changed. Terror-ist attacks
have shown the vulnerability of the American homeland, with the prospect
of even worse attacks to come. The security of the United States is
at risk.
The war on terror is not optional for the United States. We have no
choice but to fight. We have been targeted by a fanatic terrorist network
committed to killing Americans and destroying our way of life. Either
we get them or they get us.
Essentially, terrorism is not a law enforcement problem, nor is it a
sociological misunderstanding. It is a life-or-death issue of national
security.
We cannot protect the homeland by defensive measures alone. It is not
possible to be on guard everywhere all the time. We must take the war
to the enemy's homeland, training camps, and sanctuaries. To the extent
possible, we want to fight over there, not over here.
We agree fully with the policy that any nation harboring or supporting
terrorists or terrorism will be regarded as a hostile regime and that
we will hold open the option for pre-emptive action if that is necessary
in order to forestall destructive acts against us.
Global power projection forces in air and space will have a prominent
role in these endeavors, building on the lead they have taken in the
conflicts of recent years.
This war comes in addition to, not instead of, previous national security
requirements. We face a range of dangers, from terror attacks at home
and abroad to the ever-present possibility of major theater conflict,
as well as emerging challenges in space and cyberspace. We also face
a range of potential adversaries, from nation states to transnational
organizations and networks.
When the terrorists struck, US armed forces were already employed elsewhere
in operations and deployments that kept them four times busier than they
were during the Cold War, although the force is a third smaller and the
budgets are less. These requirements have not gone away.
We must sustain the war on terror and at the same time restore the vitality
of the armed forces, worn thin by a decade of neglect, and transform
the services to prepare them for the demands of the future.
Transformation will focus on fast response, long reach, precision attack,
and a high order of intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance. These
capabilities are the hallmarks of air and space forces.
Aerospace power is the primary military tool allowing us to scale up
and down from small operations to major theater conflicts and to respond
with agility to all of the obligations in between. Only with adequate
air and space power can we handle new, unforeseen operations rapidly
and successfully.
The War on Terror
The Air Force Association, along with the nation, appreciates and salutes
all of the armed forces for their service in the war on terror, and we
are especially proud of the Air Force.
Within minutes of the terrorist hijackings, the Air Force had established
combat air patrols across America. Since then, Air Force components have
flown most of the subsequent air defense sorties in Operation Noble Eagle,
with the Air National Guard and the Air Force Reserve Command flying
80 percent of the total missions.
To project power against the terrorist strongholds, the nation called
first on its forces in air and space. In Operation Enduring Freedom in
Afghanistan, Air Force bombers, fighters, and gunships delivered a majority
of the ordnance and accounted for more than half of the targets.
Air Force tankers made the strike missions possible for aircraft from
all of the services, and everything that went into Afghanistan went by
airlift. Special operations forces added enormously to the effectiveness
and accuracy of the strikes. Air Force spacecraft, aircraft, and unmanned
aerial vehicles wrote a dramatic new chapter in the level of intelligence,
surveillance, and reconnaissance.
Afghanistan demonstrated again that there is no place on Earth that
cannot be touched within hours by American air and space power.
However, it would be a mistake to regard the operations there as a template
for all conflicts of the future. In Afghanistan, for example, the enemy's
lack of modern air defenses made it possible for older aircraft to operate
freely. We must regard this as an exceptional situation.
Combat under primitive conditions presents its own set of difficulties,
but most wars of the future-in both the short term and the long term-will
require far more advanced military capabilities.
We give credence at our peril to those who argue that 50-year-old bombers
and 30-year-old fighters will be sufficient to our need in the conflicts
to come.

Defense Strategy and Aerospace Power
The Quadrennial Defense Review adopted a new basis for national defense
strategy and a new standard for sizing the armed forces.
Henceforth, the strategy will be "capabilities-based" rather
than "threat-based," focusing on how an adversary might fight
instead of on who the adversary might be and when or where the war might
occur.
Accordingly, planners will concentrate on the growing array of capabilities
that adversaries might possess or could develop as well as determining
the capabilities we will need ourselves.
The old force-sizing standard, which envisioned a force that would be
able to fight two regional conflicts simultaneously, has been set aside.
The new standard prescribes a force that can defend the homeland, deter
aggression forward in four critical theaters, and swiftly defeat aggressors
in any two theaters at the same time.
The option is preserved for one massive counteroffensive to occupy an
aggressor's capital or to replace its regime, but the Department of Defense
will now maintain one occupation force instead of two.
The Air Force Association concurs with these changes. It is sound strategy
to prepare broadly for a range of threats that cannot always be specified
exactly in advance.
These changes confirm and continue the trend in which air and space
forces carry a heavier share of the burden in the nation's wars. The
new strategy and force-sizing standard point to an increase, not a decrease,
in aerospace power.
The strategy relies fundamentally on long-range precision strike, global
situational awareness, and mobility. Major operations will be led by
stealthy aircraft and advanced electronic and information technology
to overcome anti-access barriers and "kick down the door" to
permit entry by follow-on forces, including surface forces and air forces
that will sustain the attack and operate in other roles.
Recapitalization, Modernization, and Transformation
When the war on terror began, the services were already struggling to
recover from the accumulated neglect of the 1990s, when force levels
and defense budgets were cut repeatedly, modernization was postponed,
programs were stretched out and underfunded, and capital equipment was
not replaced as it wore out. Spare parts and munitions were in short
supply.
Aging facilities and infrastructure were dilapidated and deteriorating.
The aircraft fleet was concurrently getting older, less reliable, and
more expensive to maintain. Our margin of advantage in military technology
had begun to narrow.
On top of this accumulated backlog in recapitalization and modernization,
the decision was made to "transform" the armed forces to better
meet the needs of the future. It was also clear that transformation was
essential in addition to, not instead of, the imperatives to recapitalize
and modernize the force.
The problem has become far more difficult, now that we are in the midst
of the war on terror with the attendant requirements for forces and resources.
Although improvements are desirable in all elements and aspects of the
force, it is inevitable that transformation must emphasize air and space
forces. The capabilities most critical to transformation are global awareness,
long-range precision strike, and control of air and space. Mobility is
the fundamental enabler.
For the Air Force, transforming to implement the national defense strategy
will lead to a portfolio of capabilities--integrating air and space assets,
manned and unmanned aircraft, new systems along with older ones--which
may be used in new ways or to support innovative concepts of operation.
Resources for Defense
The pending increase in the defense budget is substantial, but a large
portion of it goes for the war on terror and other current expenses and
to keeping the force from sliding any deeper into the hole. It is not
sufficient to overcome the "procurement holiday" of the 1990s
or to pay for transformation.
It is often suggested that the defense budget deficit can be made up
by cutting forces and programs and by shifting money from one military
account to another.
That is the kind of thinking that caused the problem in the first place.
Some economies and reallocations are always possible, but basically,
it is not a matter of the program being too large--it is that the budget
is too small to balance tasking with resources.
We believe that the nation can and must commit four percent of its Gross
Domestic Product to defense. By historical standards, that would be a
moderate burden. For 50 years prior to 1995, the United States regularly
allotted more than four percent of GDP to national defense.
Force Structure and Strength
It should be obvious now that the force has been cut too much, both
in force structure and in numbers of people. At the end of the Cold War,
the Air Force pulled back from most of its overseas bases, lost a third
of its personnel strength, and disbanded units of every kind, from major
commands to fighter and attack wings.
Contrary to the popular expectation, though, the nation's use of military
forces increased rather than decreased. The drawn-down force was soon
responding to one contingency after another and covering "temporary" operations
abroad that went on for years. With infrastructure limited in remote
locations, deployments typically had to include logistics and combat
support elements as well as fighting elements.
To cope with surging operations tempo and personnel tempo, the Air Force
reconfigured its combat capabilities into 10 "buckets of capability" called
Aerospace Expeditionary Forces, or AEFs. This imposed some order and
predictability, but the force structure was still too thin and there
were still too few people.
There are not enough resources to fill out all 10 AEFs. The Department
of Defense recognizes a "Low-Density/High-Demand" problem.
This refers to such systems as the Airborne Warning and Control System
and Joint STARS, which were not bought in sufficient quantities and which
are now tasked at maximum levels. In addition, some of the AEFs are without
some basic organic elements. For example, only three of them have precision
standoff strike capability.
Even before the war on terror, expeditionary demands were taxing the
reduced personnel strength. The Air Force has no units or forces assigned
or held aside for AEF duty only. Forces to meet that requirement are
drawn from the normal complement of active, Guard, and Reserve units.
Relentless deployments often leave home bases shorthanded, especially
in mission support areas.
The Air Force met strength requirements for Operations Noble Eagle and
Enduring Freedom by a mobilization of reserve components and by "Stop-Loss" actions
that prevented people from leaving service at the end of their normal
commitments.
Unfortunately, the need for an increase in personnel strength is cast
into competition with other defense priorities and presumed fiscal constraints.
Talk continues about alternative solutions, such as internal force realignments,
reduced commitments overseas, outsourcing of functions, and base closures.
The Air Force Association believes it is time to recognize the problem
and deal with it: We need 10 AEFs, fully fleshed out, with the requisite
increases in personnel strength.

Investing for the Future
The war on terror and conflicts of the near future will be fought with
the weapons and forces we have now. Transformation will develop capabilities
for use by later generations, just as investments made in the 1970s and
1980s provided the weapons that won the conflicts of the past 10 years.
The system that will typify the asymmetric US advantage in the decades
ahead is the Air Force's F-22. Its combination of speed, stealth, advanced
avionics, and operating altitude will allow it to penetrate and survive
in airspace deadly to any other aircraft. It will perform multiple missions,
including air superiority, deep strike, and suppression of enemy air
defenses.
The F-22 is under attack by people who want to kill or curtail it. The
arguments against it are the same misguided ones made in the past by
people who wanted to kill or curtail the F-15, AWACS, and the B-2, all
of which went on to demonstrate their immense value to the nation.
We believe the F-22 program is critical to national defense and to transformation
and that the fleet should be sufficient to allot two squadrons to each
AEF. If the program is held below that level, we will create yet another
Low-Density/High-Demand system.
The F-35 Joint Strike Fighter is a natural partner with the F-22 and
will be available in larger numbers to fly the bulk of attack missions
if a conflict persists. It is urgently needed to replace F-16 fighters,
which have been flown more than anticipated and are now wearing out ahead
of schedule.
We have urged repeatedly that the Air Force accelerate its timetable
for fielding of a new long-range strike system. Recent events have demonstrated
again the worth of weapon systems that can strike from afar. In the meantime,
existing bombers should be upgraded and improved munitions developed.
The strategic airlift issue is an object lesson in defense investment.
The C-17 airlifter program was set originally at 220 aircraft but then
was cut radically for budget reasons. Operational realities are now returning
us by increments toward the original number, but instability from churning
the program has added billions to the cost. We should learn from this
mistake--in this program and in others--and this time, buy enough.
Aerial refueling is the lifeblood of global reach and power projection
by all of the armed forces. Our tankers are wearing out. Replacement
is critical and it will not wait. We should get on with it. Now.
One of the major trends shaping the future is that numerous missions,
especially in intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance, will migrate
to space. Some of the desired capabilities are not yet within easy reach,
but it is essential that we maintain the emphasis and the investment.
It is through systems in space that we will ultimately move from local
and regional perspectives to one that is truly global, taking in great
sweeps of geography at a single glance.
Unmanned Aerial Vehicles, which performed so spectacularly in Afghanistan,
represent another wave of the future. They will soon move beyond reconnaissance
roles and take on other missions, including attack of targets in areas
where manned aircraft could not survive. We applaud the Air Force on
its wisdom in nurturing UAV technologies thus far and we look forward
to the emergence of even more impressive results from transformation
initiatives.
People
In time of war, the public sees and honors the service rendered by men
and women in uniform. Such recognition, occurring again during the present
crisis, reinforces the bonds of mutual trust and respect between the
armed forces and the nation.
Military people got a further signal about the value and importance
of their service with the passage of the largest pay raise in 20 years
and measures to reduce out-of-pocket expenses.
The environment of recurring expeditionary deployments and intense personnel
tempo requires more emphasis on family support, including child care,
the effective delivery of health care, and spouse employment initiatives.
Of particular concern is the condition of facilities in which our military
people live and work. The condition of housing at many bases for both
families and single members is a disgrace, and it is not uncommon that
working conditions are better in temporary deployment locations than
they are at home bases.
The Air Force Association supports further measures to improve the quality
of life for military members and their families and to make the armed
forces a desirable and rewarding career.
Total Force
As demonstrated in Operations Noble Eagle and Enduring Freedom, the
Air Force could not go to war without the Air National Guard and Air
Force Reserve Command. Additionally, the Air Force would be severely
hampered in conducting peacetime operations without its reserve components.
The Guard and Reserve currently provide 25 percent of the aviation and
almost 30 percent of the combat support elements for steady state, peacetime
deployments of the Aerospace Expeditionary Forces.
They also provide more than 65 percent of the Air Force's tactical airlift
capability, 35 percent of the strategic airlift, 60 percent of the air
refueling, 38 percent of the fighters, and make significant contributions
to rescue, bomber, and combat support missions.
We support the Air Force's initiative, called Future Total Force, that
will further capitalize on the caliber of these components in blended
units that will integrate active duty, Guard, Reserve, and civilian members
for greater effectiveness and flexibility.
The Air Force Association expresses its appreciation for the support
of the employers of Guard and Reserve members. Without their cooperation,
the strength of the Total Force would not be possible.
The civil service component of the Total Force needs special care and
attention. Over the next five years, more than 40 percent of the career
workforce will become eligible for retirement. Force reductions have
already created problems with the skill mix. We support the Civilian
Workforce Shaping initiative, which attempts to rebuild the civilian
force in the right way. We applaud the integration of the military and
civilian Air Force teams, which has added increased synergy to the force.
Areas of Specific Concern
- Transformation and US leadership in military technology
are obviously dependent on a strong science and technology
effort. However, the Department of Defense has not
been able to meet its own goal of allocating three
percent of its overall budget to S&T. In the
Air Force, the spending level is below the historical
average. Furthermore, where the Air Force led all
of the services in S&T spending for more than
30 years, it now trails both the Army and the Navy
in that regard. We believe the priority on S&T
should be higher.
- The Department of Defense has designated the Air
Force as its executive agent for space. The logical
and desirable next step is to amend Title 10 of the
US Code, as proposed by the congressionally chartered
Space Commission, to assign the Air Force the responsibility
to organize, train, and equip forces for space operations
as well as for air operations.
- The Nuclear Posture Review has found that two-thirds
of our nuclear warheads can be taken out of operational
service by 2012. We regard this as a rock-bottom
position. The nuclear threat is persistent, and we
must maintain enough countervailing power for a credible
deterrent.
- We are vulnerable to attack by ballistic missiles
of both intercontinental and theater range. We must
pursue a comprehensive defense against these weapons,
exploring directed energy solutions and other approaches.
Contrary to proposals often heard, ballistic missile
defense should not be funded at the expense of other
defense programs. The defense budget must be large
enough to cover all major national security requirements,
of which this is one.
- Without an industrial base, the armed forces cannot
be sustained, much less modernized or transformed.
However, the defense industrial base today is characterized
by consolidation and shrinkage as the Department
of Defense reduces programs and production.
We cannot bring back the "Arsenal of Democracy" that once
existed, but we can and must reinforce the remaining industrial base
by wise acquisition strategies, fair contracting and business practices,
and a climate in which a mutually beneficial partnership can thrive.
The Air Force's industrial base includes not only firms in the private
sector but also the air logistics centers. To preserve a ready and controlled
source of depot maintenance, we must strike a careful balance between
the maintenance and repair workload that is contracted out and the portion
performed by the air logistics centers.
Global Vigilance, Reach, and Power
Although air and space power will be the dominant elements in most conflicts,
we do not believe in single dimension strategies. Surface forces will
continue to be important, and we will need a combination of land, sea,
and air capabilities.
We cannot know where the next crisis will occur. It may be a variation
on previous terror operations, an attack on our vital national infrastructures,
an outbreak of chemical, biological, radiological, nuclear, or enhanced
high explosive weapons, or a regional conflict with the requirement to
halt and deal with an invasion force.
The nation makes a critical mistake if it fails to put sufficient emphasis
on air and space forces. They uniquely define the military strength of
the United States. They are the hardest-hitting, longest-reaching, and
most flexible forces that we possess. They offer our best hope of transformational
gain.
Operations Noble Eagle and Enduring Freedom were only the first rounds
in a long and difficult conflict, but there is an excellent chance of
winning the military part of the war on terrorism if the nation will
stay the course and sustain the effort.
Whatever comes, the guiding military objective will be to find, fix,
track, target, engage, and assess anything of consequence that moves
on the surface of the Earth. This capability applies not only to the
war on terrorism but also to whatever lies beyond.
In the 21st century, the United States will rely even more than it has
in the past on its forces in air and space for global vigilance, global
reach, and global power.
The foundations of the force are its people and its values. AFA has
adopted the Air Force's core values, which are manifest in the actions
of its members.
- Integrity first.
- Service before self.
- Excellence in all that we do.